Home
Leagues
Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs Arouca

Santa Clara vs Arouca 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Portugal - Season 2025/2026 (Round 15)

Fair result

Santa Clara

0–0

Arouca

0.9Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Santa Clara would usually take 1.6 points and Arouca 1.1; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Santa Clara.

Santa Clara −0.6 pts vs chancesArouca −0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Santa Clara vs Arouca stats: how the match was played

Liga Portugal

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Santa Clara had more than twice the shots on target

Santa Clara

Arouca

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Santa Clara and Arouca ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Santa Clara win at 52% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Alverca – Arouca prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Santa Clara vs Arouca — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Portugal

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Santa Clara to win

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 2,470 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 3,956 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 47%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Santa Clara Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Santa Clara 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Santa Clara 0–1 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 1,850 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Arouca Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Arouca 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Santa Clara vs Arouca 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Santa Clara vs Arouca. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Santa Clara0

Arouca0

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

· FT

Liga Portugal - Portugal

Santa Clara0

Arouca0

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

152%

X25%

223%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%	58%	42%	81%	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	58%	42%	81%	19%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	20%	80%	49%	51%	75%	25%	90%	10%
	40%	60%	72%	28%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	49%	51%
	40%	60%	72%	28%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	75%	25%	90%	10%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

135%

X47%

218%

1st Score

159%

X6%

235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

18%

X-X

17%

2-2

11%

X-2

2-X

1-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.2%

1-0

10.6%

2-1

9.9%

2-0

8.2%

0-0

6.1%

0-1

6.0%

1-2

6.0%

2-2

5.7%

3-1

5.3%

3-0

4.8%

0-2

3.5%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Alverca – Arouca prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).