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World Cup 2026 Qualification Predictions & Stats

The UEFA World Cup 2026 Qualification process for Europe will be a fiercely competitive journey, as 55 national teams vie for a limited number of spots in the expanded 48-team World Cup. With Europe traditionally boasting some of the strongest teams in the world, the qualification campaign will be marked by high-stakes matches, where established football powers and emerging nations alike will battle for their place on the global stage. The qualification format will include multiple groups, with the top teams directly advancing to the World Cup and others entering play-offs, ensuring that every match is crucial in determining who will represent Europe in the 2026 tournament.

WC Qualification Europe Predictions by Market

Season 2026 · Round 28 · Play-offs - Semi-finals

Highest Edge

Full-Time Result

64.6%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

43.8% Implied Probability

+47.4% Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

64.6%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.9% Implied Probability

+19.9% Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59.4%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.7% Implied Probability

+10.6% Strongly above implied probability

Low Edge

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

54.2%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

62.5% Implied Probability

-13.3% Below implied probability

First Half Result

44.8%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38.8% Implied Probability

+15.5% Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

24%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes WC Qualification Europe matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for WC Qualification Europe currently hit at 24%.

Full-Time Result is our strongest WC Qualification Europe betting market this season with 65% prediction accuracy — that's 47.4% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 43.8%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Full-Time Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in WC Qualification Europe.

On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions currently sit 13.3% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 54%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for WC Qualification Europe Over/Under 3.5 Goals bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven WC Qualification Europe football tips.

Today's Betting Tips for WC Qualification Europe

Full Time


1	49%
X	24%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Turkey	22%	78%	51%	49%
Romania	39%	61%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	56%	44%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	1-2	0-1
10.4%	10.2%	8.9%	8.4%	6.4%	6.2%	6.1%

Full Time


1	49%
X	24%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	22%	78%	51%	49%
	39%	61%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	56%	44%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	1-2	0-1
10.4%	10.2%	8.9%	8.4%	6.4%	6.2%	6.1%

Full Time


1	71%
X	19%
2	10%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Italy	13%	87%	37%	63%
Northern Ireland	61%	39%	87%	13%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	3-0	2-1	1-1	0-0	3-1
13.2%	13.1%	9.1%	8.6%	7.8%	6.9%	6.1%

Full Time


1	71%
X	19%
2	10%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	13%	87%	37%	63%
	61%	39%	87%	13%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	3-0	2-1	1-1	0-0	3-1
13.2%	13.1%	9.1%	8.6%	7.8%	6.9%	6.1%

Full Time


1	48%
X	26%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Poland	23%	77%	56%	44%
Albania	38%	62%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-2
12.2%	11.2%	9.5%	8.2%	7.7%	7.6%	6.5%

Full Time


1	48%
X	26%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	56%	44%
	38%	62%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-2
12.2%	11.2%	9.5%	8.2%	7.7%	7.6%	6.5%

Full Time


1	41%
X	25%
2	33%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Ukraine	26%	74%	58%	42%
Sweden	31%	69%	64%	36%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	59%	41%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	1-2	2-0	0-0
11.8%	9.1%	8.9%	7.8%	7.6%	6.5%	6.3%

Full Time


1	41%
X	25%
2	33%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	58%	42%
	31%	69%	64%	36%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	59%	41%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	1-2	2-0	0-0
11.8%	9.1%	8.9%	7.8%	7.6%	6.5%	6.3%

Full Time


1	71%
X	19%
2	10%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Denmark	13%	87%	40%	60%
North Macedonia	61%	39%	88%	12%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	3-0	2-1	1-1	0-0	3-1
15.2%	14.2%	9.1%	8.8%	8.2%	7.5%	6.2%

Full Time


1	71%
X	19%
2	10%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	13%	87%	40%	60%
	61%	39%	88%	12%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	3-0	2-1	1-1	0-0	3-1
15.2%	14.2%	9.1%	8.8%	8.2%	7.5%	6.2%

Full Time


1	63%
X	20%
2	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Wales	14%	86%	39%	61%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	48%	52%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	40%	60%	52%	48%

Correct Score

2-1	1-0	2-0	1-1	3-0	3-1
9.7%	9.4%	9.4%	9.1%	6.8%	6.6%

Full Time


1	63%
X	20%
2	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	14%	86%	39%	61%
	48%	52%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	40%	60%	52%	48%

Correct Score

2-1	1-0	2-0	1-1	3-0	3-1
9.7%	9.4%	9.4%	9.1%	6.8%	6.6%

Full Time


1	72%
X	17%
2	11%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Czech Republic	13%	87%	36%	64%
Republic of Ireland	61%	39%	88%	12%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	44%	56%	56%	44%

Correct Score

2-0	1-0	3-0	2-1	1-1
12.7%	11.7%	10.0%	8.8%	8.2%

Full Time


1	72%
X	17%
2	11%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	13%	87%	36%	64%
	61%	39%	88%	12%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	44%	56%	56%	44%

