Derby County vs Oxford United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Championship - Season 2025/2026 (Round 43)
Derby County vs Oxford United — Championship Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 43 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
Derby County-12.6% Below implied probability
Oxford United-1.6% Near implied probability
┊ 43.6% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Derby County+5.5% Above implied probability
Oxford United+1.3% Above implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Derby County+15.5% Strongly above implied probability
Oxford United-6.7% Near implied probability
┊ 53.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Derby County+22.9% Strongly above implied probability
Oxford United+30.6% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 62% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Derby County-13.3% Below implied probability
Oxford United-13.3% Below implied probability
┊ 38.4% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Derby CountyOxford UnitedOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Derby County and Oxford United across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Oxford United hit at 81% accuracy — that's 30.6% above the bookmaker baseline of 62%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Derby County sit 13.3% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Derby County vs Oxford United — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Derby County vs Oxford United. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 53% | |
| X | 26% | |
| 2 | 21% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
| 1 | 36% | |
| X | 44% | |
| 2 | 20% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29% | 5% | 18% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 11% | 5% | 9% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 18% | 3% |
| 1 | 60% | |
| X | 8% | |
| 2 | 31% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21% | 79% | 54% | 46% |
 | 45% | 55% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 0-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 53% | |
| X | 26% | |
| 2 | 21% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
| 1 | 36% | |
| X | 44% | |
| 2 | 20% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29% | 5% | 18% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 11% | 5% | 9% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 18% | 3% |
| 1 | 60% | |
| X | 8% | |
| 2 | 31% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 54% | 46% |
| 45% | 55% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Derby County vs Oxford United — Prediction Form & Streaks
Derby County have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Oxford United have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 22th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Derby County well in the Full-Time Result market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
Derby CountyOxford UnitedBoth Teams To Score
Derby CountyOxford UnitedOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Derby CountyOxford UnitedOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Derby CountyOxford UnitedFirst Half Result
Derby CountyOxford UnitedCorrect Score
Derby CountyOxford UnitedDerby County & Oxford United Teams in Best Form
Derby CountyOxford United