Arouca vs Moreirense 4-0 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Portugal - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)
Arouca vs Moreirense — Liga Portugal Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026/2027 · Round 2 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
42.9% implied
Moreirense50%1/2+16.6%Strongly above implied probability
Arouca66.7%2/3+55.5%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Moreirense50%1/2-8.1%Near implied probabilityArouca33.3%1/3-38.8%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54% implied
Moreirense50%1/2-7.4%Near implied probabilityArouca33.3%1/3-38.3%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.8% implied
Moreirense0%0/2-100%Below implied probabilityArouca66.7%2/3+9.7%Above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.1% implied
Moreirense50%1/2+31.2%Strongly above implied probabilityArouca33.3%1/3-12.6%Below implied probabilityMoreirense0/2Arouca0/3Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Arouca and Moreirense across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Arouca hit at 67% accuracy — that's 55.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 42.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Moreirense sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Arouca vs Moreirense 4-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Arouca vs Moreirense. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Arouca4
Moreirense0Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Arouca4Moreirense0Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 57% | 43% |
| 35% | 65% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
21%
X-X
20%
X-1
16%
2-2
16%
X-2
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.8%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Arouca vs Moreirense — Prediction Form & Streaks
Arouca have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Moreirense have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.
MoreirenseAroucaMoreirenseAroucaMoreirenseAroucaMoreirenseAroucaMoreirenseAroucaMoreirenseAroucaArouca & Moreirense Teams in Best Form
AroucaMoreirense