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Bristol City vs Coventry City 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2025/2026 (Round 36)

Fair result
Bristol CityBristol City

0–2

Coventry CityCoventry City
2.1Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Bristol City would usually take 1.9 points and Coventry City 0.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Coventry City.

Bristol City −1.9 pts vs chancesCoventry City +2.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Bristol City vs Coventry City stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Bristol City

Coventry City

6

Shots on target

7

1

Big chances

3

11

Corners

3

3

Yellow cards

2

1

Red cards

1

59%

Possession

41%

The match between Bristol City and Coventry City ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Coventry City win with 38% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Stoke City – Bristol City prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Bristol City vs Coventry City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Coventry City to win

Correct
Our model 38%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 2,100 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,689 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 4,554 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Bristol City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bristol City 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Coventry City Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Coventry City 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Coventry City 2+ goals.

Our model 61%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 358 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Bristol City vs Coventry City 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bristol City vs Coventry City. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Championship - England
Bristol CityBristol City0
Coventry CityCoventry City2

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

136%
X26%
238%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Bristol City29%71%63%37%
Coventry City29%71%61%39%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Bristol City85%15%95%5%
Coventry City84%16%95%5%

1st Half

127%
X42%
231%

1st Score

140%
X7%
253%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

25%

1-1

17%

X-X

15%

X-2

15%

X-1

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.1%

0-1

8.8%

1-0

8.7%

1-2

8.7%

2-1

8.2%

0-0

6.7%

0-2

6.0%

2-2

5.9%

2-0

5.8%

1-3

3.8%

3-1

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Stoke City – Bristol City prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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