Shot-shy
6/9Schalke 04 failed to score in 6 of their last 9 (league 21%).
Bundesliga Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Bundesliga match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 15 November 2026.
Bundesliga Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 10 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
52%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
58%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
70%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
49%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
39%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
17%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Bundesliga 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 52%, BTTS 58%, Over/Under 2.5 70%, Over/Under 3.5 49%, correct score 17%.
Bundesliga stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 297 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsGoals galore
Goals a match
3.31
7th of 63
xG a match
3.13
4th of 62
Corners a match
Cards a match
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Bundesliga: the stats that stand out
The Bundesliga teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games6/9Brick wall
6/10Borussia Dortmund kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 21%).
Hard to break
1/10FC Bayern München conceded first in only 1 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 48%).
Banker as favourites
7/7SC Freiburg won 7 of 7 as favourites (league 56%).
Rarely both score
3/9Paderborn: both teams scored in only 3 of their last 9 (league 63%).
Slow starters
2/10FC Köln scored first in only 2 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 48%).
Goal-fests
9/10FC Augsburg games went over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 (league 66%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Bundesliga Germany
Free predictions for today's Bundesliga matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
FC Bayern München–
FC Köln–Winner
1 77%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
FC Bayern München–FC Köln–Winner
1 77%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
177%
X16%
27%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% | 90% | 30% | 70% |
| 68% | 32% | 88% | 12% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 38% | 62% | 46% | 54% |
Correct Score
1-0
12.0%
2-0
11.8%
3-0
9.5%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
Elversberg–
SC Freiburg–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Elversberg–SC Freiburg–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Borussia Mönchengladbach–
Borussia Dortmund–Winner
2 52%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
0-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Borussia Mönchengladbach–Borussia Dortmund–Winner
2 52%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
0-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
FC Union Berlin–
RB Leipzig–Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
FC Union Berlin–RB Leipzig–Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Eintracht Frankfurt–
TSG Hoffenheim–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Eintracht Frankfurt–TSG Hoffenheim–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen–
Paderborn–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen–Paderborn–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Schalke 04–
VfB Stuttgart–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Schalke 04–VfB Stuttgart–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
FC Augsburg–
FSV Mainz 05–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
FC Augsburg–FSV Mainz 05–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Werder Bremen–
Hamburger SV–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Werder Bremen–Hamburger SV–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Werder Bremen–Borussia Mönchengladbach–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Werder Bremen–Borussia Mönchengladbach–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Paderborn–Schalke 04–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Paderborn–Schalke 04–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
FC Köln–Elversberg–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
FC Köln–Elversberg–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Hamburger SV–FC Bayern München–Winner
2 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
0-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 56%
Hamburger SV–FC Bayern München–Winner
2 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
0-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 56%
FSV Mainz 05–FC Union Berlin–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
FSV Mainz 05–FC Union Berlin–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
VfB Stuttgart–Eintracht Frankfurt–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
VfB Stuttgart–Eintracht Frankfurt–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Bundesliga xG: chances created and allowed
Every Bundesliga team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsBundesliga average · 1.66 xG, 1.66 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 18
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Bundesliga Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Bundesliga this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −20◀ fewer than expected · −20 pts odds expected+20 more ▶+20 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
