2. Leagues
  3. League Two
  4. Cheltenham Town vs Barrow

Cheltenham Town vs Barrow 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2025/2026 (Round 36)

Fair result
Cheltenham TownCheltenham Town

2–2

BarrowBarrow
1.3Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Cheltenham Town would usually take 1.3 points and Barrow 1.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Cheltenham Town.

Cheltenham Town −0.3 pts vs chancesBarrow −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Cheltenham Town vs Barrow stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Barrow had clearly more shots on target

Cheltenham Town

Barrow

4

Shots on target

7

2

Big chances

4

1

Corners

3

1

Yellow cards

2

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Cheltenham Town and Barrow ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Cheltenham Town win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Oldham Athletic – Cheltenham Town prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

Cheltenham Town vs Barrow — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cheltenham Town to win

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,498 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 5,507 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 2,776 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 68%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,835 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 42%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 6,515 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Cheltenham Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cheltenham Town 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,359 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Barrow Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Barrow 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,614 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Cheltenham Town vs Barrow 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Cheltenham Town vs Barrow. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
League Two - England
Cheltenham TownCheltenham Town2
BarrowBarrow2

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

142%
X25%
233%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Cheltenham Town25%75%57%43%
Barrow31%69%64%36%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Cheltenham Town81%19%93%7%
Barrow86%14%95%5%

1st Half

128%
X42%
230%

1st Score

145%
X6%
250%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

21%

1-1

20%

X-X

16%

X-1

13%

X-2

13%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.9%

2-1

8.8%

1-0

8.7%

1-2

7.9%

0-1

7.7%

2-0

6.5%

2-2

5.9%

0-0

5.8%

0-2

5.1%

3-1

4.5%

1-3

3.4%

3-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Oldham Athletic – Cheltenham Town prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores