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Junior FC vs Deportivo Pereira

Junior FC vs Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 4)

Robbed

Junior FC drew despite more chances

Junior FC

1–1

Deportivo Pereira

1.2Chances (xG)0.4

On these chances Junior FC would usually take 2.1 points and Deportivo Pereira 0.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Junior FC.

Junior FC −1.0 pts vs chancesDeportivo Pereira +0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Junior FC vs Deportivo Pereira stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Junior FC had more than twice the shots on target

Junior FC

Deportivo Pereira

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

49%

Possession

51%

The match between Junior FC and Deportivo Pereira ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Junior FC win at 75% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Junior FC – Rionegro Águilas prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Junior FC vs Deportivo Pereira — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Junior FC to win

Wrong

Our model 75%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 145 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,457 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,377 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Junior FC ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 300 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Junior FC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Junior FC 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 67%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,676 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Deportivo Pereira Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Pereira 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 89%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 595 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Junior FC vs Deportivo Pereira 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Junior FC vs Deportivo Pereira. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Junior FC1

Deportivo Pereira1

Winner

1 75%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

2-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Junior FC1

Deportivo Pereira1

Winner

1 75%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

2-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

175%

X16%

28%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%	55%	45%	76%	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	55%	45%	76%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	10%	90%	33%	67%	59%	41%	80%	20%
	61%	39%	89%	11%	98%	2%	100%	0%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	10%	90%	33%	67%
	61%	39%	89%	11%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	59%	41%	80%	20%
	98%	2%	100%	0%

1st Half

156%

X35%

29%

1st Score

174%

X5%

221%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

50%

X-1

21%

X-X

11%

X-2

2-2

1-X

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

2-0

12.5%

1-0

12.1%

3-0

10.5%

2-1

9.8%

1-1

7.7%

3-1

7.4%

0-0

5.3%

0-1

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Junior FC vs Deportivo Pereira — Recent Form

Deportivo Pereira have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table. Junior FC have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Deportivo Pereira

Junior FC

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Junior FC

2/5

Deportivo Pereira

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Junior FC

3/5

Deportivo Pereira

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Junior FC

3/5

Deportivo Pereira

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Junior FC

2/5

Deportivo Pereira

4/5

First Half Result

Junior FC

3/5

Deportivo Pereira

3/5

Correct Score

Junior FC

0/5

Deportivo Pereira

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Junior FC – Rionegro Águilas prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).