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Portsmouth vs Sheffield United

Portsmouth vs Sheffield United 3-2 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result

Portsmouth

3–2

Sheffield United

2.1Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Portsmouth would usually take 1.9 points and Sheffield United 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Portsmouth.

Portsmouth +1.1 pts vs chancesSheffield United −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Portsmouth vs Sheffield United stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Portsmouth had clearly more shots on target

Portsmouth

Sheffield United

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

67%

Possession

33%

The match between Portsmouth and Sheffield United ended 3-2. Our AI model predicted an Sheffield United win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sheffield United – Derby County prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Portsmouth vs Sheffield United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sheffield United to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Portsmouth to win.

Our model 38%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,525 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 69%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 3,955 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 44%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Portsmouth Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Portsmouth 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Sheffield United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sheffield United 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Portsmouth vs Sheffield United 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Portsmouth vs Sheffield United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Championship - England

Portsmouth3

Sheffield United2

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

· FT

Championship - England

Portsmouth3

Sheffield United2

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

136%

X26%

238%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	23%	77%	47%	53%	59%	41%	83%	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	23%	77%	47%	53%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	59%	41%	83%	17%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	29%	71%	62%	38%	84%	16%	94%	6%
	28%	72%	61%	39%	84%	16%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	62%	38%
	28%	72%	61%	39%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	84%	16%	94%	6%
	84%	16%	95%	5%

1st Half

127%

X44%

229%

1st Score

141%

X6%

252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

21%

1-1

19%

X-X

17%

X-2

15%

X-1

12%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

12.2%

0-1

8.9%

1-2

8.6%

1-0

8.1%

2-1

8.1%

0-0

6.3%

2-2

6.0%

0-2

5.9%

2-0

5.5%

1-3

3.8%

3-1

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Portsmouth vs Sheffield United — Recent Form

Portsmouth have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Sheffield United have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Portsmouth

Sheffield United

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Portsmouth

1/5

Sheffield United

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Portsmouth

4/5

Sheffield United

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Portsmouth

1/5

Sheffield United

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Portsmouth

3/5

Sheffield United

4/5

First Half Result

Portsmouth

2/5

Sheffield United

2/5

Correct Score

Portsmouth

2/5

Sheffield United

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sheffield United – Derby County prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).