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Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira 5-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 9)

Fair result
MillonariosMillonarios

5–1

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
2.3Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Millonarios would usually take 2.1 points and Deportivo Pereira 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Millonarios.

Millonarios +0.9 pts vs chancesDeportivo Pereira −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Millonarios had more than twice the shots on target

Millonarios

Deportivo Pereira

12

Shots on target

3

1

Big chances

0

7

Corners

1

1

Yellow cards

1

55%

Possession

45%

The match between Millonarios and Deportivo Pereira ended 5-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Millonarios win with 61% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Junior FC – Deportivo Pereira prediction & betting tips (Oct 14, 2026).

Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Millonarios to win

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 1,048 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,254 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 79%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,647 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Millonarios ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 6,623 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Millonarios Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Millonarios 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Millonarios 2+ goals.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,837 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Deportivo Pereira Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Pereira 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 86%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 598 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.1% of the time (bookmakers said 85.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira 5-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga BetPlay - Colombia
MillonariosMillonarios5
Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1

Winner

1 61%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

161%
X25%
214%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT31%69%57%43%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Millonarios18%82%50%50%
Deportivo Pereira53%47%86%14%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Millonarios78%22%92%8%
Deportivo Pereira97%3%99%1%

1st Half

143%
X42%
215%

1st Score

166%
X9%
225%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

38%

X-1

20%

X-X

16%

2-2

7%

X-2

6%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

16.0%

2-0

12.6%

1-1

11.5%

2-1

10.5%

0-0

9.2%

3-0

7.1%

0-1

6.0%

3-1

4.7%

1-2

3.8%

2-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Junior FC – Deportivo Pereira prediction & betting tips (Oct 14, 2026).

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