Villarreal vs Napoli Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
Villarreal vs Napoli — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Villarreal to win
Our track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.9% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,136 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,892 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.7% of the time (bookmakers said 67.0%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,242 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 45.0% of the time (bookmakers said 44.3%).
Our model’s pick
Villarreal 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,077 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Napoli 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 64.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Villarreal vs Napoli — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Villarreal vs Napoli. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Villarreal–
Napoli–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Villarreal–Napoli–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27% | 73% | 59% | 41% |
 | 31% | 69% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
18%
X-X
17%
X-1
14%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
3-2
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Villarreal vs Napoli — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
VillarrealNapoliBoth Teams to Score
VillarrealNapoliOver/Under 2.5 Goals
VillarrealNapoliOver/Under 3.5 Goals
VillarrealNapoliFirst Half Result
VillarrealNapoliCorrect Score
VillarrealNapoli