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Gnistan vs HJK 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

Veikkausliiga - Season 2026 (Round 3)

Fair result
GnistanGnistan

0–3

HJKHJK
0.5Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Gnistan would usually take 0.9 points and HJK 1.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: HJK.

Gnistan −0.9 pts vs chancesHJK +1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Gnistan vs HJK stats: how the match was played

Veikkausliiga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

HJK had more than twice the shots on target

Gnistan

HJK

0

Shots on target

5

0

Big chances

1

5

Corners

7

3

Yellow cards

0

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Gnistan and HJK ended 0-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an HJK win with 45% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Gnistan – Oulu prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Gnistan vs HJK — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Veikkausliiga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

HJK to win

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,450 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 936 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

HJK ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 38%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 2,001 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Gnistan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gnistan 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

HJK Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

HJK 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,013 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Gnistan vs HJK 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Gnistan vs HJK. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Veikkausliiga - Finland
GnistanGnistan0
HJKHJK3

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

Full Time

132%
X24%
245%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%37%63%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT49%51%74%26%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Gnistan33%67%61%39%
HJK23%77%50%50%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Gnistan84%16%94%6%
HJK74%26%88%12%

1st Half

126%
X36%
238%

1st Score

145%
X5%
250%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

31%

1-1

17%

X-2

14%

X-X

13%

X-1

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

9.5%

1-2

8.6%

2-1

7.4%

2-2

7.0%

0-1

6.7%

1-0

5.9%

0-2

5.6%

0-0

4.9%

1-3

4.7%

2-0

4.3%

0-3

3.7%

2-3

3.6%

3-1

3.4%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Gnistan – Oulu prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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