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Belarus vs San Marino Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League C (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Belarus vs San Marino — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Belarus to win
Our track record
In 1,073 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 6,524 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,361 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,992 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 2,248 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Belarus 2+ goals
Our track record
In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
San Marino 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.1% of the time (bookmakers said 80.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Belarus vs San Marino — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Belarus vs San Marino. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Belarus–
San Marino–Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Belarus–San Marino–Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16% | 84% | 42% | 58% |
 | 51% | 49% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 33% | 84% | 16% |
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
36%
X-1
17%
X-X
15%
2-2
12%
X-2
9%
1-X
4%
2-1
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
11.3%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
7.7%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Belarus vs San Marino — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
San MarinoBelarusBoth Teams to Score
San MarinoBelarusOver/Under 2.5 Goals
San MarinoBelarusOver/Under 3.5 Goals
San MarinoBelarusFirst Half Result
San MarinoBelarusCorrect Score
San MarinoBelarus