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La Liga Predictions & Stats

La Liga is the top professional football league in Spain. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the Segunda División. La Liga is known for its technical quality and attacking style of play. FC Barcelona and Real Madrid CF are the most successful clubs in La Liga history.

La Liga Predictions by Market

Season 2025/2026 · Round 30 · Regular Season

Highest Edge

Full-Time Result

52%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

44.4% Implied Probability

+17.1% Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

61%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.9% Implied Probability

+13.2% Strongly above implied probability

Low Edge

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.7% Implied Probability

-8.8% Near implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

69%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

62.9% Implied Probability

+9.7% Above implied probability

First Half Result

43%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38.9% Implied Probability

+10.5% Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

16%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes La Liga matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for La Liga currently hit at 16%.

Full-Time Result is our strongest La Liga betting market this season with 52% prediction accuracy — that's 17.1% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 44.4%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Full-Time Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in La Liga.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions currently sit 8.8% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 49%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for La Liga Over/Under 2.5 Goals bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven La Liga football tips.

Today's Betting Tips for La Liga Spain

Full Time


1	54%
X	27%
2	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Rayo Vallecano	24%	76%	57%	43%
Elche	51%	49%	82%	18%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	60%	40%	69%	31%

Correct Score

1-0	0-0	1-1	2-0	2-1	0-1
16.1%	11.7%	11.1%	10.9%	8.8%	7.2%

Full Time


1	54%
X	27%
2	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	57%	43%
	51%	49%	82%	18%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	60%	40%	69%	31%

Correct Score

1-0	0-0	1-1	2-0	2-1	0-1
16.1%	11.7%	11.1%	10.9%	8.8%	7.2%

Full Time


1	56%
X	24%
2	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Real Sociedad	18%	82%	48%	52%
Levante	43%	57%	76%	24%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	47%	53%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0
11.3%	11.2%	10.2%	9.5%	6.5%

Full Time


1	56%
X	24%
2	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	18%	82%	48%	52%
	43%	57%	76%	24%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	47%	53%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0
11.3%	11.2%	10.2%	9.5%	6.5%

Full Time


1	19%
X	23%
2	58%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Mallorca	47%	53%	78%	22%
Real Madrid	18%	82%	47%	53%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	60%	40%

Correct Score

0-1	0-2	1-1	1-2	0-0	0-3
12.2%	10.5%	10.2%	9.7%	7.0%	6.3%

Full Time


1	19%
X	23%
2	58%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	47%	53%	78%	22%
	18%	82%	47%	53%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	60%	40%

Correct Score

0-1	0-2	1-1	1-2	0-0	0-3
12.2%	10.5%	10.2%	9.7%	7.0%	6.3%

Full Time


1	53%
X	25%
2	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Real Betis	20%	80%	50%	50%
Espanyol	42%	58%	75%	25%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1
11.4%	11.3%	9.9%	9.3%	6.8%	6.3%

Full Time


1	53%
X	25%
2	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	50%	50%
	42%	58%	75%	25%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1
11.4%	11.3%	9.9%	9.3%	6.8%	6.3%

Full Time


1	44%
X	23%
2	33%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Atlético Madrid	22%	78%	50%	50%
FC Barcelona	30%	70%	59%	41%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	35%	65%	47%	53%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	2-2	1-0
9.8%	8.9%	7.5%	6.8%	6.5%

Full Time


1	44%
X	23%
2	33%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	22%	78%	50%	50%
	30%	70%	59%	41%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	35%	65%	47%	53%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	2-2	1-0
9.8%	8.9%	7.5%	6.8%	6.5%

Full Time


1	32%
X	29%
2	39%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Getafe	37%	63%	72%	28%
Athletic Club	32%	68%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	61%	39%	71%	29%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	0-2	2-1
13.4%	12.3%	11.3%	10.8%	7.8%	7.2%	7.1%

Full Time


1	32%
X	29%
2	39%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	37%	63%	72%	28%
	32%	68%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	61%	39%	71%	29%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	0-2	2-1
13.4%	12.3%	11.3%	10.8%	7.8%	7.2%	7.1%

