Cup of Portugal Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Cup of Portugal match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities, with accuracy tracked against bookmaker odds over the last 100 matches.
Predictions updated on 19 September 2026.
Taça De Portugal Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · 2nd Round
Full-Time Result
58.3%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
58.3%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
54.2%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
75%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
54.2%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
17%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Our AI model analyzes Taça De Portugal matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 5 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Taça De Portugal currently hit at 17%.
First Half Result is our strongest Taça De Portugal betting market this season with 54% prediction accuracy — that's 43.8% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 37.7%. This means our AI model correctly predicts First Half Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Taça De Portugal.
The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 3.5 Goals — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Taça De Portugal football tips.
Today's Betting Tips for Taça De Portugal
Naval 1º de Maio–
Felgueiras 1932–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Naval 1º de Maio–Felgueiras 1932–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 40% | 60% | 75% | 25% |
 | 32% | 68% | 67% | 33% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 71% | 29% |
Correct Score
0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
Vitória de Sernache–
Varzim–Winner
X2 74%
BTTS**
No 58%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
Vitória de Sernache–Varzim–Winner
X2 74%
BTTS**
No 58%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
Atlético CP–
Lagoa–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS**
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Atlético CP–Lagoa–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS**
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Salgueiros–
Feirense–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Salgueiros–Feirense–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
UD Oliveirense–
Penafiel–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
UD Oliveirense–Penafiel–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Mafra–
Tirsense–Winner
12 70%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Mafra–Tirsense–Winner
12 70%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
O Elvas–
União de Leiria–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
O Elvas–União de Leiria–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Beira-Mar–
CF Os Belenenses–Winner
12 71%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Beira-Mar–CF Os Belenenses–Winner
12 71%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Fafe–
Juventude Lajense–Winner
1 71%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Fafe–Juventude Lajense–Winner
1 71%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Cinfães–
Leixões–Winner
X2 75%
BTTS**
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Cinfães–Leixões–Winner
X2 75%
BTTS**
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Mortágua–
Leca–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Mortágua–Leca–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
FC Serpa–
Louletano–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
FC Serpa–Louletano–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Ovarense–
Os Marialvas–Winner
1 52%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Ovarense–Os Marialvas–Winner
1 52%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Bragança–
Celoricense–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Bragança–Celoricense–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Amora–
UD da Serra–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Amora–UD da Serra–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Oliveira Hospital–
Juventude Evora–Winner
1 51%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Oliveira Hospital–Juventude Evora–Winner
1 51%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Guarda–
Chaves–Winner
2 64%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
0-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Guarda–Chaves–Winner
2 64%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
0-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Sintrense–
AVS–Winner
12 75%
BTTS**
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Sintrense–AVS–Winner
12 75%
BTTS**
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Paredes–
Maria da Fonte–Winner
1 56%
BTTS**
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Paredes–Maria da Fonte–Winner
1 56%
BTTS**
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Camacha–
Florgrade–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Camacha–Florgrade–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Taça De Portugal Prediction Accuracy by Team
The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Taça De Portugal betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Sintrense leads First Half Result predictions with 100% accuracy (1 correct out of 1 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like First Half Result are especially worth watching for your next Taça De Portugal bet.
Taça De Portugal Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Varzim
Mafra
FátimaPrediction Form Streaks
VarzimMafraFátimaTaça De Portugal Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Fafe
Florgrade
MortáguaPrediction Form Streaks
FafeFlorgradeMortáguaTaça De Portugal Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
FafeFlorgradeMortáguaPrediction Form Streaks
FafeFlorgradeMortáguaTaça De Portugal Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
CF Os BelenensesFafeFlorgradePrediction Form Streaks
CF Os BelenensesFafeFlorgradeTaça De Portugal First Half Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
SintrenseFafeVarzimPrediction Form Streaks
SintrenseFafeVarzimAbout Cup of Portugal
The Taça de Portugal, also known as the Portuguese Cup, is an annual football cup competition in Portugal. It features teams from all levels of Portuguese football, from amateur clubs to top-tier teams. The Taça de Portugal has a rich history and is known for its dramatic matches and giant-killing upsets.