Goal-fests
9/10FC Barcelona games went over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 (league 52%).
La Liga Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming La Liga match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 25 October 2026.
La Liga Predictions by Market
Season 2022/2023 · Round 38 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
47%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
59%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
65%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
62%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
53%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
27%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
La Liga 2022/2023 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 47%, BTTS 59%, Over/Under 2.5 65%, Over/Under 3.5 62%, correct score 27%.
La Liga stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 380 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsHome fortress
Goals a match
2.8
26th of 63
xG a match
2.84
28th of 62
Corners a match
9.65
33rd of 62
Cards a match
4.69
16th of 63
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
La Liga: the stats that stand out
The La Liga teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games9/10Flop as favourites
1/7Athletic Club won only 1 of 7 as favourites (league 56%).
Goals at both ends
9/10Rayo Vallecano: both teams scored in 9 of their last 10 (league 57%).
Fast starters
8/10Real Madrid scored first in 8 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Brick wall
5/10Celta de Vigo kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 24%).
Shot-shy
5/10Valencia failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 24%).
Hard to break
2/10Atlético Madrid conceded first in only 2 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for La Liga Spain
Free predictions for today's La Liga matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
· FT
Mallorca3
Rayo Vallecano0Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
· FT
Mallorca3Rayo Vallecano0Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
143%
X29%
228%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28% | 72% | 63% | 37% |
| 39% | 61% | 75% | 25% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 69% | 31% |
Correct Score
1-1
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
· FT
Real Madrid1
Athletic Club1Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
· FT
Real Madrid1Athletic Club1Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
· FT
Real Sociedad2
Sevilla1Winner
1X 77%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
· FT
Real Sociedad2Sevilla1Winner
1X 77%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
· FT
Osasuna2
Girona1Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
· FT
Osasuna2Girona1Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
· FT
Villarreal2
Atlético Madrid2Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Villarreal2Atlético Madrid2Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Celta de Vigo2
FC Barcelona1Winner
2 55%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
Celta de Vigo2FC Barcelona1Winner
2 55%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
Real Betis1
Valencia1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
· FT
Real Betis1Valencia1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
· FT
Elche1
Cádiz1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
· FT
Elche1Cádiz1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
· FT
Real Valladolid0
Getafe0Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
· FT
Real Valladolid0Getafe0Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
· FT
Espanyol3
Almería3Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
· FT
Espanyol3Almería3Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
· FT
Real Sociedad0Celta de Vigo0Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
· FT
Real Sociedad0Celta de Vigo0Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
· FT
Rayo Vallecano2Espanyol1Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
· FT
Rayo Vallecano2Espanyol1Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
· FT
Deportivo Alavés0Valencia1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
Deportivo Alavés0Valencia1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
Elche2Real Madrid3Winner
2 59%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
· FT
Elche2Real Madrid3Winner
2 59%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
· FT
Deportivo La Coruña0Sevilla1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
Deportivo La Coruña0Sevilla1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
Atlético Madrid4Osasuna0Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
· FT
Atlético Madrid4Osasuna0Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
· FT
FC Barcelona7
Racing Santander2Winner
1 80%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 57%
· FT
FC Barcelona7Racing Santander2Winner
1 80%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 57%
· FT
Real Betis1Getafe0Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
No 58%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
· FT
Real Betis1Getafe0Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
No 58%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
· FT
Málaga1Villarreal3Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
Málaga1Villarreal3Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
Deportivo La Coruña1
Levante1Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
· FT
Deportivo La Coruña1Levante1Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
· FT
Espanyol0Atlético Madrid1Winner
2 50%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
· FT
Espanyol0Atlético Madrid1Winner
2 50%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
· FT
Villarreal0Elche0Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Villarreal0Elche0Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Real Betis2FC Barcelona5Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
· FT
Real Betis2FC Barcelona5Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
· FT
Valencia0Athletic Club0Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
Valencia0Athletic Club0Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
Osasuna2Racing Santander0Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Osasuna2Racing Santander0Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Celta de Vigo2Deportivo Alavés1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
· FT
Celta de Vigo2Deportivo Alavés1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
· FT
Málaga2Real Sociedad5Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
· FT
Málaga2Real Sociedad5Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
· FT
Real Madrid4Sevilla1Winner
1 70%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
2-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
· FT
Real Madrid4Sevilla1Winner
1 70%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
2-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
