La Liga Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming La Liga match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities, with accuracy tracked against bookmaker odds over the last 100 matches.
Predictions updated on 15 August 2026.
La Liga Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 1 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
52%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
62%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
51%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
75%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
47%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
15%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Our AI model analyzes La Liga matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for La Liga currently hit at 15%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals is our strongest La Liga betting market this season with 75% prediction accuracy — that's 22.7% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 61.1%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Over/Under 3.5 Goals outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in La Liga.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions currently sit 5.9% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 51%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for La Liga Over/Under 2.5 Goals bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.
The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven La Liga football tips.
Today's Betting Tips for La Liga Spain
Deportivo Alavés0
Getafe0Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Deportivo Alavés0Getafe0Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28% | 72% | 62% | 38% |
 | 40% | 60% | 75% | 25% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 69% | 31% |
Correct Score
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
10.7%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
Sevilla–
Rayo Vallecano–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Sevilla–Rayo Vallecano–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Racing Santander–
Villarreal–Winner
12 74%
BTTS**
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Racing Santander–Villarreal–Winner
12 74%
BTTS**
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Espanyol–
Levante–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Espanyol–Levante–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Deportivo La Coruña–
Elche–Winner
1 50%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Deportivo La Coruña–Elche–Winner
1 50%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Atlético Madrid–
Málaga–Winner
1 52%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Atlético Madrid–Málaga–Winner
1 52%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Rayo Vallecano–Deportivo Alavés–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Rayo Vallecano–Deportivo Alavés–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Real Betis–
Real Sociedad–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Real Betis–Real Sociedad–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Athletic Club–Sevilla–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Athletic Club–Sevilla–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Valencia–
Celta de Vigo–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Valencia–Celta de Vigo–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Espanyol–
Real Madrid–Winner
2 51%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Espanyol–Real Madrid–Winner
2 51%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Atlético Madrid–Villarreal–Winner
1 52%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Atlético Madrid–Villarreal–Winner
1 52%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Getafe–Racing Santander–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Getafe–Racing Santander–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Elche–
FC Barcelona–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Elche–FC Barcelona–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Osasuna–Levante–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Osasuna–Levante–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Málaga–Deportivo La Coruña–Winner
12 71%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Málaga–Deportivo La Coruña–Winner
12 71%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Valencia–Real Betis–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Valencia–Real Betis–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Real Madrid–Real Sociedad–Winner
1 60%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Real Madrid–Real Sociedad–Winner
1 60%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Celta de Vigo–Osasuna–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Celta de Vigo–Osasuna–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
FC Barcelona–Athletic Club–Winner
1 65%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
FC Barcelona–Athletic Club–Winner
1 65%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Racing Santander–Elche–Winner
1 50%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Racing Santander–Elche–Winner
1 50%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Deportivo Alavés–Villarreal–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Deportivo Alavés–Villarreal–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
La Liga Prediction Accuracy by Team
The form table at the bottom highlights La Liga teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.
La Liga Teams in Best Form
Celta de Vigo
FC BarcelonaGetafeLa Liga Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Celta de Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
2  FC Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
3  Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
4  Málaga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
5  Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
About La Liga
La Liga is the top professional football league in Spain. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the Segunda División. La Liga is known for its technical quality and attacking style of play. FC Barcelona and Real Madrid CF are the most successful clubs in La Liga history.