Banker as favourites
9/10Arsenal won 9 of 10 as favourites (league 49%).
Premier League Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Premier League match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 28 October 2026.
Premier League Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 9 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
44%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
56%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
54%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
70%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
47%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
15%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Premier League 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 44%, BTTS 56%, Over/Under 2.5 54%, Over/Under 3.5 70%, correct score 15%.
Premier League stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 370 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsGoals a match
2.77
28th of 63
xG a match
2.79
36th of 62
Corners a match
Cards a match
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Premier League: the stats that stand out
The Premier League teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games9/10Shot-shy
5/8Coventry City failed to score in 5 of their last 8 (league 26%).
Rarely both score
2/10Brighton & Hove Albion: both teams scored in only 2 of their last 10 (league 56%).
Slow starters
2/10Sunderland scored first in only 2 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Leaky
0/8Ipswich Town kept no clean sheet in their last 8 (league 26%).
Goal-fests
8/10Chelsea games went over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 (league 54%).
Always chasing
7/10Crystal Palace conceded first in 7 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →For additional context on current-season team tendencies, Footiqo's Premier League BTTS statistics provide free Overall, Home and Away BTTS Yes/No records for every team.
Today's Betting Tips for Premier League England
Free predictions for today's Premier League matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
Chelsea–
Manchester United–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Chelsea–Manchester United–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
145%
X25%
230%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 53% | 47% |
 | 33% | 67% | 65% | 35% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 43% | 57% | 55% | 45% |
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
6.1%
Coventry City–
Sunderland–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Coventry City–Sunderland–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Brentford–
Nottingham Forest–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Brentford–Nottingham Forest–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Manchester City–
Brighton & Hove Albion–Winner
1 65%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Manchester City–Brighton & Hove Albion–Winner
1 65%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Hull City–
Ipswich Town–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Hull City–Ipswich Town–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
AFC Bournemouth–
Leeds United–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
AFC Bournemouth–Leeds United–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Tottenham Hotspur–
Crystal Palace–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Tottenham Hotspur–Crystal Palace–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Aston Villa–
Fulham–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Aston Villa–Fulham–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Liverpool–
Arsenal–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Liverpool–Arsenal–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Newcastle United–
Everton–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Newcastle United–Everton–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Everton–Coventry City–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Everton–Coventry City–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Leeds United–Tottenham Hotspur–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Leeds United–Tottenham Hotspur–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Fulham–Newcastle United–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Fulham–Newcastle United–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Arsenal–Hull City–Winner
1 77%
BTTS*
No 65%
Correct Score
1-0 17%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Arsenal–Hull City–Winner
1 77%
BTTS*
No 65%
Correct Score
1-0 17%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Nottingham Forest–Manchester City–Winner
2 53%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Nottingham Forest–Manchester City–Winner
2 53%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Sunderland–Chelsea–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Sunderland–Chelsea–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Brighton & Hove Albion–Brentford–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Brighton & Hove Albion–Brentford–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Ipswich Town–AFC Bournemouth–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Ipswich Town–AFC Bournemouth–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Crystal Palace–Liverpool–Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Crystal Palace–Liverpool–Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Manchester United–Aston Villa–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Manchester United–Aston Villa–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Premier League xG: chances created and allowed
Every Premier League team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsPremier League average · 1.46 xG, 1.46 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 20
