LA Galaxy vs Minnesota United 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Major League Soccer - Season 2025
LA Galaxy2–1
Minnesota UnitedOn these chances LA Galaxy would usually take 1.6 points and Minnesota United 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: LA Galaxy.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →LA Galaxy vs Minnesota United stats: how the match was played
Major League Soccer
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
LA Galaxy had more than twice the shots on target
LA Galaxy
Minnesota United
8
Shots on target
4
4
Big chances
2
7
Corners
6
1
Yellow cards
3
1
Red cards
0
61%
Possession
40%
LA Galaxy vs Minnesota United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Major League Soccer
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
LA Galaxy to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,529 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.8% of the time (bookmakers said 46.8%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,404 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,036 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).
Our model’s pick
LA Galaxy ahead at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,177 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
LA Galaxy 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: LA Galaxy 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,823 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.8% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Minnesota United 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Minnesota United 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 325 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.9% than to our 60–65%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
LA Galaxy vs Minnesota United 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for LA Galaxy vs Minnesota United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
LA Galaxy2
Minnesota United1Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
LA Galaxy2Minnesota United1Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 77% | 23% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 54% | 46% |
| 29% | 71% | 60% | 40% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
17%
X-1
14%
X-X
12%
X-2
10%
1-X
7%
2-X
6%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.3%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score