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Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo

Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Fair result

Minnesota United

2–2

Houston Dynamo

1.5Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Minnesota United would usually take 1.4 points and Houston Dynamo 1.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Minnesota United.

Minnesota United −0.4 pts vs chancesHouston Dynamo −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Minnesota United

Houston Dynamo

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

46%

Possession

54%

The match between Minnesota United and Houston Dynamo ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Minnesota United win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Minnesota United – Sporting KC prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).

Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Minnesota United to win

Wrong

Our model 42%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,628 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,734 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,201 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 71%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 42%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Minnesota United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Minnesota United 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Houston Dynamo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Houston Dynamo 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 66%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,309 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Major League Soccer - USA

Minnesota United2

Houston Dynamo2

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT

Major League Soccer - USA

Minnesota United2

Houston Dynamo2

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

142%

X26%

232%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	25%	75%	48%	52%	61%	39%	84%	16%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	48%	52%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	61%	39%	84%	16%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	26%	74%	59%	41%	82%	18%	94%	6%
	33%	67%	66%	34%	87%	13%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	59%	41%
	33%	67%	66%	34%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	82%	18%	94%	6%
	87%	13%	96%	4%

1st Half

135%

X41%

223%

1st Score

156%

X7%

237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-1

15%

2-2

15%

X-X

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

1-0

9.7%

2-1

9.0%

0-1

8.2%

1-2

7.6%

0-0

6.8%

2-0

6.6%

2-2

5.7%

0-2

5.2%

3-1

4.4%

3-0

3.4%

1-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo — Recent Form

Minnesota United have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Houston Dynamo have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Minnesota United

Houston Dynamo

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Houston Dynamo

0/5

Minnesota United

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Houston Dynamo

4/5

Minnesota United

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Houston Dynamo

3/5

Minnesota United

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Houston Dynamo

2/5

Minnesota United

1/5

First Half Result

Houston Dynamo

1/5

Minnesota United

2/5

Correct Score

Houston Dynamo

0/5

Minnesota United

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Minnesota United – Sporting KC prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).