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Premier League Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Premier League this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −20◀ fewer than expected · −20 pts odds expected+20 more ▶+20 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
80 matches
38.8%
Season (80) · 38.8% vs 43.1%
Season
−4.3
±10.1
30 days (30) · 43.3% vs 41.5%
30 days
+1.9
±16.6
Draws
80 matches
28.8%
Season (80) · 28.8% vs 24.1%
Season
+4.6
±9.3
30 days (30) · 23.3% vs 24.8%
30 days
−1.5
±15.4
Away wins
80 matches
32.5%
Season (80) · 32.5% vs 32.8%
Season
−0.3
±9.7
30 days (30) · 33.3% vs 33.7%
30 days
−0.4
±16.1
Over 2.5 goals
80 matches
50.0%
Season (80) · 50.0% vs 56.5%
Season
−6.5
±10.8
30 days (30) · 46.7% vs 56.3%
30 days
−9.7
±17.6
Both teams scored
80 matches
50.0%
Season (80) · 50.0% vs 56.6%
Season
−6.6
±10.8
30 days (30) · 50.0% vs 57.6%
30 days
−7.6
±17.6
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
80 matches
31.3%
Season (80) · 31.3% vs 34.6%
Season
−3.4
±10.3
30 days (30) · 26.7% vs 34.7%
30 days
−8.0
±16.9
Home side ahead at half-time
80 matches
35.0%
Season (80) · 35.0% vs 33.7%
Season
+1.3
±10.0
30 days (30) · 43.3% vs 32.9%
30 days
+10.4
±16.4
Level at half-time
80 matches
46.3%
Season (80) · 46.3% vs 39.4%
Season
+6.9
±10.7
30 days (30) · 46.7% vs 39.7%
30 days
+7.0
±17.5
Away side ahead at half-time
80 matches
18.8%
Season (80) · 18.8% vs 26.9%
Season
−8.2
±9.4
30 days (30) · 10.0% vs 27.4%Fewer than expected
30 days
−17.4
±15.6Fewer than expected
Home team scored 2+
80 matches
48.8%
Season (80) · 48.8% vs 46.5%
Season
+2.2
±10.5
30 days (30) · 46.7% vs 45.9%
30 days
+0.7
±17.2
Away team scored 2+
80 matches
36.3%
Season (80) · 36.3% vs 38.6%
Season
−2.4
±10.3
30 days (30) · 33.3% vs 40.0%
30 days
−6.7
±17.0
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 80 | 38.8% | 43.1% | −4.3 | ±10.1 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 30 | 43.3% | 41.5% | +1.9 | ±16.6 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 80 | 28.8% | 24.1% | +4.6 | ±9.3 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 30 | 23.3% | 24.8% | −1.5 | ±15.4 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 80 | 32.5% | 32.8% | −0.3 | ±9.7 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 30 | 33.3% | 33.7% | −0.4 | ±16.1 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 80 | 50.0% | 56.5% | −6.5 | ±10.8 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 30 | 46.7% | 56.3% | −9.7 | ±17.6 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 80 | 50.0% | 56.6% | −6.6 | ±10.8 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 30 | 50.0% | 57.6% | −7.6 | ±17.6 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 80 | 31.3% | 34.6% | −3.4 | ±10.3 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 30 | 26.7% | 34.7% | −8.0 | ±16.9 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 80 | 35.0% | 33.7% | +1.3 | ±10.0 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 30 | 43.3% | 32.9% | +10.4 | ±16.4 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 80 | 46.3% | 39.4% | +6.9 | ±10.7 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 30 | 46.7% | 39.7% | +7.0 | ±17.5 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 80 | 18.8% | 26.9% | −8.2 | ±9.4 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 30 | 10.0% | 27.4% | −17.4 | ±15.6 | Fewer than expected |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 80 | 48.8% | 46.5% | +2.2 | ±10.5 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 30 | 46.7% | 45.9% | +0.7 | ±17.2 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 80 | 36.3% | 38.6% | −2.4 | ±10.3 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 30 | 33.3% | 40.0% | −6.7 | ±17.0 | Normal range |
Premier League luck check: the last 10 games
Premier League teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+7.1 = 7 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck4
Aston VillaClinical · +4 goals+7.1- Arsenal+6.8
Newcastle United+4.5
Manchester CityClinical · +4 goals+4.0
Unlucky3
Nottingham ForestWasteful · −8 goals−9.0- Manchester UnitedWasteful · −5 goals−5.2
AFC Bournemouth−4.2
Points in line, but wasteful: Fulham (−5 goals), Tottenham Hotspur (−5), Everton (−5), Liverpool (−4). Clinical: Chelsea (+6), Brighton & Hove Albion (+4), Ipswich Town (+3, 8 games).
In line with their chances: Leeds United, Hull City, Brentford, Coventry City, Sunderland and Crystal Palace.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Premier League last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 21–Oct 28 · 10 matches · odds: closing, margin removedCalculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →Premier League Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Manchester City | 8 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:9 | +11 | L W W W W |
2  Arsenal | 8 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | W W W L W |
3  Brighton & Hove Albion | 8 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23:7 | +16 | L W W W W |
4  Liverpool | 8 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | W W L W D |
5  Chelsea | 8 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | +2 | L W W L D |
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
The league profile compares Premier League with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
About Premier League
The Premier League is the top level of the English football league system, contested by 20 clubs. It operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the English Football League. The Premier League was founded in 1992 and replaced the old First Division. Manchester United has won the most Premier League titles, with 13 championships. The Premier League is the most-watched football league in the world, broadcast in over 200 territories.