Valencia vs Athletic Club 0-0 Score & Prediction Review
La Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Valencia drew despite more chances
Valencia0–0
Athletic ClubOn these chances Valencia would usually take 2.2 points and Athletic Club 0.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Athletic Club.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Valencia vs Athletic Club stats: how the match was played
La Liga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Valencia had clearly more shots on target
Valencia
Athletic Club
3
Shots on target
2
5
Big chances
0
2
Corners
6
3
Yellow cards
3
37%
Possession
63%
Valencia vs Athletic Club — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Athletic Club to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,484 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 6,457 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,556 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Valencia 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Athletic Club 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,590 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Valencia vs Athletic Club 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Valencia vs Athletic Club. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Valencia0
Athletic Club0Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Valencia0Athletic Club0Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37% | 63% | 70% | 30% |
| 25% | 75% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
28%
X-2
17%
X-X
16%
1-1
15%
X-1
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.0%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-0
7.8%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Valencia vs Athletic Club — Recent Form
Athletic Club have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Valencia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 19th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Athletic ClubValenciaOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
ValenciaAthletic ClubBoth Teams to Score
ValenciaAthletic ClubOver/Under 2.5 Goals
ValenciaAthletic ClubOver/Under 3.5 Goals
ValenciaAthletic ClubFirst Half Result
ValenciaAthletic ClubCorrect Score
ValenciaAthletic Club