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Vitória SC vs Marítimo 5-0 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Portugal - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Vitória SC5–0
MarítimoOn these chances Vitória SC would usually take 2.1 points and Marítimo 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Vitória SC.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Vitória SC vs Marítimo stats: how the match was played
Liga Portugal
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Vitória SC had more than twice the shots on target
Vitória SC
Marítimo
8
Shots on target
2
3
Big chances
0
6
Corners
5
4
Yellow cards
3
58%
Possession
42%
Vitória SC vs Marítimo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Portugal
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Vitória SC to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 6,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.5% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,639 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Vitória SC ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 546 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Vitória SC 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Vitória SC 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,025 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.8% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Marítimo 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,573 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Vitória SC vs Marítimo 5-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Vitória SC vs Marítimo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Vitória SC5
Marítimo0Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Vitória SC5Marítimo0Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 55% | 45% |
| 43% | 57% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
31%
X-1
20%
X-X
18%
X-2
9%
2-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Vitória SC vs Marítimo — Recent Form
Vitória SC have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Marítimo have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Vitória SCMarítimoOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Vitória SCMarítimoBoth Teams to Score
Vitória SCMarítimoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Vitória SCMarítimoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Vitória SCMarítimoFirst Half Result
Vitória SCMarítimoCorrect Score
Vitória SCMarítimo