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Swindon Town vs Walsall

Swindon Town vs Walsall 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result

Swindon Town

1–1

Walsall

1.5Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Swindon Town would usually take 1.2 points and Walsall 1.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Walsall.

Swindon Town −0.2 pts vs chancesWalsall −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Swindon Town vs Walsall stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Walsall had clearly more shots on target

Swindon Town

Walsall

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

39%

Possession

61%

The match between Swindon Town and Walsall ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Walsall win at 37% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bristol Rovers – Swindon Town prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Swindon Town vs Walsall — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Walsall to win

Wrong

Our model 37%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,096 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,457 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 2,839 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 75%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 4,556 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 46%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 4,235 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Swindon Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Swindon Town 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,676 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Walsall Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Walsall 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,653 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Swindon Town vs Walsall 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Swindon Town vs Walsall. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League Two - England

Swindon Town1

Walsall1

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

· FT

League Two - England

Swindon Town1

Walsall1

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

136%

X27%

237%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	28%	72%	53%	47%	65%	35%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	28%	72%	53%	47%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	65%	35%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	31%	69%	66%	34%	87%	13%	96%	4%
	31%	69%	65%	35%	87%	13%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	31%	69%	66%	34%
	31%	69%	65%	35%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	87%	13%	96%	4%
	87%	13%	96%	4%

1st Half

127%

X46%

227%

1st Score

145%

X8%

247%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

20%

1-1

19%

X-X

16%

X-2

15%

X-1

14%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.8%

1-0

10.3%

0-1

10.0%

1-2

8.4%

2-1

8.0%

0-0

7.8%

0-2

6.3%

2-0

6.1%

2-2

5.0%

1-3

3.5%

3-1

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Swindon Town vs Walsall — Recent Form

Walsall have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Swindon Town have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Walsall

Swindon Town

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Walsall

2/5

Swindon Town

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Walsall

2/5

Swindon Town

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Walsall

2/5

Swindon Town

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Walsall

5/5

Swindon Town

4/5

First Half Result

Walsall

2/5

Swindon Town

2/5

Correct Score

Walsall

3/5

Swindon Town

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bristol Rovers – Swindon Town prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).