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Fleetwood Town vs Cheltenham Town

Fleetwood Town vs Cheltenham Town 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2025/2026 (Round 26)

Fair result

Fleetwood Town

2–2

Cheltenham Town

1.3Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Fleetwood Town would usually take 1.3 points and Cheltenham Town 1.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Fleetwood Town.

Fleetwood Town −0.3 pts vs chancesCheltenham Town −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Fleetwood Town vs Cheltenham Town stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Fleetwood Town

Cheltenham Town

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

48%

Possession

53%

The match between Fleetwood Town and Cheltenham Town ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Fleetwood Town win at 47% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Both Teams To Score — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Cheltenham Town – Newport County prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Fleetwood Town vs Cheltenham Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fleetwood Town to win

Wrong

Our model 47%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 3,484 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 75%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 4,557 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Fleetwood Town Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fleetwood Town 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Fleetwood Town 2+ goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,011 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.0% than to our 55–60%.

Cheltenham Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cheltenham Town 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 73%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Fleetwood Town vs Cheltenham Town 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Fleetwood Town vs Cheltenham Town. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League Two - England

Fleetwood Town2

Cheltenham Town2

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

· FT

League Two - England

Fleetwood Town2

Cheltenham Town2

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

147%

X27%

226%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	28%	72%	53%	47%	65%	35%	87%	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	28%	72%	53%	47%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	65%	35%	87%	14%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	24%	76%	57%	43%	81%	19%	94%	6%
	39%	61%	73%	27%	92%	8%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	57%	43%
	39%	61%	73%	27%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	81%	19%	94%	6%
	92%	8%	98%	2%

1st Half

134%

X44%

221%

1st Score

156%

X8%

236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-1

17%

X-X

17%

2-2

12%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

1-0

11.7%

2-1

9.4%

2-0

8.4%

0-1

8.1%

0-0

8.1%

1-2

6.6%

2-2

5.0%

3-1

4.5%

3-0

4.2%

0-2

4.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Cheltenham Town – Newport County prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).