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Premier League Predictions & Stats

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Premier League match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.

Predictions updated on 30 September 2026.

Premier League Results vs the Odds

Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days

How often each result has happened in Premier League this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.

How to read it

what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days

Result · happened

◀ fewer −20◀ fewer than expected · −20 pts odds expected+20 more ▶+20 pts · more than expected ▶

Verdict

Home wins

50 matches

36.0%

of matches · odds said 44.1%

30 days: 25.8% vs 43.9% (31)

Season (50) · 36.0% vs 44.1%Normal range

Season

−8.1

±12.8Normal range

30 days (31) · 25.8% vs 43.9%Fewer than expected

30 days

−18.1

±16.3Fewer than expected

Draws

50 matches

32.0%

of matches · odds said 23.7%

30 days: 38.7% vs 23.6% (31)

Season (50) · 32.0% vs 23.7%Normal range

Season

+8.3

±11.7Normal range

30 days (31) · 38.7% vs 23.6%More than expected

30 days

+15.1

±14.9More than expected

Away wins

50 matches

32.0%

of matches · odds said 32.2%

30 days: 35.5% vs 32.5% (31)

Season (50) · 32.0% vs 32.2%Normal range

Season

−0.2

±12.1Normal range

30 days (31) · 35.5% vs 32.5%Normal range

30 days

+3.0

±15.5Normal range

Over 2.5 goals

50 matches

52.0%

of matches · odds said 56.6%

30 days: 48.4% vs 57.7% (31)

Season (50) · 52.0% vs 56.6%Normal range

Season

−4.6

±13.6Normal range

30 days (31) · 48.4% vs 57.7%Normal range

30 days

−9.3

±17.3Normal range

Both teams scored

50 matches

50.0%

of matches · odds said 55.9%

30 days: 48.4% vs 56.8% (31)

Season (50) · 50.0% vs 55.9%Normal range

Season

−5.9

±13.7Normal range

30 days (31) · 48.4% vs 56.8%Normal range

30 days

−8.4

±17.3Normal range

Show more markets (6)

Over 3.5 goals

50 matches

34.0%

of matches · odds said 34.6%

30 days: 32.3% vs 35.6% (31)

Season (50) · 34.0% vs 34.6%Normal range

Season

−0.6

±13.1Normal range

30 days (31) · 32.3% vs 35.6%Normal range

30 days

−3.4

±16.7Normal range

Home side ahead at half-time

50 matches

30.0%

of matches · odds said 34.2%

30 days: 22.6% vs 34.0% (31)

Season (50) · 30.0% vs 34.2%Normal range

Season

−4.2

±12.7Normal range

30 days (31) · 22.6% vs 34.0%Normal range

30 days

−11.5

±16.1Normal range

Level at half-time

50 matches

46.0%

of matches · odds said 39.2%

30 days: 54.8% vs 39.0% (31)

Season (50) · 46.0% vs 39.2%Normal range

Season

+6.8

±13.5Normal range

30 days (31) · 54.8% vs 39.0%Normal range

30 days

+15.9

±17.1Normal range

Away side ahead at half-time

50 matches

24.0%

of matches · odds said 26.6%

30 days: 22.6% vs 27.0% (31)

Season (50) · 24.0% vs 26.6%Normal range

Season

−2.6

±11.9Normal range

30 days (31) · 22.6% vs 27.0%Normal range

30 days

−4.4

±15.1Normal range

Home team scored 2+

50 matches

50.0%

of matches · odds said 46.9%

30 days: 41.9% vs 47.4% (31)

Season (50) · 50.0% vs 46.9%Normal range

Season

+3.1

±13.2Normal range

30 days (31) · 41.9% vs 47.4%Normal range

30 days

−5.5

±16.8Normal range

Away team scored 2+

50 matches

38.0%

of matches · odds said 37.8%

30 days: 38.7% vs 38.6% (31)

Season (50) · 38.0% vs 37.8%Normal range

Season

+0.2

±12.9Normal range

30 days (31) · 38.7% vs 38.6%Normal range

30 days

+0.1

±16.4Normal range

Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.

