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Serie A Predictions & Stats

Serie A is the top professional football league in Italy. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with Serie B. Serie A is known for its tactical sophistication and defensive prowess. Juventus FC is the most successful club in Serie A history, having won numerous league titles.

Serie A Predictions by Market

Season 2025/2026 · Round 31 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

55%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

44.3% Implied Probability

+24.2% Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

53%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.9% Implied Probability

-1.7% Near implied probability

Low Edge

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

46%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.7% Implied Probability

-14.3% Below implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

76%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

63% Implied Probability

+20.7% Strongly above implied probability

Highest Edge

First Half Result

49%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38.8% Implied Probability

+26.3% Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

11%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes Serie A matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 3 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Serie A currently hit at 11%.

First Half Result is our strongest Serie A betting market this season with 49% prediction accuracy — that's 26.3% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 38.8%. This means our AI model correctly predicts First Half Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Serie A.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions currently sit 14.3% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 46%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Serie A Over/Under 2.5 Goals bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 3.5 Goals — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Serie A football tips.

Today's Betting Tips for Serie A Italy

Full Time


1	47%
X	27%
2	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Sassuolo	24%	76%	58%	42%
Cagliari	40%	60%	75%	25%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-0	2-0	0-1	1-2
12.6%	12.4%	9.5%	8.8%	8.7%	8.3%	6.4%

Full Time


1	47%
X	27%
2	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	58%	42%
	40%	60%	75%	25%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-0	2-0	0-1	1-2
12.6%	12.4%	9.5%	8.8%	8.7%	8.3%	6.4%

Full Time


1	21%
X	23%
2	56%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Hellas Verona	44%	56%	77%	23%
Fiorentina	19%	81%	49%	51%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	62%	38%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	1-2	0-2	0-0	1-0
11.9%	11.0%	10.0%	9.9%	7.0%	6.4%

Full Time


1	21%
X	23%
2	56%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	44%	56%	77%	23%
	19%	81%	49%	51%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	62%	38%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	1-2	0-2	0-0	1-0
11.9%	11.0%	10.0%	9.9%	7.0%	6.4%

Full Time


1	49%
X	29%
2	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lazio	26%	74%	60%	40%
Parma	46%	54%	81%	19%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	62%	38%	72%	28%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	0-1
15.3%	12.6%	11.5%	9.9%	8.9%	8.9%

Full Time


1	49%
X	29%
2	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	60%	40%
	46%	54%	81%	19%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	62%	38%	72%	28%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	0-1
15.3%	12.6%	11.5%	9.9%	8.9%	8.9%

Full Time


1	18%
X	25%
2	57%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Cremonese	49%	51%	82%	18%
Bologna	20%	80%	52%	48%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	66%	34%

Correct Score

0-1	0-2	1-1	1-2	0-0	1-0	0-3
14.5%	11.4%	11.2%	9.4%	9.0%	6.8%	6.0%

Full Time


1	18%
X	25%
2	57%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	49%	51%	82%	18%
	20%	80%	52%	48%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	66%	34%

Correct Score

0-1	0-2	1-1	1-2	0-0	1-0	0-3
14.5%	11.4%	11.2%	9.4%	9.0%	6.8%	6.0%

Full Time


1	41%
X	27%
2	33%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Pisa	28%	72%	62%	38%
Torino	34%	66%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	0-0	1-2	2-0
12.6%	10.6%	9.0%	8.7%	7.9%	7.6%	7.0%

Full Time


1	41%
X	27%
2	33%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	62%	38%
	34%	66%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	0-0	1-2	2-0
12.6%	10.6%	9.0%	8.7%	7.9%	7.6%	7.0%

Full Time


1	57%
X	24%
2	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Inter	18%	82%	48%	52%
Roma	45%	55%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-0	2-1	0-0	0-1
12.1%	11.1%	10.3%	10.1%	6.9%	6.2%

Full Time


1	57%
X	24%
2	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	18%	82%	48%	52%
	45%	55%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-0	2-1	0-0	0-1
12.1%	11.1%	10.3%	10.1%	6.9%	6.2%

Full Time


1	22%
X	25%
2	53%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Udinese	44%	56%	77%	23%
Como	21%	79%	53%	47%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	64%	36%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	1-2	0-2	0-0	1-0
12.6%	11.8%	9.8%	9.8%	8.0%	7.1%

