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World Cup 2026 Predictions & Stats

The 2026 FIFA World Cup runs from June 11 to July 19 across 16 cities in the United States, Mexico, and Canada — the first World Cup ever hosted by three countries. Mexico kicks things off at the Estadio Azteca. The final is at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey.

This is the biggest World Cup yet: 48 teams split into 12 groups of 4. The top two from each group plus the eight best third-placed sides advance to a 32-team knockout bracket. That's 104 matches in total, and the expanded format means more upsets, tighter groups, and a lot more opportunities to find betting value.

For predictions, we track every qualified nation's recent form, head-to-head data, and market-specific accuracy. Whether you're looking at match results, over/under goals, or BTTS, our model adapts to tournament football — fewer data points than leagues, but the qualification campaign gives us plenty to work with.

World Cup Predictions by Market

Highest Edge

Full-Time Result

56.3%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

44.7% Implied Probability

+26% Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.7%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

54.1% Implied Probability

+1.2% Above implied probability

Low Edge

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

46.9%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.7% Implied Probability

-12.7% Below implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

75%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

62.5% Implied Probability

+19.9% Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

46.6%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38.8% Implied Probability

+20.2% Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes World Cup matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for World Cup currently hit at 6%.

Full-Time Result is our strongest World Cup betting market this season with 56% prediction accuracy — that's 26% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 44.7%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Full-Time Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in World Cup.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions currently sit 12.7% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 47%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for World Cup Over/Under 2.5 Goals bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven World Cup football tips.

No upcoming football predictions for World Cup

There are currently no upcoming matches scheduled in the World Cup. Our football predictions for this league will resume as soon as new fixtures are available. Check back shortly for the latest match forecasts and betting insights.