Eredivisie Predictions & Stats

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Eredivisie match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.

Predictions updated on 7 October 2026.

Eredivisie Predictions by Market

Season 2026/2027 · Round 8 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

51%

Both Teams To Score

66%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

69%

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

46%

First Half Result

43%

Correct Score

13%

Eredivisie 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 51%, BTTS 66%, Over/Under 2.5 69%, Over/Under 3.5 46%, correct score 13%.

Eredivisie stats compared with other leagues

How to read it

last 12 months · 300 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitions

Goals galoreCorner-heavy

Goals a match

3.26

6th of 63

xG a match

3.12

3rd of 62

Corners a match

Pro · free for now

10.54

2nd of 62

Cards a match

Pro · free for now

3.11

62nd of 63

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.

Eredivisie: the stats that stand out

How to read it

the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games
Fast starters
AZ10/10

AZ scored first in 10 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 48%).

Goal-fests
PSV10/10

PSV games went over 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 10 (league 63%).

Brick wall
Ajax5/10

Ajax kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 20%).

Goals at both ends
Go Ahead Eagles10/10

Go Ahead Eagles: both teams scored in 10 of their last 10 (league 64%).

Always chasing
ADO Den Haag6/7

ADO Den Haag conceded first in 6 of 7 recent matches with goal times (league 48%).

Shot-shy
PEC Zwolle4/10

PEC Zwolle failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 20%).

Banker as favourites
Feyenoord7/10

Feyenoord won 7 of 10 as favourites (league 52%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).

How we measure →
PSVPSV–
SC HeerenveenSC Heerenveen–

Winner

1 64%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

2-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 68%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 58%

Full Time

164%
X19%
217%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
PSV12%88%34%66%
SC Heerenveen47%53%73%27%

Goals Over/Under

<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT32%68%42%58%

Correct Score

2-1

8.9%

2-0

7.8%

1-0

7.8%

1-1

7.8%

3-1

6.6%

Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles–
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam–

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

FeyenoordFeyenoord–
AZAZ–

Winner

1 56%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard–
FC TwenteFC Twente–

Winner

2 62%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-2 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

AjaxAjax–
NECNEC–

Winner

1 66%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

2-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

FC UtrechtFC Utrecht–
Willem IIWillem II–

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

TelstarTelstar–
ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag–

Winner

1X 65%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle–
SC CambuurSC Cambuur–

Winner

2 50%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

ExcelsiorExcelsior–
FC GroningenFC Groningen–

Winner

1X 65%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

SC HeerenveenSC Heerenveen–
ExcelsiorExcelsior–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag–
PSVPSV–

Winner

2 50%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

TelstarTelstar–
FeyenoordFeyenoord–

Winner

2 55%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam–
Willem IIWillem II–

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle–
Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles–

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

SC CambuurSC Cambuur–
AZAZ–

Winner

2 50%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-2 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 50%

FC GroningenFC Groningen–
AjaxAjax–

Winner

2 55%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

FC TwenteFC Twente–
FC UtrechtFC Utrecht–

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

NECNEC–
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard–

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Eredivisie attack vs defence: chances created and allowed

How to read it

each logo is a team · tap one for detailsEredivisie average · 1.61 xG, 1.61 xGAlast 10 games each
Tap a logo to see the team's numbers

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

Teams by box· 18
Good attack, good defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Eredivisie Results vs the Odds

Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days

How often each result has happened in Eredivisie this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.

How to read it

what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
◀ fewer −25 odds expected+25 more ▶

Home wins

30.2%

Season (63) · 30.2% vs 47.0%Fewer than expected
30 days (22) · 40.9% vs 54.1%Normal range

Draws

27.0%

Season (63) · 27.0% vs 20.2%Normal range
30 days (22) · 36.4% vs 18.8%More than expected

Away wins

42.9%

Season (63) · 42.9% vs 32.7%Normal range
30 days (22) · 22.7% vs 27.1%Normal range

Over 2.5 goals

76.2%

Season (63) · 76.2% vs 68.2%Normal range
30 days (22) · 59.1% vs 71.7%Normal range

Both teams scored

69.8%

Season (63) · 69.8% vs 62.0%Normal range
30 days (22) · 54.5% vs 62.4%Normal range
Show more markets (6)

Over 3.5 goals

63.5%

Season (63) · 63.5% vs 47.0%More than expected
30 days (22) · 45.5% vs 50.9%Normal range

Home side ahead at half-time

25.4%

Season (63) · 25.4% vs 37.9%Fewer than expected
30 days (22) · 31.8% vs 43.5%Normal range