Full Time


1	22%
X	25%
2	53%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	44%	56%	77%	23%
	21%	79%	53%	47%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	64%	36%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	1-2	0-2	0-0	1-0
12.6%	11.8%	9.8%	9.8%	8.0%	7.1%

Full Time


1	28%
X	27%
2	45%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lecce	39%	61%	73%	27%
Atalanta	26%	74%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	1-2	0-0	0-2	2-1
12.6%	12.2%	9.0%	8.9%	8.9%	8.3%	6.6%

Full Time


1	28%
X	27%
2	45%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	39%	61%	73%	27%
	26%	74%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	1-2	0-0	0-2	2-1
12.6%	12.2%	9.0%	8.9%	8.9%	8.3%	6.6%

Full Time


1	68%
X	22%
2	10%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Juventus	17%	83%	45%	55%
Genoa	62%	38%	89%	11%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	0-0	2-1	1-1	3-0
17.1%	14.2%	10.2%	8.6%	8.5%	8.2%

Full Time


1	68%
X	22%
2	10%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	17%	83%	45%	55%
	62%	38%	89%	11%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	0-0	2-1	1-1	3-0
17.1%	14.2%	10.2%	8.6%	8.5%	8.2%

Full Time


1	36%
X	28%
2	36%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Napoli	32%	68%	67%	33%
Milan	32%	68%	67%	33%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	68%	32%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	2-1	1-2	0-2	2-0
13.2%	10.7%	10.6%	9.2%	8.1%	7.9%	6.4%	6.2%

Full Time


1	36%
X	28%
2	36%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	32%	68%	67%	33%
	32%	68%	67%	33%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	68%	32%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	2-1	1-2	0-2	2-0
13.2%	10.7%	10.6%	9.2%	8.1%	7.9%	6.4%	6.2%

Full Time


1	47%
X	27%
2	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Sassuolo	24%	76%	58%	42%
Cagliari	40%	60%	75%	25%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-0	2-0	0-1	1-2
12.6%	12.4%	9.5%	8.8%	8.7%	8.3%	6.4%

Full Time


1	47%
X	27%
2	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	58%	42%
	40%	60%	75%	25%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-0	2-0	0-1	1-2
12.6%	12.4%	9.5%	8.8%	8.7%	8.3%	6.4%

Full Time


1	21%
X	23%
2	56%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Hellas Verona	44%	56%	77%	23%
Fiorentina	19%	81%	49%	51%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	62%	38%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	1-2	0-2	0-0	1-0
11.9%	11.0%	10.0%	9.9%	7.0%	6.4%

Full Time


1	21%
X	23%
2	56%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	44%	56%	77%	23%
	19%	81%	49%	51%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	62%	38%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	1-2	0-2	0-0	1-0
11.9%	11.0%	10.0%	9.9%	7.0%	6.4%

Full Time


1	49%
X	29%
2	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lazio	26%	74%	60%	40%
Parma	46%	54%	81%	19%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	62%	38%	72%	28%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	0-1
15.3%	12.6%	11.5%	9.9%	8.9%	8.9%

Full Time


1	49%
X	29%
2	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	60%	40%
	46%	54%	81%	19%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	62%	38%	72%	28%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	0-1
15.3%	12.6%	11.5%	9.9%	8.9%	8.9%

Full Time


1	18%
X	25%
2	57%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Cremonese	49%	51%	82%	18%
Bologna	20%	80%	52%	48%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	66%	34%

Correct Score

0-1	0-2	1-1	1-2	0-0	1-0	0-3
14.5%	11.4%	11.2%	9.4%	9.0%	6.8%	6.0%

Full Time


1	18%
X	25%
2	57%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	49%	51%	82%	18%
	20%	80%	52%	48%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	66%	34%

Correct Score

0-1	0-2	1-1	1-2	0-0	1-0	0-3
14.5%	11.4%	11.2%	9.4%	9.0%	6.8%	6.0%

Full Time


1	41%
X	27%
2	33%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Pisa	28%	72%	62%	38%
Torino	34%	66%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	0-0	1-2	2-0
12.6%	10.6%	9.0%	8.7%	7.9%	7.6%	7.0%

