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Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers

Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Smash-and-grab

Blackburn Rovers won with less than half the chances

Bristol City

0–1

Blackburn Rovers

2.1Chances (xG)0.2

On these chances Bristol City would usually take 2.6 points and Blackburn Rovers 0.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Bristol City.

Bristol City −2.6 pts vs chancesBlackburn Rovers +2.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Bristol City had more than twice the shots on target

Bristol City

Blackburn Rovers

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

55%

Possession

45%

The match between Bristol City and Blackburn Rovers ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Bristol City win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Stoke City – Bristol City prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bristol City to win

Wrong

Our model 40%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 76%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,655 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 43%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 6,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Bristol City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bristol City 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Blackburn Rovers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Blackburn Rovers 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,279 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Championship - England

Bristol City0

Blackburn Rovers1

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

· FT

Championship - England

Bristol City0

Blackburn Rovers1

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

140%

X27%

232%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%	66%	34%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	66%	34%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	29%	71%	62%	38%	85%	15%	95%	5%
	34%	66%	69%	31%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	62%	38%
	34%	66%	69%	31%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	85%	15%	95%	5%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

1st Half

134%

X43%

223%

1st Score

154%

X8%

238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-X

17%

X-1

16%

2-2

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

12.8%

1-0

10.6%

0-1

9.6%

2-1

8.9%

0-0

8.4%

1-2

7.7%

2-0

6.9%

0-2

5.4%

2-2

5.0%

3-1

3.6%

3-0

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers — Recent Form

Blackburn Rovers have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Bristol City have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Blackburn Rovers

Bristol City

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Blackburn Rovers

1/5

Bristol City

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Blackburn Rovers

2/5

Bristol City

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Blackburn Rovers

2/5

Bristol City

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Blackburn Rovers

2/5

Bristol City

5/5

First Half Result

Blackburn Rovers

1/5

Bristol City

2/5

Correct Score

Blackburn Rovers

0/5

Bristol City

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Stoke City – Bristol City prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).