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Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Sweden 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League B (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Sweden — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Bosnia and Herzegovina to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sweden to win.
Our track record
In 372 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,955 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Bosnia and Herzegovina 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,796 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Sweden 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,271 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Sweden 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Sweden. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Bosnia and Herzegovina1
Sweden1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Bosnia and Herzegovina1Sweden1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24% | 76% | 53% | 47% |
 | 34% | 66% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
31%
X-1
17%
2-2
14%
X-X
13%
X-2
10%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Sweden — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
SwedenBosnia and HerzegovinaBoth Teams to Score
SwedenBosnia and HerzegovinaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
SwedenBosnia and HerzegovinaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
SwedenBosnia and HerzegovinaFirst Half Result
SwedenBosnia and HerzegovinaCorrect Score
SwedenBosnia and Herzegovina