1. Bristol City vs Sheffield United

Bristol City vs Sheffield United 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result
Bristol CityBristol City

0–1

Sheffield UnitedSheffield United
0.6Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Bristol City would usually take 0.8 points and Sheffield United 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Bristol City.

Bristol City −0.8 pts vs chancesSheffield United +1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Bristol City vs Sheffield United stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sheffield United had more than twice the shots on target

Bristol City

Sheffield United

1

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

1

3

Corners

5

1

Yellow cards

1

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Bristol City and Sheffield United ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Bristol City win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sheffield United – Derby County prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Bristol City vs Sheffield United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bristol City to win

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,152 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Bristol City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bristol City 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Sheffield United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sheffield United 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,272 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Bristol City vs Sheffield United 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bristol City vs Sheffield United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Bristol CityBristol City0
Sheffield UnitedSheffield United1

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

141%
X26%
233%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Bristol City27%73%61%39%
Sheffield United33%67%67%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Bristol City84%16%95%5%
Sheffield United88%12%97%3%

1st Half

130%
X43%
228%

1st Score

147%
X7%
246%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

2-2

20%

X-X

16%

X-1

13%

X-2

13%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

12.5%

1-0

10.2%

0-1

9.1%

2-1

8.9%

1-2

7.9%

0-0

7.3%

2-0

6.7%

0-2

5.3%

2-2

5.3%

3-1

4.0%

3-0

3.3%

1-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Bristol City vs Sheffield United — Recent Form

Sheffield United have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Bristol City have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Sheffield UnitedSheffield United
W
L
W
L
L
Bristol CityBristol City
L
L
D
W
L

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sheffield UnitedSheffield United
2/5
Bristol CityBristol City
1/5

Both Teams to Score

Sheffield UnitedSheffield United
2/5
Bristol CityBristol City
1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sheffield UnitedSheffield United
4/5
Bristol CityBristol City
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sheffield UnitedSheffield United
4/5
Bristol CityBristol City
5/5

First Half Result

Sheffield UnitedSheffield United
2/5
Bristol CityBristol City
2/5

Correct Score

Sheffield UnitedSheffield United
0/5
Bristol CityBristol City
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sheffield United – Derby County prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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