Low-scoring
3/10Sandefjord games went over 2.5 goals in only 3 of their last 10 (league 64%).
Eliteserien Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Eliteserien match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 26 October 2026.
Eliteserien Predictions by Market
Season 2026 · Round 25 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
55%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
64%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
69%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
63%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
47%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
14%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Eliteserien 2026 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 55%, BTTS 64%, Over/Under 2.5 69%, Over/Under 3.5 63%, correct score 14%.
Eliteserien stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 232 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsGoals galoreHome fortressCorner-heavy
Goals a match
3.28
6th of 63
xG a match
3.01
8th of 62
Corners a match
10.88
1st of 62
Cards a match
3.55
57th of 63
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Eliteserien: the stats that stand out
The Eliteserien teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games3/10Fast starters
8/10Rosenborg scored first in 8 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 49%).
Goals at both ends
9/10Molde: both teams scored in 9 of their last 10 (league 60%).
Banker as favourites
8/9Viking won 8 of 9 as favourites (league 58%).
Hard to break
2/10Bodø / Glimt conceded first in only 2 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 49%).
Always on the scoresheet
0/10Aalesund scored in all of their last 10 (league 22% fail to score).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Eliteserien Norway
Free predictions for today's Eliteserien matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
Bodø / Glimt–
Viking–Winner
1 66%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 72%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 62%
Bodø / Glimt–Viking–Winner
1 66%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 72%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 62%
Full Time
166%
X17%
217%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11% | 89% | 31% | 69% |
| 47% | 53% | 74% | 26% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 38% | 62% |
Correct Score
2-1
8.6%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-0
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
Fredrikstad–
Rosenborg–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Fredrikstad–Rosenborg–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Aalesund–
Sandefjord–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Aalesund–Sandefjord–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Brann–
Molde–Winner
X2 63%
BTTS*
Yes 69%
Correct Score
1-2 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 73%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 62%
Brann–Molde–Winner
X2 63%
BTTS*
Yes 69%
Correct Score
1-2 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 73%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 62%
Sarpsborg 08–
Kristiansund–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Sarpsborg 08–Kristiansund–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
KFUM–
HamKam–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
KFUM–HamKam–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Start–
Lillestrøm–Winner
12 76%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Start–Lillestrøm–Winner
12 76%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Vålerenga–
Tromsø–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Vålerenga–Tromsø–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Kristiansund–Vålerenga–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Kristiansund–Vålerenga–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Rosenborg–Start–Winner
1 67%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Rosenborg–Start–Winner
1 67%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Tromsø–Bodø / Glimt–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Tromsø–Bodø / Glimt–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Viking–KFUM–Winner
1 66%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Viking–KFUM–Winner
1 66%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
HamKam–Sarpsborg 08–Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
HamKam–Sarpsborg 08–Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Sandefjord–Molde–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Sandefjord–Molde–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Lillestrøm–Aalesund–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 70%
Correct Score
1-1 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 72%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 61%
Lillestrøm–Aalesund–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 70%
Correct Score
1-1 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 72%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 61%
Fredrikstad–Brann–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Fredrikstad–Brann–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Eliteserien xG: chances created and allowed
Every Eliteserien team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsEliteserien average · 1.65 xG, 1.63 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 16
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Eliteserien Results vs the Odds
