1. Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb

Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

1. HNL - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result
GoricaGorica

0–0

Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb
1.3Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Gorica would usually take 1.6 points and Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.1; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Gorica.

Gorica −0.6 pts vs chancesLokomotiva Zagreb −0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb stats: how the match was played

1. HNL

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Gorica had more than twice the shots on target

Gorica

Lokomotiva Zagreb

4

Shots on target

1

1

Big chances

0

10

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

2

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Gorica and Lokomotiva Zagreb ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Lokomotiva Zagreb win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lokomotiva Zagreb – Osijek prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 1. HNL

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lokomotiva Zagreb to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Gorica to win.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 32%

Our track record

In 1,085 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,525 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,185 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 4,606 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 4,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Gorica Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gorica 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,684 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Lokomotiva Zagreb Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,679 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
GoricaGorica0
Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb0

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

133%
X26%
241%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%52%48%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%86%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Gorica34%66%68%32%
Lokomotiva Zagreb28%72%61%39%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Gorica88%12%97%3%
Lokomotiva Zagreb84%16%95%5%

1st Half

125%
X45%
230%

1st Score

144%
X8%
248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

22%

1-1

17%

X-X

17%

X-2

16%

X-1

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

12.3%

0-1

10.2%

1-0

9.2%

1-2

8.7%

0-0

7.7%

2-1

7.5%

0-2

6.9%

2-2

5.3%

2-0

5.1%

1-3

3.9%

0-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb — Recent Form

Lokomotiva Zagreb have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Gorica have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb
D
W
L
L
D
GoricaGorica
L
D
D
L
W

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb
2/5
GoricaGorica
1/5

Both Teams to Score

Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb
1/5
GoricaGorica
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb
3/5
GoricaGorica
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb
4/5
GoricaGorica
4/5

First Half Result

Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb
3/5
GoricaGorica
3/5

Correct Score

Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb
1/5
GoricaGorica
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lokomotiva Zagreb – Osijek prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

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