1. Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers

Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2024/2025 (Round 27)

Fair result
Plymouth ArgylePlymouth Argyle

0–1

Queens Park RangersQueens Park Rangers
0.3Chances (xG)2.2

On these chances Plymouth Argyle would usually take 0.3 points and Queens Park Rangers 2.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Queens Park Rangers.

Plymouth Argyle −0.3 pts vs chancesQueens Park Rangers +0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Queens Park Rangers had more than twice the shots on target

Plymouth Argyle

Queens Park Rangers

1

Shots on target

7

0

Big chances

6

8

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

3

47%

Possession

53%

The match between Plymouth Argyle and Queens Park Rangers ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Plymouth Argyle win at 45% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Southampton – Queens Park Rangers prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Plymouth Argyle to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Queens Park Rangers to win.

Our model 45%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 374 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.9% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,142 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 76%

Our track record

In 4,538 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 42%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Plymouth Argyle Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Plymouth Argyle 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,462 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Queens Park Rangers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Queens Park Rangers 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,360 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Plymouth ArgylePlymouth Argyle0
Queens Park RangersQueens Park Rangers1

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

145%
X28%
227%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%52%48%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Plymouth Argyle24%76%57%43%
Queens Park Rangers38%62%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Plymouth Argyle81%19%93%7%
Queens Park Rangers90%10%97%3%

1st Half

134%
X42%
224%

1st Score

149%
X8%
243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-1

17%

X-X

16%

2-2

14%

X-2

10%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

1-0

11.2%

2-1

8.9%

0-0

8.2%

2-0

8.1%

0-1

7.7%

1-2

6.6%

2-2

5.6%

3-1

4.3%

0-2

4.1%

3-0

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Southampton – Queens Park Rangers prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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