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Premier League Predictions & Stats

The Premier League is the top level of the English football league system, contested by 20 clubs. It operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the English Football League. The Premier League was founded in 1992 and replaced the old First Division. Manchester United has won the most Premier League titles, with 13 championships. The Premier League is the most-watched football league in the world, broadcast in over 200 territories.

Premier League Predictions by Market

Season 2025/2026 · Round 33 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

41%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

43.8% Implied Probability

-6.4% Near implied probability

Both Teams To Score

55%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

54.2% Implied Probability

+1.5% Above implied probability

Low Edge

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.6% Implied Probability

-6.7% Near implied probability

Highest Edge

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

70%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

61.8% Implied Probability

+13.3% Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

42%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38.4% Implied Probability

+9.4% Above implied probability

Correct Score

13%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes Premier League matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 3 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Premier League currently hit at 13%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals is our strongest Premier League betting market this season with 70% prediction accuracy — that's 13.3% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 61.8%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Over/Under 3.5 Goals outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Premier League.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions currently sit 6.7% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 50%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Premier League Over/Under 2.5 Goals bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Premier League football tips.

Full Time
144%
X26%
231%
Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036400/mygameodds/teams/g1ndnvwtwxhly45qdtmi.png logo26%74%58%42%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036345/mygameodds/teams/uogq6vsfdxsjop46agvy.png logo36%64%68%32%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT50%50%62%38%
Correct Score
1-11-02-12-00-10-01-2
11.5%10.7%8.8%7.8%7.7%7.5%7.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Premier League Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Premier League betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Sunderland leads Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions with 88% accuracy (28 correct out of 32 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Over/Under 3.5 Goals are especially worth watching for your next Premier League bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Premier League teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Premier League Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1ArsenalArsenal
69%(22/32)
2FulhamFulham
61%(20/33)
3Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers
58%(19/33)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
BurnleyBurnley
2 in a row
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
1 in a row
ArsenalArsenal
0 in a row

Premier League Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1BurnleyBurnley
72%(23/32)
2Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion
70%(23/33)
3Aston VillaAston Villa
66%(21/32)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
5 in a row
Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United
3 in a row
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers
2 in a row

Premier League Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1BurnleyBurnley
69%(22/32)
2ChelseaChelsea
64%(21/33)
3LiverpoolLiverpool
63%(20/32)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
5 in a row
BurnleyBurnley
2 in a row
ArsenalArsenal
1 in a row

Premier League Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1SunderlandSunderland
88%(28/32)
2EvertonEverton
84%(27/32)
3Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
84%(26/31)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
SunderlandSunderland
5 in a row
Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United
5 in a row
Leeds UnitedLeeds United
5 in a row

Premier League First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Manchester CityManchester City
65%(20/31)
2FulhamFulham
61%(20/33)
3LiverpoolLiverpool
56%(18/32)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
FulhamFulham
5 in a row
LiverpoolLiverpool
3 in a row
BrentfordBrentford
3 in a row

Premier League Teams in Best Form

ArsenalArsenal
L
W
W
W
W
Manchester CityManchester City
W
D
D
W
W
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion
D
W
W
W
L

Premier League Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
ArsenalArsenal
3270217462:24+38
L
W
W
W
W
2
Manchester CityManchester City
3164197563:28+35
W
D
D
W
W
3
Manchester UnitedManchester United
33581610758:45+13
W
L
D
W
L
4
Aston VillaAston Villa
3255167943:38+5
D
W
L
L
L
5
LiverpoolLiverpool
32521571052:42+10
W
L
D
L
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

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