81 matches
50.6%
Season (81) · 50.6% vs 46.1%
Season
+4.6
±10.0
30 days (36) · 50.0% vs 46.4%
30 days
+3.6
±15.1
Draws
81 matches
21.0%
Season (81) · 21.0% vs 21.3%
Season
−0.3
±8.8
30 days (36) · 22.2% vs 21.5%
30 days
+0.8
±13.3
Away wins
81 matches
28.4%
Season (81) · 28.4% vs 32.7%
Season
−4.3
±9.4
30 days (36) · 27.8% vs 32.2%
30 days
−4.4
±14.1
Over 2.5 goals
81 matches
70.4%
Season (81) · 70.4% vs 67.5%
Season
+2.9
±10.1
30 days (36) · 61.1% vs 67.3%
30 days
−6.1
±15.1
Both teams scored
81 matches
60.5%
Season (81) · 60.5% vs 63.7%
Season
−3.2
±10.4
30 days (36) · 61.1% vs 64.5%
30 days
−3.4
±15.5
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
81 matches
50.6%
Season (81) · 50.6% vs 46.7%
Season
+3.9
±10.7
30 days (36) · 38.9% vs 46.4%
30 days
−7.5
±16.0
Home side ahead at half-time
81 matches
40.7%
Season (81) · 40.7% vs 37.0%
Season
+3.7
±10.1
30 days (36) · 25.0% vs 37.2%
30 days
−12.2
±15.2
Level at half-time
81 matches
34.6%
Season (81) · 34.6% vs 35.0%
Season
−0.4
±10.3
30 days (36) · 50.0% vs 35.3%
30 days
+14.7
±15.6
Away side ahead at half-time
81 matches
24.7%
Season (81) · 24.7% vs 28.0%
Season
−3.3
±9.4
30 days (36) · 25.0% vs 27.5%
30 days
−2.5
±14.1
Home team scored 2+
81 matches
63.0%
Season (81) · 63.0% vs 55.3%
Season
+7.6
±10.3
30 days (36) · 52.8% vs 55.8%
30 days
−3.0
±15.4
Away team scored 2+
81 matches
40.7%
Season (81) · 40.7% vs 45.1%
Season
−4.3
±10.3
30 days (36) · 38.9% vs 44.9%
30 days
−6.0
±15.6
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 81 | 50.6% | 46.1% | +4.6 | ±10.0 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 36 | 50.0% | 46.4% | +3.6 | ±15.1 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 81 | 21.0% | 21.3% | −0.3 | ±8.8 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 36 | 22.2% | 21.5% | +0.8 | ±13.3 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 81 | 28.4% | 32.7% | −4.3 | ±9.4 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 36 | 27.8% | 32.2% | −4.4 | ±14.1 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 81 | 70.4% | 67.5% | +2.9 | ±10.1 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 36 | 61.1% | 67.3% | −6.1 | ±15.1 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 81 | 60.5% | 63.7% | −3.2 | ±10.4 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 36 | 61.1% | 64.5% | −3.4 | ±15.5 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 81 | 50.6% | 46.7% | +3.9 | ±10.7 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 36 | 38.9% | 46.4% | −7.5 | ±16.0 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 81 | 40.7% | 37.0% | +3.7 | ±10.1 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 36 | 25.0% | 37.2% | −12.2 | ±15.2 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 81 | 34.6% | 35.0% | −0.4 | ±10.3 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 36 | 50.0% | 35.3% | +14.7 | ±15.6 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 81 | 24.7% | 28.0% | −3.3 | ±9.4 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 36 | 25.0% | 27.5% | −2.5 | ±14.1 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 81 | 63.0% | 55.3% | +7.6 | ±10.3 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 36 | 52.8% | 55.8% | −3.0 | ±15.4 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 81 | 40.7% | 45.1% | −4.3 | ±10.3 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 36 | 38.9% | 44.9% | −6.0 | ±15.6 | Normal range |
Bundesliga luck check: the last 10 games
Bundesliga teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+6.4 = 6 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck4
Elversberg9 of 10 gamesClinical · +6 goals+6.4- Borussia Dortmund+6.0
Hamburger SV+5.5- SC FreiburgClinical · +6 goals+4.2
Unlucky1
TSG HoffenheimWasteful · −4 goals−5.2
Points in line, but wasteful: Schalke 04 (−5 goals, 9 games), Paderborn (−5, 9 games), FC Köln (−4), VfB Stuttgart (−3). Clinical: RB Leipzig (+6).
In line with their chances: Werder Bremen, FC Union Berlin, Eintracht Frankfurt, FSV Mainz 05, Bayer 04 Leverkusen, FC Augsburg, Borussia Mönchengladbach and FC Bayern München.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Bundesliga last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Nov 8–Nov 15 · 1 match · odds: closing, margin removedNo smash-and-grab wins or upsets in this match.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →Bundesliga Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29:9 | +20 | W D W W D |
2  Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | W D W D D |
3  SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | W W L L W |
4  RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27:13 | +14 | W W W L W |
5  Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | W L L W W |
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
The league profile compares Bundesliga with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
About Bundesliga
The Bundesliga is the top professional football league in Germany. It consists of 18 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the 2. Bundesliga. The Bundesliga is one of the most popular and competitive football leagues in the world, known for its high attendance and passionate fan base. FC Bayern Munich is the most successful club in Bundesliga history, having won the league title numerous times.