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Serie A Brazil Predictions & Stats

Serie A is the top professional football league in Brazil. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation. Serie A is known for its technical quality and attacking style of play. Flamengo, Corinthians, and São Paulo FC are the most successful clubs in Serie A history.

Serie A Predictions by Market

Season 2026 · Round 11 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

47%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

44% Implied Probability

+6.8% Above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

57%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

54.1% Implied Probability

+5.3% Above implied probability

Low Edge

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.7% Implied Probability

-3.2% Near implied probability

Highest Edge

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

79%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

62.7% Implied Probability

+26.1% Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

45%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38.7% Implied Probability

+16.4% Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

16%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes Serie A matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Serie A currently hit at 16%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals is our strongest Serie A betting market this season with 79% prediction accuracy — that's 26.1% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 62.7%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Over/Under 3.5 Goals outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Serie A.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions currently sit 3.2% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 52%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Serie A Over/Under 2.5 Goals bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Serie A football tips.

Full Time
145%
X28%
226%
Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1766074220/mygameodds/teams/g7zzqeesfesfqedn8zed.png logo27%73%61%39%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714182299/mygameodds/teams/k9tuncbpygw89pc2r5pd.png logo40%60%75%25%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT58%42%69%31%
Correct Score
1-01-10-02-10-12-01-2
13.2%13.2%9.9%9.2%9.1%8.5%6.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Serie A Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Serie A betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Bragantino leads Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions with 100% accuracy (10 correct out of 10 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Over/Under 3.5 Goals are especially worth watching for your next Serie A bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Serie A teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Serie A Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1BotafogoBotafogo
78%(7/9)
2VitóriaVitória
78%(7/9)
3FluminenseFluminense
70%(7/10)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Athletico PRAthletico PR
5 in a row
Atlético MineiroAtlético Mineiro
1 in a row
CruzeiroCruzeiro
2 in a row

Serie A Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1ChapecoenseChapecoense
89%(8/9)
2MirassolMirassol
89%(8/9)
3GrêmioGrêmio
80%(8/10)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
CruzeiroCruzeiro
4 in a row
GrêmioGrêmio
1 in a row
MirassolMirassol
1 in a row

Serie A Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1CorinthiansCorinthians
80%(8/10)
2InternacionalInternacional
80%(8/10)
3CoritibaCoritiba
80%(8/10)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
CoritibaCoritiba
5 in a row
InternacionalInternacional
3 in a row
SantosSantos
3 in a row

Serie A Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1BragantinoBragantino
100%(10/10)
2CorinthiansCorinthians
90%(9/10)
3InternacionalInternacional
90%(9/10)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
InternacionalInternacional
5 in a row
GrêmioGrêmio
5 in a row
PalmeirasPalmeiras
5 in a row

Serie A First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1ChapecoenseChapecoense
78%(7/9)
2PalmeirasPalmeiras
60%(6/10)
3CoritibaCoritiba
60%(6/10)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
CorinthiansCorinthians
1 in a row
GrêmioGrêmio
2 in a row
BragantinoBragantino
1 in a row

Serie A Teams in Best Form

PalmeirasPalmeiras
W
W
W
W
W
FluminenseFluminense
D
W
W
L
W
FlamengoFlamengo
W
L
D
W
W

Serie A Brazil Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
PalmeirasPalmeiras
102581121:10+11
W
W
W
W
W
2
São PauloSão Paulo
102062215:7+8
W
D
L
L
W
3
FluminenseFluminense
102062217:11+6
D
W
W
L
W
4
FlamengoFlamengo
91752216:9+7
W
L
D
W
W
5
BahiaBahia
91752213:9+4
L
W
L
W
W
CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores Qualifiers
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

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