Brick wall
7/10Inter Turku kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 28%).
Veikkausliiga Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Veikkausliiga match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 11 October 2026.
Veikkausliiga Predictions by Market
Season 2026 · Round 5 · Championship Round
Full-Time Result
49%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
47%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
48%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
75%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
39%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
14%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Veikkausliiga 2026 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 49%, BTTS 47%, Over/Under 2.5 48%, Over/Under 3.5 75%, correct score 14%.
Veikkausliiga stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 177 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsGoals a match
2.6
40th of 63
xG a match
2.78
35th of 62
Corners a match
10.11
19th of 62
Cards a match
3.68
53rd of 63
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Veikkausliiga: the stats that stand out
The Veikkausliiga teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games7/10Shot-shy
6/10TPS failed to score in 6 of their last 10 (league 28%).
Goals at both ends
8/10Gnistan: both teams scored in 8 of their last 10 (league 51%).
Low-scoring
2/10Oulu games went over 2.5 goals in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Flop as favourites
1/6SJK won only 1 of 6 as favourites (league 50%).
Always chasing
7/10VPS conceded first in 7 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Slow starters
3/10Jaro scored first in only 3 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Veikkausliiga Finland
Free predictions for today's Veikkausliiga matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
Inter Turku1
KuPS0Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Inter Turku1KuPS0Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
144%
X27%
229%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 60% | 40% |
 | 36% | 64% | 72% | 28% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 66% | 34% |
Correct Score
1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
8.4%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
VPS–
Gnistan–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
VPS–Gnistan–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Oulu–
HJK–Winner
2 52%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Oulu–HJK–Winner
2 52%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Jaro–
Mariehamn–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Jaro–Mariehamn–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Lahti–
TPS–Winner
1 62%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Lahti–TPS–Winner
1 62%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Ilves–
SJK–Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Ilves–SJK–Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
HJK–Gnistan–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
HJK–Gnistan–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Inter Turku–Oulu–Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Inter Turku–Oulu–Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
KuPS–VPS–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
KuPS–VPS–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
VPS–Inter Turku–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
VPS–Inter Turku–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Veikkausliiga xG: chances created and allowed
Every Veikkausliiga team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsVeikkausliiga average · 1.39 xG, 1.39 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 12
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Veikkausliiga Results vs the Odds
Season 2026 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Veikkausliiga this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −30◀ fewer than expected · −30 pts odds expected+30 more ▶+30 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
156 matches
44.9%
Season (156) · 44.9% vs 42.3%
Season
+2.6
±7.3
30 days (18) · 33.3% vs 40.7%
30 days
−7.4
±21.7
Draws
156 matches
27.6%
Season (156) · 27.6% vs 24.5%
Season
+3.1
±6.7
30 days (18) · 33.3% vs 25.3%
30 days
+8.1
±20.1
Away wins
156 matches
27.6%
Season (156) · 27.6% vs 33.2%
Season
−5.7
±7.0
30 days (18) · 33.3% vs 34.0%
30 days
−0.7
±20.9
Over 2.5 goals
156 matches
43.6%
Season (156) · 43.6% vs 55.5%Fewer than expected
Season
−11.9
±7.8Fewer than expected
30 days (18) · 27.8% vs 54.1%Fewer than expected
30 days
−26.3
±22.9Fewer than expected
Both teams scored
156 matches
48.1%
Season (156) · 48.1% vs 56.0%Fewer than expected
Season
−7.9
±7.8Fewer than expected
30 days (18) · 38.9% vs 56.1%
30 days
−17.2
±22.8
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
156 matches
23.1%
Season (156) · 23.1% vs 33.5%Fewer than expected
Season
−10.4
±7.4Fewer than expected
30 days (18) · 11.1% vs 32.2%
30 days
−21.1
±21.5
Home side ahead at half-time
156 matches
36.5%
Season (156) · 36.5% vs 33.2%
Season
+3.4
±7.2
30 days (18) · 33.3% vs 31.9%
30 days
+1.4
±21.2
Level at half-time
156 matches
35.3%
Season (156) · 35.3% vs 39.8%
Season
−4.6
±7.7
30 days (18) · 38.9% vs 40.4%
30 days
−1.5
±22.7
Away side ahead at half-time
156 matches
28.2%
Season (156) · 28.2% vs 27.0%
Season
+1.2
±6.8
30 days (18) · 27.8% vs 27.7%
30 days
+0.1
±20.3
Home team scored 2+
156 matches
38.5%
Season (156) · 38.5% vs 45.5%
Season
−7.0
±7.6
30 days (18) · 16.7% vs 43.8%Fewer than expected
30 days
−27.1
±22.4Fewer than expected
Away team scored 2+
156 matches
27.6%
Season (156) · 27.6% vs 38.2%Fewer than expected
Season
−10.6
±7.4Fewer than expected
30 days (18) · 16.7% vs 38.5%Fewer than expected
30 days
−21.8
±21.8Fewer than expected
Outside the normal range this season: Over 2.5 goals 43.6% vs 55.5% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 390); Both teams scored 48.1% vs 56.0% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 20); Over 3.5 goals 23.1% vs 33.5% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 180); Away team scored 2+ 27.6% vs 38.2% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 210).