Full Time


1	41%
X	27%
2	33%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	62%	38%
	34%	66%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	0-0	1-2	2-0
12.6%	10.6%	9.0%	8.7%	7.9%	7.6%	7.0%

Full Time


1	57%
X	24%
2	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Inter	18%	82%	48%	52%
Roma	45%	55%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-0	2-1	0-0	0-1
12.1%	11.1%	10.3%	10.1%	6.9%	6.2%

Full Time


1	57%
X	24%
2	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	18%	82%	48%	52%
	45%	55%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-0	2-1	0-0	0-1
12.1%	11.1%	10.3%	10.1%	6.9%	6.2%

Full Time


1	22%
X	25%
2	53%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Udinese	44%	56%	77%	23%
Como	21%	79%	53%	47%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	64%	36%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	1-2	0-2	0-0	1-0
12.6%	11.8%	9.8%	9.8%	8.0%	7.1%

Full Time


1	22%
X	25%
2	53%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	44%	56%	77%	23%
	21%	79%	53%	47%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	64%	36%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	1-2	0-2	0-0	1-0
12.6%	11.8%	9.8%	9.8%	8.0%	7.1%

Full Time


1	28%
X	27%
2	45%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lecce	39%	61%	73%	27%
Atalanta	26%	74%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	1-2	0-0	0-2	2-1
12.6%	12.2%	9.0%	8.9%	8.9%	8.3%	6.6%

Full Time


1	28%
X	27%
2	45%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	39%	61%	73%	27%
	26%	74%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	1-2	0-0	0-2	2-1
12.6%	12.2%	9.0%	8.9%	8.9%	8.3%	6.6%

Full Time


1	68%
X	22%
2	10%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Juventus	17%	83%	45%	55%
Genoa	62%	38%	89%	11%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	0-0	2-1	1-1	3-0
17.1%	14.2%	10.2%	8.6%	8.5%	8.2%

Full Time


1	68%
X	22%
2	10%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	17%	83%	45%	55%
	62%	38%	89%	11%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	0-0	2-1	1-1	3-0
17.1%	14.2%	10.2%	8.6%	8.5%	8.2%

Full Time


1	36%
X	28%
2	36%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Napoli	32%	68%	67%	33%
Milan	32%	68%	67%	33%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	68%	32%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	2-1	1-2	0-2	2-0
13.2%	10.7%	10.6%	9.2%	8.1%	7.9%	6.4%	6.2%

Full Time


1	36%
X	28%
2	36%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	32%	68%	67%	33%
	32%	68%	67%	33%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	68%	32%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	2-1	1-2	0-2	2-0
13.2%	10.7%	10.6%	9.2%	8.1%	7.9%	6.4%	6.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Serie A Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Serie A betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Bologna leads First Half Result predictions with 63% accuracy (19 correct out of 30 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like First Half Result are especially worth watching for your next Serie A bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Serie A teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Serie A Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Inter

73%(22/30)

Napoli

67%(20/30)

Roma

63%(19/30)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Napoli

5 in a row

Lecce

5 in a row

Como

4 in a row

Serie A Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Lecce

63%(19/30)

Atalanta

60%(18/30)

Parma

57%(17/30)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Atalanta

5 in a row

Lazio

4 in a row

Pisa

1 in a row

Serie A Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Parma

60%(18/30)

Cremonese

60%(18/30)

Lecce

57%(17/30)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Udinese

3 in a row

Lazio

2 in a row

Parma

1 in a row

Serie A Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Roma

87%(26/30)

Lecce

87%(26/30)

Lazio

83%(25/30)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Lazio

5 in a row

Genoa

5 in a row

Napoli

5 in a row

Serie A First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Bologna

63%(19/30)

Parma

60%(18/30)

Pisa

60%(18/30)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Genoa

4 in a row

Parma

4 in a row

Hellas Verona

3 in a row

Serie A Teams in Best Form

Como

Napoli

Lazio

Serie A Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM	MP	PTS	W	D	L	G	GD	FORM
1 Inter	30	69	22	3	5	66:24	+42	D D L W W
2 Milan	30	63	18	9	3	47:23	+24	W L W W L
3 Napoli	30	62	19	5	6	46:30	+16	W W W W L
4 Como	30	57	16	9	5	53:22	+31	W W W W W
5 Juventus	30	54	15	9	6	52:29	+23	D W W D L