Full Time


1	34%
X	28%
2	38%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Valencia	33%	67%	68%	32%
Celta de Vigo	30%	70%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	2-1	0-2
13.2%	10.8%	10.0%	9.0%	8.5%	7.9%	6.6%

Full Time


1	34%
X	28%
2	38%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	33%	67%	68%	32%
	30%	70%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	2-1	0-2
13.2%	10.8%	10.0%	9.0%	8.5%	7.9%	6.6%

Full Time


1	39%
X	26%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Real Oviedo	28%	72%	61%	39%
Sevilla	32%	68%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
12.4%	9.7%	8.7%	8.5%	7.8%	7.2%	6.5%

Full Time


1	39%
X	26%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	61%	39%
	32%	68%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
12.4%	9.7%	8.7%	8.5%	7.8%	7.2%	6.5%

Full Time


1	40%
X	28%
2	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Deportivo Alavés	29%	71%	64%	36%
Osasuna	34%	66%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0
13.2%	11.3%	9.8%	8.9%	8.5%	7.5%	7.1%

Full Time


1	40%
X	28%
2	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	64%	36%
	34%	66%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0
13.2%	11.3%	9.8%	8.9%	8.5%	7.5%	7.1%

Full Time


1	38%
X	25%
2	37%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Girona	28%	72%	59%	41%
Villarreal	28%	72%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	44%	56%	56%	44%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	2-1	0-1	1-0	2-2
11.5%	8.4%	8.4%	7.8%	7.7%	6.2%

Full Time


1	38%
X	25%
2	37%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	59%	41%
	28%	72%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	44%	56%	56%	44%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	2-1	0-1	1-0	2-2
11.5%	8.4%	8.4%	7.8%	7.7%	6.2%

Full Time


1	54%
X	27%
2	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Rayo Vallecano	24%	76%	57%	43%
Elche	51%	49%	82%	18%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	60%	40%	69%	31%

Correct Score

1-0	0-0	1-1	2-0	2-1	0-1
16.1%	11.7%	11.1%	10.9%	8.8%	7.2%

Full Time


1	54%
X	27%
2	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	57%	43%
	51%	49%	82%	18%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	60%	40%	69%	31%

Correct Score

1-0	0-0	1-1	2-0	2-1	0-1
16.1%	11.7%	11.1%	10.9%	8.8%	7.2%

Full Time


1	56%
X	24%
2	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Real Sociedad	18%	82%	48%	52%
Levante	43%	57%	76%	24%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	47%	53%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0
11.3%	11.2%	10.2%	9.5%	6.5%

Full Time


1	56%
X	24%
2	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	18%	82%	48%	52%
	43%	57%	76%	24%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	47%	53%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0
11.3%	11.2%	10.2%	9.5%	6.5%

Full Time


1	19%
X	23%
2	58%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Mallorca	47%	53%	78%	22%
Real Madrid	18%	82%	47%	53%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	60%	40%

Correct Score

0-1	0-2	1-1	1-2	0-0	0-3
12.2%	10.5%	10.2%	9.7%	7.0%	6.3%

Full Time


1	19%
X	23%
2	58%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	47%	53%	78%	22%
	18%	82%	47%	53%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	60%	40%

Correct Score

0-1	0-2	1-1	1-2	0-0	0-3
12.2%	10.5%	10.2%	9.7%	7.0%	6.3%

Full Time


1	53%
X	25%
2	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Real Betis	20%	80%	50%	50%
Espanyol	42%	58%	75%	25%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1
11.4%	11.3%	9.9%	9.3%	6.8%	6.3%

Full Time


1	53%
X	25%
2	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	50%	50%
	42%	58%	75%	25%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1
11.4%	11.3%	9.9%	9.3%	6.8%	6.3%

Full Time


1	44%
X	23%
2	33%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Atlético Madrid	22%	78%	50%	50%
FC Barcelona	30%	70%	59%	41%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	35%	65%	47%	53%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	2-2	1-0
9.8%	8.9%	7.5%	6.8%	6.5%

Full Time


1	44%
X	23%
2	33%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	22%	78%	50%	50%
	30%	70%	59%	41%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	35%	65%	47%	53%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	2-2	1-0
9.8%	8.9%	7.5%	6.8%	6.5%