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 156 | 44.9% | 42.3% | +2.6 | ±7.3 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 18 | 33.3% | 40.7% | −7.4 | ±21.7 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 156 | 27.6% | 24.5% | +3.1 | ±6.7 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 18 | 33.3% | 25.3% | +8.1 | ±20.1 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 156 | 27.6% | 33.2% | −5.7 | ±7.0 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 18 | 33.3% | 34.0% | −0.7 | ±20.9 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 156 | 43.6% | 55.5% | −11.9 | ±7.8 | Fewer than expected |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 18 | 27.8% | 54.1% | −26.3 | ±22.9 | Fewer than expected |
| Both teams scored | Season | 156 | 48.1% | 56.0% | −7.9 | ±7.8 | Fewer than expected |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 18 | 38.9% | 56.1% | −17.2 | ±22.8 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 156 | 23.1% | 33.5% | −10.4 | ±7.4 | Fewer than expected |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 18 | 11.1% | 32.2% | −21.1 | ±21.5 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 156 | 36.5% | 33.2% | +3.4 | ±7.2 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 18 | 33.3% | 31.9% | +1.4 | ±21.2 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 156 | 35.3% | 39.8% | −4.6 | ±7.7 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 18 | 38.9% | 40.4% | −1.5 | ±22.7 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 156 | 28.2% | 27.0% | +1.2 | ±6.8 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 18 | 27.8% | 27.7% | +0.1 | ±20.3 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 156 | 38.5% | 45.5% | −7.0 | ±7.6 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 18 | 16.7% | 43.8% | −27.1 | ±22.4 | Fewer than expected |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 156 | 27.6% | 38.2% | −10.6 | ±7.4 | Fewer than expected |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 18 | 16.7% | 38.5% | −21.8 | ±21.8 | Fewer than expected |
Veikkausliiga luck check: the last 10 games
Veikkausliiga teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+4.5 = 5 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck2
Mariehamn+4.5- Gnistan+4.2
Unlucky1
- TPSWasteful · −7 goals−4.0
Points in line, but wasteful: Inter Turku (−7 goals), Jaro (−5), Lahti (−3).
In line with their chances: Ilves, HJK, Oulu, KuPS, SJK and VPS.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Veikkausliiga last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 4–Oct 11 · 7 matches · odds: closing, margin removedCalculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →Veikkausliiga Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Lahti | 26 | 36 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30:25 | +5 | L D L W |
2  Ilves | 26 | 35 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43:39 | +4 | D W W W |
3  TPS | 26 | 32 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 28:28 | 0 | L L L D |
4  SJK | 26 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | W W D D |
5  Jaro | 26 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21:48 | -27 | W D D L |
UEFA Conference League Play-offs
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
Championship Round
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation
Relegation Round
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
About Veikkausliiga
The league profile compares Veikkausliiga with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
The Veikkausliiga is Finland’s top professional football league. Played during the summer months due to harsh winters, it features 12 clubs competing for national glory. The league emphasizes youth development and has grown in competitiveness and popularity in recent years.