Derby County vs Oxford United 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Championship - Season 2025/2026 (Round 43)
Derby County vs Oxford United — Championship Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 43 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
Derby County-8.6% Near implied probability
Oxford United+11.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 42.8% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Derby County+12.4% Strongly above implied probability
Oxford United+4.2% Above implied probability
┊ 54.2% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Derby County+21.2% Strongly above implied probability
Oxford United-3% Near implied probability
┊ 53.8% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Derby County+24.1% Strongly above implied probability
Oxford United+31.2% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 61.3% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Derby County-14% Below implied probability
Oxford United-14% Below implied probability
┊ 37.9% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Derby CountyOxford UnitedOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Derby County and Oxford United across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Oxford United hit at 80% accuracy — that's 31.2% above the bookmaker baseline of 61.3%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Derby County sit 14% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Derby County vs Oxford United 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Derby County vs Oxford United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
| 1 | 54% | |
| X | 26% | |
| 2 | 20% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
| 1 | 39% | |
| X | 44% | |
| 2 | 17% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32% | 5% | 19% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 9% | 5% | 8% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 1% | 17% | 3% |
| 1 | 62% | |
| X | 9% | |
| 2 | 29% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21% | 79% | 54% | 46% |
 | 46% | 54% | 80% | 20% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 79% | 21% | 93% | 7% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 0-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 54% | |
| X | 26% | |
| 2 | 20% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
| 1 | 39% | |
| X | 44% | |
| 2 | 17% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32% | 5% | 19% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 9% | 5% | 8% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 1% | 17% | 3% |
| 1 | 62% | |
| X | 9% | |
| 2 | 29% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 54% | 46% |
| 46% | 54% | 80% | 20% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 79% | 21% | 93% | 7% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Derby County vs Oxford United — Prediction Form & Streaks
Derby County have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Oxford United have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 22th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Derby County well in the Both Teams To Score market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
Derby CountyOxford UnitedBoth Teams To Score
Derby CountyOxford UnitedOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Derby CountyOxford UnitedOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Derby CountyOxford UnitedFirst Half Result
Derby CountyOxford UnitedCorrect Score
Derby CountyOxford UnitedDerby County & Oxford United Teams in Best Form
Derby CountyOxford United