2. Leagues
  3. Championship
  4. Bristol City vs Lincoln City

Bristol City vs Lincoln City 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Fair result
Bristol CityBristol City

0–1

Lincoln CityLincoln City
1.5Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Bristol City would usually take 1.9 points and Lincoln City 0.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Bristol City.

Bristol City −1.9 pts vs chancesLincoln City +2.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Bristol City vs Lincoln City stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Bristol City

Lincoln City

4

Shots on target

3

1

Big chances

1

13

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

5

68%

Possession

33%

The match between Bristol City and Lincoln City ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Bristol City win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Stoke City – Bristol City prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Bristol City vs Lincoln City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bristol City to win

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 2,098 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,955 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Bristol City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bristol City 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Lincoln City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lincoln City 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 2,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Bristol City vs Lincoln City 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bristol City vs Lincoln City. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Championship - England
Bristol CityBristol City0
Lincoln CityLincoln City1

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

140%
X26%
234%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Bristol City27%73%59%41%
Lincoln City30%70%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Bristol City82%18%94%6%
Lincoln City85%15%95%5%

1st Half

133%
X41%
226%

1st Score

151%
X6%
243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

2-2

18%

X-X

17%

X-1

13%

X-2

11%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

2-1

9.0%

1-0

8.6%

1-2

8.0%

0-1

7.7%

0-0

6.5%

2-0

6.1%

2-2

5.9%

0-2

5.0%

3-1

4.1%

1-3

3.5%

3-0

3.3%

3-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Stoke City – Bristol City prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores