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Leicester City vs Queens Park Rangers 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2025/2026 (Round 38)

Fair result
Leicester CityLeicester City

1–3

Queens Park RangersQueens Park Rangers
0.7Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Leicester City would usually take 1.0 points and Queens Park Rangers 1.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Leicester City.

Leicester City −1.0 pts vs chancesQueens Park Rangers +1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Leicester City vs Queens Park Rangers stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Queens Park Rangers had clearly more shots on target

Leicester City

Queens Park Rangers

2

Shots on target

3

0

Big chances

2

3

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

3

63%

Possession

37%

The match between Leicester City and Queens Park Rangers ended 1-3. Our AI model predicted a Leicester City win at 47% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Queens Park Rangers – Derby County prediction & betting tips (Oct 14, 2026).

Leicester City vs Queens Park Rangers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Leicester City to win

Wrong
Our model 47%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 3,440 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 5,613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,254 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 2,343 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 42%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,623 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Leicester City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Leicester City 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,784 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Queens Park Rangers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Queens Park Rangers 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,236 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Leicester City vs Queens Park Rangers 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Leicester City vs Queens Park Rangers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Championship - England
Leicester CityLeicester City1
Queens Park RangersQueens Park Rangers3

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

147%
X24%
229%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%46%77%23%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Leicester City22%78%51%49%
Queens Park Rangers35%65%66%34%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Leicester City76%24%90%10%
Queens Park Rangers86%14%95%5%

1st Half

135%
X42%
223%

1st Score

156%
X6%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-1

16%

X-X

16%

2-2

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.7%

2-1

9.2%

1-0

9.0%

2-0

7.1%

1-2

6.8%

0-1

6.3%

2-2

5.9%

0-0

5.7%

3-1

5.0%

3-0

3.9%

0-2

3.6%

3-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Queens Park Rangers – Derby County prediction & betting tips (Oct 14, 2026).

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