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Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha

Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result

Baník Ostrava

0–0

Sparta Praha

1.2Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Baník Ostrava would usually take 1.0 points and Sparta Praha 1.8; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Sparta Praha.

Baník Ostrava 0.0 pts vs chancesSparta Praha −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha stats: how the match was played

Chance Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Baník Ostrava

Sparta Praha

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Baník Ostrava and Sparta Praha ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Sparta Praha win at 58% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Viktoria Plzeň – Sparta Praha prediction & betting tips (Nov 8, 2026).

Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Chance Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sparta Praha to win

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 1,816 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,787 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,360 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 4,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sparta Praha ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 41%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,717 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Baník Ostrava Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Baník Ostrava 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 74%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,603 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.9% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).

Sparta Praha Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sparta Praha 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,598 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Chance Liga - Czech Republic

Baník Ostrava0

Sparta Praha0

Winner

2 58%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-2 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

· FT

Chance Liga - Czech Republic

Baník Ostrava0

Sparta Praha0

Winner

2 58%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-2 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

120%

X22%

258%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	41%	59%	56%	45%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	41%	59%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	56%	45%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	42%	58%	74%	26%	92%	8%	98%	2%
	16%	84%	43%	57%	70%	30%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	42%	58%	74%	26%
	16%	84%	43%	57%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	92%	8%	98%	2%
	70%	30%	88%	12%

1st Half

120%

X39%

240%

1st Score

135%

X5%

260%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

36%

X-2

17%

X-X

13%

1-1

11%

X-1

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-2

10.9%

1-1

10.2%

0-1

9.7%

0-2

8.9%

0-3

6.3%

1-3

6.0%

2-1

5.7%

2-2

5.6%

0-0

5.0%

1-0

4.8%

2-3

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha — Recent Form

Sparta Praha have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Baník Ostrava have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Sparta Praha

Baník Ostrava

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sparta Praha

3/5

Baník Ostrava

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Sparta Praha

1/5

Baník Ostrava

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sparta Praha

2/5

Baník Ostrava

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sparta Praha

4/5

Baník Ostrava

2/5

First Half Result

Sparta Praha

3/5

Baník Ostrava

1/5

Correct Score

Sparta Praha

0/5

Baník Ostrava

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Viktoria Plzeň – Sparta Praha prediction & betting tips (Nov 8, 2026).