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Premier League Predictions & Stats

The Premier League is the top level of the English football league system, contested by 20 clubs. It operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the English Football League. The Premier League was founded in 1992 and replaced the old First Division. Manchester United has won the most Premier League titles, with 13 championships. The Premier League is the most-watched football league in the world, broadcast in over 200 territories.

Premier League Predictions by Market

Season 2025/2026 · Round 38 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

50%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

44.1% Implied Probability

+13.4% Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

61%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

54.5% Implied Probability

+11.9% Strongly above implied probability

Low Edge

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

54.2% Implied Probability

-5.9% Near implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

70%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

60% Implied Probability

+16.7% Strongly above implied probability

Highest Edge

First Half Result

50%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38.2% Implied Probability

+30.9% Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

13%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes Premier League matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Premier League currently hit at 13%.

First Half Result is our strongest Premier League betting market this season with 50% prediction accuracy — that's 30.9% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 38.2%. This means our AI model correctly predicts First Half Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Premier League.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions currently sit 5.9% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 51%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Premier League Over/Under 2.5 Goals bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 3.5 Goals — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Premier League football tips.

Today's Betting Tips for Premier League England

Full Time


1	42%
X	27%
2	31%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Brighton & Hove Albion	28%	72%	62%	38%
Manchester United	37%	63%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	54%	46%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-0	0-1	2-1	2-0	1-2
11.9%	11.5%	9.5%	8.8%	8.6%	7.3%	7.2%

Full Time


1	42%
X	27%
2	31%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	62%	38%
	37%	63%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	54%	46%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-0	0-1	2-1	2-0	1-2
11.9%	11.5%	9.5%	8.8%	8.6%	7.3%	7.2%

Full Time


1	43%
X	27%
2	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Burnley	27%	73%	60%	40%
Wolverhampton Wanderers	37%	63%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-1	2-0	1-2
11.9%	11.3%	8.8%	8.8%	8.7%	7.3%	7.2%

Full Time


1	43%
X	27%
2	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	27%	73%	60%	40%
	37%	63%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-1	2-0	1-2
11.9%	11.3%	8.8%	8.8%	8.7%	7.3%	7.2%

Full Time


1	20%
X	27%
2	53%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Crystal Palace	47%	53%	80%	20%
Arsenal	23%	77%	55%	45%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	57%	43%	67%	33%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-2	0-0	1-2	1-0
14.2%	11.6%	10.5%	10.2%	9.3%	7.1%

Full Time


1	20%
X	27%
2	53%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	47%	53%	80%	20%
	23%	77%	55%	45%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	57%	43%	67%	33%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-2	0-0	1-2	1-0
14.2%	11.6%	10.5%	10.2%	9.3%	7.1%

Full Time


1	41%
X	24%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Fulham	24%	76%	54%	46%
Newcastle United	29%	71%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	39%	61%	53%	47%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	1-0	2-2	0-1
10.8%	9.1%	8.3%	7.1%	6.6%	6.5%

Full Time


1	41%
X	24%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	54%	46%
	29%	71%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	39%	61%	53%	47%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	1-0	2-2	0-1
10.8%	9.1%	8.3%	7.1%	6.6%	6.5%

Full Time


1	67%
X	19%
2	15%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Liverpool	12%	88%	36%	64%
Brentford	51%	49%	80%	20%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	39%	61%	51%	49%

Correct Score

2-0	2-1	1-0	1-1	3-0	3-1
10.2%	10.0%	9.6%	8.7%	7.5%	6.8%

Full Time


1	67%
X	19%
2	15%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	12%	88%	36%	64%
	51%	49%	80%	20%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	39%	61%	51%	49%

Correct Score

2-0	2-1	1-0	1-1	3-0	3-1
10.2%	10.0%	9.6%	8.7%	7.5%	6.8%

Full Time


1	62%
X	21%
2	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Manchester City	13%	87%	39%	61%
Aston Villa	46%	54%	77%	23%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	40%	60%	53%	47%

Correct Score

2-1	2-0	1-1	1-0	3-0	3-1
10.2%	10.0%	9.9%	9.8%	6.9%	6.7%

Full Time


1	62%
X	21%
2	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	13%	87%	39%	61%
	46%	54%	77%	23%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	40%	60%	53%	47%

Correct Score

2-1	2-0	1-1	1-0	3-0	3-1
10.2%	10.0%	9.9%	9.8%	6.9%	6.7%

Full Time


1	38%
X	26%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Nottingham Forest	28%	72%	61%	39%
AFC Bournemouth	30%	70%	64%	36%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	0-0
12.1%	9.2%	8.8%	8.7%	8.3%	7.1%

Full Time


1	38%
X	26%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	61%	39%
	30%	70%	64%	36%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	0-0
12.1%	9.2%	8.8%	8.7%	8.3%	7.1%

Full Time


1	30%
X	26%
2	44%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Sunderland	33%	67%	67%	33%
Chelsea	24%	76%	56%	44%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	47%	53%	59%	41%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-2
11.9%	9.4%	9.2%	7.6%	7.2%	6.8%	6.7%

Full Time


1	30%
X	26%
2	44%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	33%	67%	67%	33%
	24%	76%	56%	44%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	47%	53%	59%	41%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-2
11.9%	9.4%	9.2%	7.6%	7.2%	6.8%	6.7%

Full Time


1	40%
X	25%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Tottenham Hotspur	25%	75%	56%	44%
Everton	29%	71%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	42%	58%	55%	45%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	1-0	0-1	2-2	2-0
11.2%	8.8%	8.1%	8.0%	6.8%	6.4%	6.1%

Full Time


1	40%
X	25%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	56%	44%
	29%	71%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	42%	58%	55%	45%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	1-0	0-1	2-2	2-0
11.2%	8.8%	8.1%	8.0%	6.8%	6.4%	6.1%

Full Time


1	37%
X	28%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
West Ham United	31%	69%	66%	34%
Leeds United	35%	65%	67%	33%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	2-0
11.6%	11.5%	10.3%	9.4%	7.6%	7.5%	6.6%

Full Time


1	37%
X	28%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	31%	69%	66%	34%
	35%	65%	67%	33%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	2-0
11.6%	11.5%	10.3%	9.4%	7.6%	7.5%	6.6%

Full Time


1	42%
X	27%
2	31%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Brighton & Hove Albion	28%	72%	62%	38%
Manchester United	37%	63%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	54%	46%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-0	0-1	2-1	2-0	1-2
11.9%	11.5%	9.5%	8.8%	8.6%	7.3%	7.2%

Full Time


1	42%
X	27%
2	31%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	62%	38%
	37%	63%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	54%	46%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-0	0-1	2-1	2-0	1-2
11.9%	11.5%	9.5%	8.8%	8.6%	7.3%	7.2%

Full Time


1	43%
X	27%
2	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Burnley	27%	73%	60%	40%
Wolverhampton Wanderers	37%	63%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-1	2-0	1-2
11.9%	11.3%	8.8%	8.8%	8.7%	7.3%	7.2%

Full Time


1	43%
X	27%
2	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	27%	73%	60%	40%
	37%	63%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-1	2-0	1-2
11.9%	11.3%	8.8%	8.8%	8.7%	7.3%	7.2%

Full Time


1	20%
X	27%
2	53%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Crystal Palace	47%	53%	80%	20%
Arsenal	23%	77%	55%	45%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	57%	43%	67%	33%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-2	0-0	1-2	1-0
14.2%	11.6%	10.5%	10.2%	9.3%	7.1%

Full Time


1	20%
X	27%
2	53%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	47%	53%	80%	20%
	23%	77%	55%	45%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	57%	43%	67%	33%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-2	0-0	1-2	1-0
14.2%	11.6%	10.5%	10.2%	9.3%	7.1%

Full Time


1	41%
X	24%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Fulham	24%	76%	54%	46%
Newcastle United	29%	71%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	39%	61%	53%	47%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	1-0	2-2	0-1
10.8%	9.1%	8.3%	7.1%	6.6%	6.5%

Full Time


1	41%
X	24%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	54%	46%
	29%	71%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	39%	61%	53%	47%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	1-0	2-2	0-1
10.8%	9.1%	8.3%	7.1%	6.6%	6.5%

Full Time


1	67%
X	19%
2	15%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Liverpool	12%	88%	36%	64%
Brentford	51%	49%	80%	20%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	39%	61%	51%	49%

Correct Score

2-0	2-1	1-0	1-1	3-0	3-1
10.2%	10.0%	9.6%	8.7%	7.5%	6.8%

Full Time


1	67%
X	19%
2	15%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	12%	88%	36%	64%
	51%	49%	80%	20%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	39%	61%	51%	49%

Correct Score

2-0	2-1	1-0	1-1	3-0	3-1
10.2%	10.0%	9.6%	8.7%	7.5%	6.8%

Full Time


1	62%
X	21%
2	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Manchester City	13%	87%	39%	61%
Aston Villa	46%	54%	77%	23%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	40%	60%	53%	47%