Correct Score

2-0	1-0	3-0	2-1	1-1
12.7%	11.7%	10.0%	8.8%	8.2%

Full Time


1	45%
X	26%
2	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Slovakia	25%	75%	58%	42%
Kosovo	37%	63%	71%	29%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	52%	48%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	2-0	0-0	1-2
12.4%	11.3%	9.1%	7.9%	7.8%	7.7%	6.5%

Full Time


1	45%
X	26%
2	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	58%	42%
	37%	63%	71%	29%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	52%	48%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	2-0	0-0	1-2
12.4%	11.3%	9.1%	7.9%	7.8%	7.7%	6.5%

Full Time


1	49%
X	24%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Turkey	22%	78%	51%	49%
Romania	39%	61%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	56%	44%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	1-2	0-1
10.4%	10.2%	8.9%	8.4%	6.4%	6.2%	6.1%

Full Time


1	49%
X	24%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	22%	78%	51%	49%
	39%	61%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	56%	44%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	1-2	0-1
10.4%	10.2%	8.9%	8.4%	6.4%	6.2%	6.1%

Full Time


1	71%
X	19%
2	10%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Italy	13%	87%	37%	63%
Northern Ireland	61%	39%	87%	13%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	3-0	2-1	1-1	0-0	3-1
13.2%	13.1%	9.1%	8.6%	7.8%	6.9%	6.1%

Full Time


1	71%
X	19%
2	10%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	13%	87%	37%	63%
	61%	39%	87%	13%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	3-0	2-1	1-1	0-0	3-1
13.2%	13.1%	9.1%	8.6%	7.8%	6.9%	6.1%

Full Time


1	48%
X	26%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Poland	23%	77%	56%	44%
Albania	38%	62%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-2
12.2%	11.2%	9.5%	8.2%	7.7%	7.6%	6.5%

Full Time


1	48%
X	26%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	56%	44%
	38%	62%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-2
12.2%	11.2%	9.5%	8.2%	7.7%	7.6%	6.5%

Full Time


1	41%
X	25%
2	33%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Ukraine	26%	74%	58%	42%
Sweden	31%	69%	64%	36%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	59%	41%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	1-2	2-0	0-0
11.8%	9.1%	8.9%	7.8%	7.6%	6.5%	6.3%

Full Time


1	41%
X	25%
2	33%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	58%	42%
	31%	69%	64%	36%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	59%	41%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	1-2	2-0	0-0
11.8%	9.1%	8.9%	7.8%	7.6%	6.5%	6.3%

Full Time


1	71%
X	19%
2	10%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Denmark	13%	87%	40%	60%
North Macedonia	61%	39%	88%	12%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	3-0	2-1	1-1	0-0	3-1
15.2%	14.2%	9.1%	8.8%	8.2%	7.5%	6.2%

Full Time


1	71%
X	19%
2	10%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	13%	87%	40%	60%
	61%	39%	88%	12%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	3-0	2-1	1-1	0-0	3-1
15.2%	14.2%	9.1%	8.8%	8.2%	7.5%	6.2%

Full Time


1	63%
X	20%
2	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Wales	14%	86%	39%	61%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	48%	52%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	40%	60%	52%	48%

Correct Score

2-1	1-0	2-0	1-1	3-0	3-1
9.7%	9.4%	9.4%	9.1%	6.8%	6.6%

Full Time


1	63%
X	20%
2	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	14%	86%	39%	61%
	48%	52%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	40%	60%	52%	48%

Correct Score

2-1	1-0	2-0	1-1	3-0	3-1
9.7%	9.4%	9.4%	9.1%	6.8%	6.6%

Full Time


1	72%
X	17%
2	11%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Czech Republic	13%	87%	36%	64%
Republic of Ireland	61%	39%	88%	12%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	44%	56%	56%	44%

Correct Score

2-0	1-0	3-0	2-1	1-1
12.7%	11.7%	10.0%	8.8%	8.2%

Full Time


1	72%
X	17%
2	11%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	13%	87%	36%	64%
	61%	39%	88%	12%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	44%	56%	56%	44%

Correct Score

2-0	1-0	3-0	2-1	1-1
12.7%	11.7%	10.0%	8.8%	8.2%

Full Time


1	45%
X	26%
2	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Slovakia	25%	75%	58%	42%
Kosovo	37%	63%	71%	29%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	52%	48%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	2-0	0-0	1-2
12.4%	11.3%	9.1%	7.9%	7.8%	7.7%	6.5%

Full Time


1	45%
X	26%
2	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	58%	42%
	37%	63%	71%	29%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	52%	48%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-1	2-0	0-0	1-2
12.4%	11.3%	9.1%	7.9%	7.8%	7.7%	6.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

WC Qualification Europe Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every WC Qualification Europe betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, England leads Full-Time Result predictions with 100% accuracy (8 correct out of 8 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Full-Time Result are especially worth watching for your next WC Qualification Europe bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights WC Qualification Europe teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.