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Auxerre vs Strasbourg 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 1 - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)

Fair result
AuxerreAuxerre

0–0

StrasbourgStrasbourg
1.0Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Auxerre would usually take 0.9 points and Strasbourg 1.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Strasbourg.

Auxerre +0.1 pts vs chancesStrasbourg −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Auxerre vs Strasbourg stats: how the match was played

Ligue 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Auxerre

Strasbourg

4

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

5

5

Corners

4

1

Yellow cards

2

26%

Possession

74%

The match between Auxerre and Strasbourg ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Strasbourg win at 50% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Auxerre – Le Mans prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Auxerre vs Strasbourg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Strasbourg to win

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 40%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 1,996 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Auxerre Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Auxerre 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 1,581 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.9% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Strasbourg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Strasbourg 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,010 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Auxerre vs Strasbourg 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Auxerre vs Strasbourg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ligue 1 - France
AuxerreAuxerre0
StrasbourgStrasbourg0

Winner

X2 74%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

126%
X25%
250%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Auxerre39%61%72%28%
Strasbourg22%78%53%47%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Auxerre91%9%97%3%
Strasbourg78%22%92%8%

1st Half

122%
X40%
238%

1st Score

135%
X7%
258%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

32%

X-2

16%

X-X

14%

1-1

13%

X-1

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.6%

0-1

10.9%

1-2

9.7%

0-2

8.5%

1-0

7.2%

0-0

6.9%

2-1

6.3%

2-2

5.2%

1-3

4.9%

0-3

4.7%

2-0

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Auxerre – Le Mans prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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