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Piast Gliwice vs Zagłębie Lubin 1-3 Score & Prediction Review
Ekstraklasa - Season 2025/2026 (Round 24)
Piast Gliwice1–3
Zagłębie LubinOn these chances Piast Gliwice would usually take 1.9 points and Zagłębie Lubin 0.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Piast Gliwice.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Piast Gliwice vs Zagłębie Lubin stats: how the match was played
Ekstraklasa
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Zagłębie Lubin had clearly more shots on target
Piast Gliwice
Zagłębie Lubin
3
Shots on target
5
2
Big chances
1
10
Corners
7
1
Yellow cards
3
67%
Possession
33%
Piast Gliwice vs Zagłębie Lubin — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ekstraklasa
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Piast Gliwice to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 6,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,655 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Piast Gliwice 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Zagłębie Lubin 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,358 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Piast Gliwice vs Zagłębie Lubin 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Piast Gliwice vs Zagłębie Lubin. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Piast Gliwice1
Zagłębie Lubin3Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Piast Gliwice1Zagłębie Lubin3Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 61% | 39% |
| 36% | 64% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
22%
X-X
19%
2-2
17%
X-1
15%
X-2
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score