· FT
Getafe1Rayo Vallecano1Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
· FT
Getafe1Rayo Vallecano1Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
· FT
Levante3Athletic Club1Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
Levante3Athletic Club1Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
Deportivo Alavés1Málaga1Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Deportivo Alavés1Málaga1Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Rayo Vallecano0Elche3Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
· FT
Rayo Vallecano0Elche3Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
· FT
Racing Santander2Espanyol1Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Racing Santander2Espanyol1Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Valencia1Villarreal2Winner
X2 66%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
Valencia1Villarreal2Winner
X2 66%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
Atlético Madrid1Deportivo La Coruña0Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
Atlético Madrid1Deportivo La Coruña0Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
La Liga xG: chances created and allowed
Every La Liga team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsLa Liga average · 1.49 xG, 1.47 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 20
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →La Liga Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in La Liga this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −25◀ fewer than expected · −25 pts odds expected+25 more ▶+25 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
94 matches
43.6%
Season (94) · 43.6% vs 44.7%
Season
−1.1
±9.2
30 days (25) · 40.0% vs 45.8%
30 days
−5.8
±17.9
Draws
94 matches
27.7%
Season (94) · 27.7% vs 24.3%
Season
+3.4
±8.6
30 days (25) · 36.0% vs 23.7%
30 days
+12.3
±16.5
Away wins
94 matches
28.7%
Season (94) · 28.7% vs 31.1%
Season
−2.3
±8.6
30 days (25) · 24.0% vs 30.5%
30 days
−6.5
±16.8
Over 2.5 goals
94 matches
56.4%
Season (94) · 56.4% vs 53.8%
Season
+2.6
±9.7
30 days (25) · 56.0% vs 55.6%
30 days
+0.4
±18.9
Both teams scored
94 matches
59.6%
Season (94) · 59.6% vs 52.5%
Season
+7.0
±10.0
30 days (25) · 64.0% vs 54.4%
30 days
+9.6
±19.3
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
94 matches
37.2%
Season (94) · 37.2% vs 33.0%
Season
+4.2
±9.1
30 days (25) · 32.0% vs 34.8%
30 days
−2.8
±18.1
Home side ahead at half-time
94 matches
28.7%
Season (94) · 28.7% vs 34.7%
Season
−6.0
±9.2
30 days (25) · 28.0% vs 35.9%
30 days
−7.9
±17.9
Level at half-time
94 matches
47.9%
Season (94) · 47.9% vs 40.0%
Season
+7.8
±9.8
30 days (25) · 44.0% vs 39.3%
30 days
+4.7
±19.0
Away side ahead at half-time
94 matches
23.4%
Season (94) · 23.4% vs 25.2%
Season
−1.8
±8.4
30 days (25) · 28.0% vs 24.8%
30 days
+3.2
±16.4
Home team scored 2+
94 matches
44.7%
Season (94) · 44.7% vs 45.5%
Season
−0.8
±9.5
30 days (25) · 48.0% vs 47.8%
30 days
+0.2
±18.3
Away team scored 2+
94 matches
37.2%
Season (94) · 37.2% vs 34.4%
Season
+2.8
±9.0
30 days (25) · 36.0% vs 35.4%
30 days
+0.6
±17.8
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 94 | 43.6% | 44.7% | −1.1 | ±9.2 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 25 | 40.0% | 45.8% | −5.8 | ±17.9 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 94 | 27.7% | 24.3% | +3.4 | ±8.6 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 25 | 36.0% | 23.7% | +12.3 | ±16.5 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 94 | 28.7% | 31.1% | −2.3 | ±8.6 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 25 | 24.0% | 30.5% | −6.5 | ±16.8 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 94 | 56.4% | 53.8% | +2.6 | ±9.7 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 25 | 56.0% | 55.6% | +0.4 | ±18.9 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 94 | 59.6% | 52.5% | +7.0 | ±10.0 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 25 | 64.0% | 54.4% | +9.6 | ±19.3 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 94 | 37.2% | 33.0% | +4.2 | ±9.1 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 25 | 32.0% | 34.8% | −2.8 | ±18.1 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 94 | 28.7% | 34.7% | −6.0 | ±9.2 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 25 | 28.0% | 35.9% | −7.9 | ±17.9 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 94 | 47.9% | 40.0% | +7.8 | ±9.8 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 25 | 44.0% | 39.3% | +4.7 | ±19.0 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 94 | 23.4% | 25.2% | −1.8 | ±8.4 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 25 | 28.0% | 24.8% | +3.2 | ±16.4 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 94 | 44.7% | 45.5% | −0.8 | ±9.5 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 25 | 48.0% | 47.8% | +0.2 | ±18.3 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 94 | 37.2% | 34.4% | +2.8 | ±9.0 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 25 | 36.0% | 35.4% | +0.6 | ±17.8 | Normal range |
La Liga luck check: the last 10 games
La Liga teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+7.2 = 7 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck2
Real Betis+7.2
Real Sociedad+5.2
Unlucky4
VillarrealWasteful · −4 goals−7.7- Athletic ClubWasteful · −5 goals−6.6
Espanyol−4.1
OsasunaWasteful · −3 goals−4.0
Points in line, but clinical: FC Barcelona (+8 goals), Levante (+4).
In line with their chances: Getafe, Atlético Madrid, Rayo Vallecano, Sevilla, Celta de Vigo, Real Madrid, Deportivo La Coruña, Racing Santander, Elche, Valencia, Málaga and Deportivo Alavés.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →La Liga last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 18–Oct 25 · 11 matches · odds: closing, margin removed- Celta de Vigo2-1
Deportivo AlavésSmash-and-grabCelta de Vigo beat Deportivo Alavés 2-1 despite fewer chances (xG 0.6 vs 2.1).
Levante3-1Athletic ClubSmash-and-grabLevante beat Athletic Club 3-1 despite fewer chances (xG 1.4 vs 2.3).
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →La Liga Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  FC Barcelona | 9 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39:9 | +30 | W W W W W |
2  Atlético Madrid | 10 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | +12 | W W W W W |
3  Real Madrid | 9 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23:9 | +14 | W W L W W |
4  Real Betis | 9 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | L W D W W |
5  Real Sociedad | 9 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | W W W L W |
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
The league profile compares La Liga with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
About La Liga
La Liga is the top professional football league in Spain. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the Segunda División. La Liga is known for its technical quality and attacking style of play. FC Barcelona and Real Madrid CF are the most successful clubs in La Liga history.