Full Time


1	32%
X	29%
2	39%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Getafe	37%	63%	72%	28%
Athletic Club	32%	68%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	61%	39%	71%	29%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	0-2	2-1
13.4%	12.3%	11.3%	10.8%	7.8%	7.2%	7.1%

Full Time


1	32%
X	29%
2	39%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	37%	63%	72%	28%
	32%	68%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	61%	39%	71%	29%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	0-2	2-1
13.4%	12.3%	11.3%	10.8%	7.8%	7.2%	7.1%

Full Time


1	34%
X	28%
2	38%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Valencia	33%	67%	68%	32%
Celta de Vigo	30%	70%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	2-1	0-2
13.2%	10.8%	10.0%	9.0%	8.5%	7.9%	6.6%

Full Time


1	34%
X	28%
2	38%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	33%	67%	68%	32%
	30%	70%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	2-1	0-2
13.2%	10.8%	10.0%	9.0%	8.5%	7.9%	6.6%

Full Time


1	39%
X	26%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Real Oviedo	28%	72%	61%	39%
Sevilla	32%	68%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
12.4%	9.7%	8.7%	8.5%	7.8%	7.2%	6.5%

Full Time


1	39%
X	26%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	61%	39%
	32%	68%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
12.4%	9.7%	8.7%	8.5%	7.8%	7.2%	6.5%

Full Time


1	40%
X	28%
2	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Deportivo Alavés	29%	71%	64%	36%
Osasuna	34%	66%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0
13.2%	11.3%	9.8%	8.9%	8.5%	7.5%	7.1%

Full Time


1	40%
X	28%
2	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	64%	36%
	34%	66%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0
13.2%	11.3%	9.8%	8.9%	8.5%	7.5%	7.1%

Full Time


1	38%
X	25%
2	37%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Girona	28%	72%	59%	41%
Villarreal	28%	72%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	44%	56%	56%	44%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	2-1	0-1	1-0	2-2
11.5%	8.4%	8.4%	7.8%	7.7%	6.2%

Full Time


1	38%
X	25%
2	37%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	59%	41%
	28%	72%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	44%	56%	56%	44%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	2-1	0-1	1-0	2-2
11.5%	8.4%	8.4%	7.8%	7.7%	6.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

La Liga Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every La Liga betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, FC Barcelona leads Full-Time Result predictions with 86% accuracy (25 correct out of 29 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Full-Time Result are especially worth watching for your next La Liga bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights La Liga teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

La Liga Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

FC Barcelona

86%(25/29)

Real Madrid

79%(23/29)

Villarreal

72%(21/29)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

FC Barcelona

5 in a row

Atlético Madrid

5 in a row

Real Sociedad

4 in a row

La Liga Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Real Betis

69%(20/29)

Real Sociedad

62%(18/29)

Real Madrid

62%(18/29)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Getafe

5 in a row

Sevilla

5 in a row

Atlético Madrid

4 in a row

La Liga Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

FC Barcelona

83%(24/29)

Real Oviedo

69%(20/29)

Levante

69%(20/29)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Real Madrid

3 in a row

Valencia

2 in a row

Sevilla

2 in a row

La Liga Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Getafe

97%(28/29)

Girona

83%(24/29)

Rayo Vallecano

83%(24/29)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Getafe

5 in a row

Rayo Vallecano

5 in a row

Athletic Club

5 in a row

La Liga First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

FC Barcelona

62%(18/29)

Elche

62%(18/29)

Deportivo Alavés

59%(17/29)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

FC Barcelona

5 in a row

Elche

2 in a row

Real Oviedo

1 in a row

La Liga Teams in Best Form

FC Barcelona

Atlético Madrid

Villarreal

La Liga Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM	MP	PTS	W	D	L	G	GD	FORM
1 FC Barcelona	29	73	24	1	4	78:28	+50	W W W W W
2 Real Madrid	29	69	22	3	4	63:26	+37	W W W L L
3 Villarreal	29	58	18	4	7	54:34	+20	W D W L W
4 Atlético Madrid	29	57	17	6	6	49:28	+21	L W W W W
5 Real Betis	29	44	11	11	7	44:37	+7	L D L D D