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West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
1–1
On these chances West Ham United would usually take 1.4 points and Queens Park Rangers 1.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: West Ham United.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers stats: how the match was played
Championship
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
West Ham United had clearly more shots on target
West Ham United
Queens Park Rangers
5
Shots on target
3
4
Big chances
2
4
Corners
1
2
Yellow cards
4
65%
Possession
35%
West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Championship
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
West Ham United to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,638 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,757 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,366 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,004 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: West Ham United ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
West Ham United 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: West Ham United 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,033 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Queens Park Rangers 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,682 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.5% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 55% | 45% | |
| 31% | 69% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% | |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
2-2
17%
X-X
16%
X-1
13%
X-2
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
0-0
6.0%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-2
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers — Recent Form
West Ham United have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Queens Park Rangers have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score