Show as a table

Premier League, season 2026/2027: results vs the closing odds
Result	Period	Matches	Happened	Odds expected	Gap (pts)	Normal range (± pts)	Verdict
Home wins	Season	50	36.0%	44.1%	−8.1	±12.8	Normal range
Home wins	30 days	31	25.8%	43.9%	−18.1	±16.3	Fewer than expected
Draws	Season	50	32.0%	23.7%	+8.3	±11.7	Normal range
Draws	30 days	31	38.7%	23.6%	+15.1	±14.9	More than expected
Away wins	Season	50	32.0%	32.2%	−0.2	±12.1	Normal range
Away wins	30 days	31	35.5%	32.5%	+3.0	±15.5	Normal range
Over 2.5 goals	Season	50	52.0%	56.6%	−4.6	±13.6	Normal range
Over 2.5 goals	30 days	31	48.4%	57.7%	−9.3	±17.3	Normal range
Both teams scored	Season	50	50.0%	55.9%	−5.9	±13.7	Normal range
Both teams scored	30 days	31	48.4%	56.8%	−8.4	±17.3	Normal range
Over 3.5 goals	Season	50	34.0%	34.6%	−0.6	±13.1	Normal range
Over 3.5 goals	30 days	31	32.3%	35.6%	−3.4	±16.7	Normal range
Home side ahead at half-time	Season	50	30.0%	34.2%	−4.2	±12.7	Normal range
Home side ahead at half-time	30 days	31	22.6%	34.0%	−11.5	±16.1	Normal range
Level at half-time	Season	50	46.0%	39.2%	+6.8	±13.5	Normal range
Level at half-time	30 days	31	54.8%	39.0%	+15.9	±17.1	Normal range
Away side ahead at half-time	Season	50	24.0%	26.6%	−2.6	±11.9	Normal range
Away side ahead at half-time	30 days	31	22.6%	27.0%	−4.4	±15.1	Normal range
Home team scored 2+	Season	50	50.0%	46.9%	+3.1	±13.2	Normal range
Home team scored 2+	30 days	31	41.9%	47.4%	−5.5	±16.8	Normal range
Away team scored 2+	Season	50	38.0%	37.8%	+0.2	±12.9	Normal range
Away team scored 2+	30 days	31	38.7%	38.6%	+0.1	±16.4	Normal range

For additional context on current-season team tendencies, Footiqo's Premier League BTTS statistics provide free Overall, Home and Away BTTS Yes/No records for every team.

Today's Betting Tips for Premier League England

Extra Stats

Premier League - England

Arsenal–

Leeds United–

Winner

1 68%

BTTS**

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Premier League - England

Arsenal–

Leeds United–

Winner

1 68%

BTTS**

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Extra Stats

Full Time

168%

X21%

212%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	14%	86%	41%	59%
	56%	44%	86%	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-0

14.0%

2-0

13.0%

2-1

10.3%

1-1

9.1%

3-0

8.4%

0-0

7.1%

Extra Stats

Premier League - England

Hull City–

Everton–

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS**

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Premier League - England

Hull City–

Everton–

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS**

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Extra Stats

Premier League - England

Crystal Palace–

Nottingham Forest–

Winner

12 74%

BTTS**

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Premier League - England

Crystal Palace–

Nottingham Forest–

Winner

12 74%

BTTS**

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Extra Stats

Premier League - England

Coventry City–

Newcastle United–

Winner

12 75%

BTTS**

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Premier League - England

Coventry City–

Newcastle United–

Winner

12 75%

BTTS**

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Extra Stats

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Premier League Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM	MP	PTS	W	D	L	G	GD	FORM
1 Manchester City	5	15	5	0	0	13:5	+8	W W W W W
2 Arsenal	5	12	4	0	1	8:4	+4	L W W W W
3 Brighton & Hove Albion	5	10	3	1	1	16:5	+11	W W D L W
4 Brentford	5	9	2	3	0	10:4	+6	W D D D W
5 Leeds United	5	9	2	3	0	7:3	+4	D W D D W

UEFA Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Relegation

MP=Matches Played

PTS=Points

W=Wins

D=Draws

L=Losses

G=Goals (For:Against)

GD=Goal Difference

FORM=Last 5 Matches

View Full Standings

About Premier League

The Premier League is the top level of the English football league system, contested by 20 clubs. It operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the English Football League. The Premier League was founded in 1992 and replaced the old First Division. Manchester United has won the most Premier League titles, with 13 championships. The Premier League is the most-watched football league in the world, broadcast in over 200 territories.