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Finland vs Albania Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League C (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Finland vs Albania — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Finland to win
Our track record
In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.3% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 3,144 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,863 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,594 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,717 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Finland 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,488 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Albania 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,678 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Finland vs Albania — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Finland vs Albania. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Finland–
Albania–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Finland–Albania–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30% | 70% | 63% | 37% |
 | 31% | 69% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
22%
2-2
21%
X-X
16%
X-1
13%
X-2
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.7%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.5%
2-0
6.0%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Finland vs Albania — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
AlbaniaFinlandBoth Teams to Score
AlbaniaFinlandOver/Under 2.5 Goals
AlbaniaFinlandOver/Under 3.5 Goals
AlbaniaFinlandFirst Half Result
AlbaniaFinlandCorrect Score
AlbaniaFinland