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Südtirol vs Ascoli

Südtirol vs Ascoli 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Fair result

Südtirol

0–0

Ascoli

1.5Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Südtirol would usually take 1.9 points and Ascoli 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Südtirol.

Südtirol −0.9 pts vs chancesAscoli +0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Südtirol vs Ascoli stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Südtirol had more than twice the shots on target

Südtirol

Ascoli

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

42%

Possession

58%

The match between Südtirol and Ascoli ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Südtirol win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Südtirol – Sampdoria prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Südtirol vs Ascoli — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Südtirol to win

Wrong

Our model 44%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 3,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 75%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 4,557 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 45%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Südtirol Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Südtirol 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Ascoli Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ascoli 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Südtirol vs Ascoli 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Südtirol vs Ascoli. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie B - Italy

Südtirol0

Ascoli0

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

· FT

Serie B - Italy

Südtirol0

Ascoli0

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

144%

X26%

229%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	28%	72%	52%	48%	64%	36%	86%	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	28%	72%	52%	48%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	64%	36%	86%	14%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	26%	74%	59%	41%	83%	17%	94%	6%
	37%	63%	71%	29%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	59%	41%
	37%	63%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	83%	17%	94%	6%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

131%

X45%

225%

1st Score

150%

X8%

241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

X-X

18%

2-2

18%

X-1

15%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.0%

1-0

11.0%

2-1

9.3%

0-1

8.6%

0-0

8.2%

2-0

7.8%

1-2

6.9%

2-2

5.1%

0-2

4.8%

3-1

4.1%

3-0

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Südtirol vs Ascoli — Recent Form

Südtirol have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Ascoli have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Südtirol

Ascoli

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Südtirol

2/5

Ascoli

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Südtirol

2/5

Ascoli

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Südtirol

3/5

Ascoli

5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Südtirol

4/5

Ascoli

4/5

First Half Result

Südtirol

3/5

Ascoli

4/5

Correct Score

Südtirol

1/5

Ascoli

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Südtirol – Sampdoria prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).