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Bodø / Glimt vs Sporting CP

Bodø / Glimt vs Sporting CP 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Champions League - Season 2025/2026 8th Finals (Knock Out)

Fair result

Bodø / Glimt

3–0

Sporting CP

2.0Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Bodø / Glimt would usually take 2.2 points and Sporting CP 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Bodø / Glimt.

Bodø / Glimt +0.8 pts vs chancesSporting CP −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Bodø / Glimt vs Sporting CP stats: how the match was played

Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Bodø / Glimt had more than twice the shots on target

Bodø / Glimt

Sporting CP

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

49%

Possession

51%

The match between Bodø / Glimt and Sporting CP ended 3-0. Our AI model predicted an Sporting CP win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Shakhtar Donetsk – Sporting CP prediction & betting tips (Nov 3, 2026).

Bodø / Glimt vs Sporting CP — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting CP to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Bodø / Glimt to win.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 1,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,687 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 2,382 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 37%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 1,996 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Bodø / Glimt Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bodø / Glimt 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Bodø / Glimt 2+ goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.

Sporting CP Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting CP 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Bodø / Glimt vs Sporting CP 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bodø / Glimt vs Sporting CP. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Champions League - Europe

Bodø / Glimt3

Sporting CP0

Winner

12 77%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

· FT

Champions League - Europe

Bodø / Glimt3

Sporting CP0

Winner

12 77%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

137%

X23%

239%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	40%	60%	52%	48%	77%	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	40%	60%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	52%	48%	77%	23%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	28%	72%	58%	42%	81%	19%	93%	7%
	27%	73%	56%	44%	80%	20%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	58%	42%
	27%	73%	56%	44%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	81%	19%	93%	7%
	80%	20%	92%	8%

1st Half

134%

X37%

230%

1st Score

149%

X5%

246%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

2-2

23%

X-1

13%

X-X

12%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.4%

1-2

8.4%

2-1

7.8%

1-0

7.1%

0-1

7.0%

2-2

6.1%

0-2

5.7%

2-0

5.1%

0-0

4.8%

1-3

4.2%

3-1

4.1%

2-3

3.3%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Shakhtar Donetsk – Sporting CP prediction & betting tips (Nov 3, 2026).