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Tranmere Rovers vs Oldham Athletic 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2025/2026 (Round 36)

Fair result
Tranmere RoversTranmere Rovers

1–3

Oldham AthleticOldham Athletic
1.0Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Tranmere Rovers would usually take 0.9 points and Oldham Athletic 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Oldham Athletic.

Tranmere Rovers −0.9 pts vs chancesOldham Athletic +1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Tranmere Rovers vs Oldham Athletic stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Oldham Athletic had more than twice the shots on target

Tranmere Rovers

Oldham Athletic

1

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

2

2

Corners

3

2

Yellow cards

1

55%

Possession

45%

The match between Tranmere Rovers and Oldham Athletic ended 1-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Oldham Athletic win with 40% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Both Teams To Score.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Barnet – Oldham Athletic prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Tranmere Rovers vs Oldham Athletic — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Oldham Athletic to win

Correct
Our model 40%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 2,099 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,461 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,155 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 76%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,654 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,656 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Tranmere Rovers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tranmere Rovers 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,673 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Oldham Athletic Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Oldham Athletic 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Tranmere Rovers vs Oldham Athletic 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Tranmere Rovers vs Oldham Athletic. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
League Two - England
Tranmere RoversTranmere Rovers1
Oldham AthleticOldham Athletic3

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

133%
X27%
240%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Tranmere Rovers34%66%68%32%
Oldham Athletic29%71%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Tranmere Rovers89%11%97%3%
Oldham Athletic86%14%95%5%

1st Half

127%
X44%
229%

1st Score

143%
X9%
248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

22%

1-1

18%

X-X

17%

X-2

15%

X-1

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

0-1

10.8%

1-0

9.5%

0-0

8.6%

1-2

8.6%

2-1

7.7%

0-2

6.9%

2-0

5.4%

2-2

5.0%

1-3

3.6%

0-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Barnet – Oldham Athletic prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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