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St. Louis City vs LA Galaxy 6-2 Score & Prediction Review
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
St. Louis City6–2
LA GalaxyOn these chances St. Louis City would usually take 1.5 points and LA Galaxy 1.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: St. Louis City.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →St. Louis City vs LA Galaxy stats: how the match was played
Major League Soccer
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
St. Louis City
LA Galaxy
6
Shots on target
7
4
Big chances
3
2
Corners
3
2
Yellow cards
2
60%
Possession
40%
St. Louis City vs LA Galaxy — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Major League Soccer
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
St. Louis City to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,797 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,450 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 936 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).
Our model’s pick
St. Louis City ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
St. Louis City 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
LA Galaxy 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
St. Louis City vs LA Galaxy 6-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for St. Louis City vs LA Galaxy. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
St. Louis City6
LA Galaxy2Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
St. Louis City6LA Galaxy2Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 36% | 64% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 49% | 51% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15% | 85% | 41% | 59% |
| 39% | 61% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68% | 32% | 85% | 15% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
37%
X-1
18%
X-X
12%
2-2
10%
X-2
6%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
2-1
10.5%
1-1
9.8%
1-0
8.0%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.5%
0-1
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
St. Louis City vs LA Galaxy — Recent Form
St. Louis City have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. LA Galaxy have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Last 5 matches
St. Louis CityLA GalaxyOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
LA GalaxySt. Louis CityBoth Teams to Score
LA GalaxySt. Louis CityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
LA GalaxySt. Louis CityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
LA GalaxySt. Louis CityFirst Half Result
LA GalaxySt. Louis CityCorrect Score
LA GalaxySt. Louis City