Level at half-time

31.7%

Season (63) · 31.7% vs 34.3%Normal range
30 days (22) · 31.8% vs 32.7%Normal range

Away side ahead at half-time

42.9%

Season (63) · 42.9% vs 27.8%More than expected
30 days (22) · 36.4% vs 23.7%Normal range

Home team scored 2+

50.8%

Season (63) · 50.8% vs 56.0%Normal range
30 days (22) · 45.5% vs 63.4%Normal range

Away team scored 2+

61.9%

Season (63) · 61.9% vs 43.6%More than expected
30 days (22) · 36.4% vs 39.8%Normal range

Outside the normal range this season: Home wins 30.2% vs 47.0% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 410); Over 3.5 goals 63.5% vs 47.0% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 120); Home side ahead at half-time 25.4% vs 37.9% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 35); Away side ahead at half-time 42.9% vs 27.8% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 210); Away team scored 2+ 61.9% vs 43.6% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 570).

Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.

Show as a table
Eredivisie, season 2026/2027: results vs the closing odds
ResultPeriodMatchesHappenedOdds expectedGap (pts)Normal range (± pts)Verdict
Home winsSeason6330.2%47.0%−16.9±10.9Fewer than expected
Home wins30 days2240.9%54.1%−13.2±18.4Normal range
DrawsSeason6327.0%20.2%+6.8±9.8Normal range
Draws30 days2236.4%18.8%+17.6±16.2More than expected
Away winsSeason6342.9%32.7%+10.1±10.3Normal range
Away wins30 days2222.7%27.1%−4.4±16.6Normal range
Over 2.5 goalsSeason6376.2%68.2%+8.0±11.4Normal range
Over 2.5 goals30 days2259.1%71.7%−12.6±18.7Normal range
Both teams scoredSeason6369.8%62.0%+7.9±11.9Normal range
Both teams scored30 days2254.5%62.4%−7.9±20.1Normal range
Over 3.5 goalsSeason6363.5%47.0%+16.5±12.2More than expected
Over 3.5 goals30 days2245.5%50.9%−5.5±20.7Normal range
Home side ahead at half-timeSeason6325.4%37.9%−12.5±11.3Fewer than expected
Home side ahead at half-time30 days2231.8%43.5%−11.7±19.5Normal range
Level at half-timeSeason6331.7%34.3%−2.6±11.7Normal range
Level at half-time30 days2231.8%32.7%−0.9±19.5Normal range
Away side ahead at half-timeSeason6342.9%27.8%+15.1±10.5More than expected
Away side ahead at half-time30 days2236.4%23.7%+12.6±16.9Normal range
Home team scored 2+Season6350.8%56.0%−5.2±11.4Normal range
Home team scored 2+30 days2245.5%63.4%−17.9±18.7Normal range
Away team scored 2+Season6361.9%43.6%+18.3±11.4More than expected
Away team scored 2+30 days2236.4%39.8%−3.4±19.2Normal range

Eredivisie luck check: the last 10 games

How to read it

what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+8.9 = 9 points more than their chances usually bring

Riding their luck4

  • Fortuna Sittard
    Fortuna SittardClinical · +7 goals
    +8.9
  • Excelsior
    ExcelsiorClinical · +9 goals
    +6.0
  • Telstar
    Telstar
    +4.3
  • FC Groningen
    FC GroningenClinical · +3 goals
    +4.1

Unlucky2

  • NEC
    NECWasteful · −5 goals
    −5.7
  • Sparta Rotterdam
    Sparta Rotterdam
    −4.8

Points in line, but wasteful: SC Heerenveen (−4 goals). Clinical: PSV (+9), Go Ahead Eagles (+4), FC Utrecht (+3, 9 games).

In line with their chances: PEC Zwolle, AZ, SC Cambuur, Feyenoord, FC Twente, Willem II, Ajax and ADO Den Haag.

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

How we measure →

Eredivisie Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
AZAZ
71961018:6+12
W
D
W
W
W
2
FeyenoordFeyenoord
71752025:7+18
W
W
W
D
W
3
PSVPSV
71651124:10+14
L
W
W
W
W
4
FC TwenteFC Twente
71651115:7+8
W
W
W
D
W
5
AjaxAjax
71442121:9+12
D
W
W
L
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
Relegation Play-off
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

About Eredivisie

The league profile compares Eredivisie with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games.

These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.

The Eredivisie is the top professional football league in the Netherlands. Known for its attacking style of play and development of young talent, it's considered one of the most exciting leagues in Europe. The Eredivisie has a reputation for producing talented players who often move on to some of the biggest clubs in Europe. Ajax Amsterdam is the most successful club in Eredivisie history, having won the league title numerous times.

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