Correct Score

2-1	2-0	1-1	1-0	3-0	3-1
10.2%	10.0%	9.9%	9.8%	6.9%	6.7%

Full Time


1	62%
X	21%
2	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	13%	87%	39%	61%
	46%	54%	77%	23%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	40%	60%	53%	47%

Correct Score

2-1	2-0	1-1	1-0	3-0	3-1
10.2%	10.0%	9.9%	9.8%	6.9%	6.7%

Full Time


1	38%
X	26%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Nottingham Forest	28%	72%	61%	39%
AFC Bournemouth	30%	70%	64%	36%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	0-0
12.1%	9.2%	8.8%	8.7%	8.3%	7.1%

Full Time


1	38%
X	26%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	61%	39%
	30%	70%	64%	36%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	0-0
12.1%	9.2%	8.8%	8.7%	8.3%	7.1%

Full Time


1	30%
X	26%
2	44%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Sunderland	33%	67%	67%	33%
Chelsea	24%	76%	56%	44%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	47%	53%	59%	41%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-2
11.9%	9.4%	9.2%	7.6%	7.2%	6.8%	6.7%

Full Time


1	30%
X	26%
2	44%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	33%	67%	67%	33%
	24%	76%	56%	44%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	47%	53%	59%	41%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-2
11.9%	9.4%	9.2%	7.6%	7.2%	6.8%	6.7%

Full Time


1	40%
X	25%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Tottenham Hotspur	25%	75%	56%	44%
Everton	29%	71%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	42%	58%	55%	45%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	1-0	0-1	2-2	2-0
11.2%	8.8%	8.1%	8.0%	6.8%	6.4%	6.1%

Full Time


1	40%
X	25%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	56%	44%
	29%	71%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	42%	58%	55%	45%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	1-0	0-1	2-2	2-0
11.2%	8.8%	8.1%	8.0%	6.8%	6.4%	6.1%

Full Time


1	37%
X	28%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
West Ham United	31%	69%	66%	34%
Leeds United	35%	65%	67%	33%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	2-0
11.6%	11.5%	10.3%	9.4%	7.6%	7.5%	6.6%

Full Time


1	37%
X	28%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	31%	69%	66%	34%
	35%	65%	67%	33%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	2-0
11.6%	11.5%	10.3%	9.4%	7.6%	7.5%	6.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Premier League Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Premier League betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Manchester City leads First Half Result predictions with 65% accuracy (24 correct out of 37 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like First Half Result are especially worth watching for your next Premier League bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Premier League teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Premier League Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Arsenal

73%(27/37)

Fulham

60%(22/37)

Burnley

60%(22/37)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Arsenal

5 in a row

West Ham United

4 in a row

Liverpool

1 in a row

Premier League Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Burnley

76%(28/37)

Liverpool

68%(25/37)

Brighton & Hove Albion

68%(25/37)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Liverpool

5 in a row

Arsenal

5 in a row

Newcastle United

5 in a row

Premier League Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Burnley

70%(26/37)

Manchester City

68%(25/37)

Liverpool

65%(24/37)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Manchester City

5 in a row

Manchester United

4 in a row

Crystal Palace

2 in a row

Premier League Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Sunderland

81%(30/37)

Brighton & Hove Albion

81%(30/37)

Manchester City

78%(29/37)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Fulham

5 in a row

Arsenal

5 in a row

Wolverhampton Wanderers

5 in a row

Premier League First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Manchester City

65%(24/37)

Fulham

60%(22/37)

Burnley

57%(21/37)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Leeds United

5 in a row

Burnley

4 in a row

Crystal Palace

3 in a row

Premier League Teams in Best Form

Manchester United

Arsenal

Manchester City

Premier League Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM	MP	PTS	W	D	L	G	GD	FORM
1 Arsenal	37	82	25	7	5	69:26	+43	W W W W L
2 Manchester City	37	78	23	9	5	76:33	+43	D W W D W
3 Manchester United	37	68	19	11	7	66:50	+16	W D W W W
4 Aston Villa	37	62	18	8	11	54:48	+6	W D L L W
5 Liverpool	37	59	17	8	12	62:52	+10	L D L W W

UEFA Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Relegation

MP=Matches Played

PTS=Points

W=Wins

D=Draws

L=Losses

G=Goals (For:Against)

GD=Goal Difference

FORM=Last 5 Matches

View Full Standings