Season 2026 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Eliteserien this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −25◀ fewer than expected · −25 pts odds expected+25 more ▶+25 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
192 matches
50.0%
Season (192) · 50.0% vs 46.8%
Season
+3.2
±6.5
30 days (24) · 41.7% vs 49.0%
30 days
−7.3
±18.3
Draws
192 matches
19.8%
Season (192) · 19.8% vs 22.1%
Season
−2.3
±5.8
30 days (24) · 20.8% vs 20.8%
30 days
0.0
±16.1
Away wins
192 matches
30.2%
Season (192) · 30.2% vs 31.1%
Season
−0.9
±6.1
30 days (24) · 37.5% vs 30.2%
30 days
+7.3
±17.0
Over 2.5 goals
192 matches
62.5%
Season (192) · 62.5% vs 62.3%
Season
+0.2
±6.8
30 days (24) · 66.7% vs 66.1%
30 days
+0.6
±18.7
Both teams scored
192 matches
59.9%
Season (192) · 59.9% vs 59.7%
Season
+0.2
±6.9
30 days (24) · 70.8% vs 61.6%
30 days
+9.2
±19.3
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
192 matches
36.5%
Season (192) · 36.5% vs 41.0%
Season
−4.6
±6.9
30 days (24) · 50.0% vs 45.2%
30 days
+4.8
±19.6
Home side ahead at half-time
192 matches
40.6%
Season (192) · 40.6% vs 36.9%
Season
+3.7
±6.6
30 days (24) · 29.2% vs 39.1%
30 days
−10.0
±18.6
Level at half-time
192 matches
31.8%
Season (192) · 31.8% vs 36.8%
Season
−5.0
±6.8
30 days (24) · 33.3% vs 35.0%
30 days
−1.6
±19.0
Away side ahead at half-time
192 matches
27.6%
Season (192) · 27.6% vs 26.3%
Season
+1.3
±6.0
30 days (24) · 37.5% vs 25.9%
30 days
+11.6
±16.8
Home team scored 2+
192 matches
54.7%
Season (192) · 54.7% vs 52.6%
Season
+2.1
±6.7
30 days (24) · 54.2% vs 56.4%
30 days
−2.3
±18.7
Away team scored 2+
192 matches
38.5%
Season (192) · 38.5% vs 40.1%
Season
−1.6
±6.6
30 days (24) · 50.0% vs 41.3%
30 days
+8.7
±18.8
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 192 | 50.0% | 46.8% | +3.2 | ±6.5 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 24 | 41.7% | 49.0% | −7.3 | ±18.3 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 192 | 19.8% | 22.1% | −2.3 | ±5.8 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 24 | 20.8% | 20.8% | 0.0 | ±16.1 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 192 | 30.2% | 31.1% | −0.9 | ±6.1 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 24 | 37.5% | 30.2% | +7.3 | ±17.0 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 192 | 62.5% | 62.3% | +0.2 | ±6.8 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 24 | 66.7% | 66.1% | +0.6 | ±18.7 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 192 | 59.9% | 59.7% | +0.2 | ±6.9 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 24 | 70.8% | 61.6% | +9.2 | ±19.3 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 192 | 36.5% | 41.0% | −4.6 | ±6.9 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 24 | 50.0% | 45.2% | +4.8 | ±19.6 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 192 | 40.6% | 36.9% | +3.7 | ±6.6 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 24 | 29.2% | 39.1% | −10.0 | ±18.6 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 192 | 31.8% | 36.8% | −5.0 | ±6.8 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 24 | 33.3% | 35.0% | −1.6 | ±19.0 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 192 | 27.6% | 26.3% | +1.3 | ±6.0 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 24 | 37.5% | 25.9% | +11.6 | ±16.8 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 192 | 54.7% | 52.6% | +2.1 | ±6.7 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 24 | 54.2% | 56.4% | −2.3 | ±18.7 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 192 | 38.5% | 40.1% | −1.6 | ±6.6 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 24 | 50.0% | 41.3% | +8.7 | ±18.8 | Normal range |
Eliteserien luck check: the last 10 games
Eliteserien teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+9.0 = 9 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck2
KFUM+9.0- VikingClinical · +5 goals+6.4
Unlucky4
Sarpsborg 08Wasteful · −5 goals−5.2
Vålerenga−4.4
TromsøClinical · +5 goals−4.2
BrannWasteful · −5 goals−4.1
Points in line, but wasteful: Sandefjord (−6 goals), Start (−5). Clinical: Molde (+5), Rosenborg (+5), Aalesund (+3).
In line with their chances: Fredrikstad, Lillestrøm, HamKam, Bodø / Glimt and Kristiansund.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Eliteserien last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 19–Oct 26 · 8 matches · odds: closing, margin removedCalculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →Eliteserien Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Viking | 24 | 59 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 62:23 | +39 | W W W W W |
2  Bodø / Glimt | 24 | 56 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 58:21 | +37 | L W W L W |
3  Molde | 24 | 43 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 57:36 | +21 | W W D L W |
4  Rosenborg | 24 | 40 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 46:31 | +15 | W W D W W |
5  Tromsø | 24 | 40 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43:34 | +9 | L D D W L |
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
The league profile compares Eliteserien with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
About Eliteserien
Eliteserien is the top professional football league in Norway. It consists of 16 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the 1. divisjon. Eliteserien is known for its competitive matches and emphasis on attacking football. Rosenborg BK is the most successful club in Eliteserien history, having won numerous league titles.