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1. HNL

HNL Predictions & Stats

The Croatian First Football League, also known as the Prva HNL, is the top professional football league in Croatia. It consists of 10 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the Croatian Second Football League. The Croatian First Football League is known for its competitive matches and talented players. GNK Dinamo Zagreb is the most successful club in Croatian football history, having won numerous league titles.

1. HNL Predictions by Market

Season 2025/2026 · Round 33 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

51%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

44.1% Implied Probability

+15.6% Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

53%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

54.1% Implied Probability

-2% Near implied probability

Low Edge

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.6% Implied Probability

-3% Near implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

69%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

61.3% Implied Probability

+12.6% Strongly above implied probability

Highest Edge

First Half Result

50%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38.2% Implied Probability

+30.9% Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

19%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes 1. HNL matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 3 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for 1. HNL currently hit at 19%.

First Half Result is our strongest 1. HNL betting market this season with 50% prediction accuracy — that's 30.9% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 38.2%. This means our AI model correctly predicts First Half Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in 1. HNL.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions currently sit 3% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 52%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for 1. HNL Over/Under 2.5 Goals bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 3.5 Goals — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven 1. HNL football tips.

Today's Betting Tips for 1. HNL Croatia

Full Time


1	8%
X	15%
2	77%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Gorica	64%	36%	90%	10%
Dinamo Zagreb	10%	90%	31%	69%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	41%	59%	54%	47%

Correct Score

0-2	0-1	0-3	1-2	1-1	1-3
13.6%	11.2%	10.5%	9.1%	7.0%	6.7%

Full Time


1	8%
X	15%
2	77%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	64%	36%	90%	10%
	10%	90%	31%	69%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	41%	59%	54%	47%

Correct Score

0-2	0-1	0-3	1-2	1-1	1-3
13.6%	11.2%	10.5%	9.1%	7.0%	6.7%

Full Time


1	34%
X	27%
2	38%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Vukovar	31%	69%	65%	35%
Osijek	29%	71%	61%	39%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	1-2	0-1	2-1	0-0	0-2
12.2%	9.2%	9.0%	8.6%	7.9%	7.8%	6.5%

Full Time


1	34%
X	27%
2	38%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	31%	69%	65%	35%
	29%	71%	61%	39%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	1-2	0-1	2-1	0-0	0-2
12.2%	9.2%	9.0%	8.6%	7.9%	7.8%	6.5%

Full Time


1	39%
X	27%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lokomotiva Zagreb	30%	70%	65%	35%
Rijeka	34%	66%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0
12.8%	11.3%	9.8%	9.1%	8.6%	7.9%	7.0%

Full Time


1	39%
X	27%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	30%	70%	65%	35%
	34%	66%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0
12.8%	11.3%	9.8%	9.1%	8.6%	7.9%	7.0%

Full Time


1	68%
X	19%
2	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Hajduk Split	14%	86%	41%	59%
Varaždin	53%	47%	85%	15%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	2-1	1-1	3-0	3-1	0-0
13.2%	12.4%	11.1%	9.5%	8.1%	6.5%	6.1%

Full Time


1	68%
X	19%
2	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	14%	86%	41%	59%
	53%	47%	85%	15%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	2-1	1-1	3-0	3-1	0-0
13.2%	12.4%	11.1%	9.5%	8.1%	6.5%	6.1%

Full Time


1	35%
X	28%
2	37%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Istra 1961	31%	69%	65%	35%
Slaven Koprivnica	29%	71%	63%	37%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	1-2	2-1	0-0	0-2
12.5%	9.5%	9.4%	8.6%	8.3%	8.3%	6.1%

Full Time


1	35%
X	28%
2	37%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	31%	69%	65%	35%
	29%	71%	63%	37%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	1-2	2-1	0-0	0-2
12.5%	9.5%	9.4%	8.6%	8.3%	8.3%	6.1%

Full Time


1	41%
X	28%
2	31%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Varaždin	28%	72%	62%	38%
Lokomotiva Zagreb	35%	65%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	54%	46%	66%	34%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-1	1-2	2-0
13.0%	11.1%	9.0%	8.9%	8.7%	7.7%	7.1%

Full Time


1	41%
X	28%
2	31%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	62%	38%
	35%	65%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	54%	46%	66%	34%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-1	1-2	2-0
13.0%	11.1%	9.0%	8.9%	8.7%	7.7%	7.1%

Full Time


1	50%
X	25%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Dinamo Zagreb	19%	81%	48%	52%
Hajduk Split	37%	63%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	42%	58%	55%	45%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-0	2-0	1-2	2-2
10.9%	10.1%	8.9%	7.7%	6.7%	6.1%

Full Time


1	50%
X	25%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	19%	81%	48%	52%
	37%	63%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	42%	58%	55%	45%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-0	2-0	1-2	2-2
10.9%	10.1%	8.9%	7.7%	6.7%	6.1%

Full Time


1	66%
X	21%
2	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Rijeka	14%	86%	42%	58%
Vukovar	53%	47%	84%	16%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	2-1	1-1	3-0	0-0	3-1
12.9%	12.3%	10.6%	9.9%	7.8%	6.5%	6.1%

Full Time


1	66%
X	21%
2	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	14%	86%	42%	58%
	53%	47%	84%	16%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	2-1	1-1	3-0	0-0	3-1
12.9%	12.3%	10.6%	9.9%	7.8%	6.5%	6.1%

Full Time


1	48%
X	26%
2	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Osijek	24%	76%	57%	43%
Istra 1961	40%	60%	75%	25%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	66%	34%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
12.4%	12.2%	9.7%	8.9%	8.6%	8.4%	6.3%

Full Time


1	48%
X	26%
2	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	57%	43%
	40%	60%	75%	25%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	66%	34%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
12.4%	12.2%	9.7%	8.9%	8.6%	8.4%	6.3%

Full Time


1	44%
X	26%
2	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Slaven Koprivnica	24%	76%	57%	43%
Gorica	35%	65%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	1-2	0-1	2-0	0-0
12.1%	10.2%	9.4%	7.7%	7.5%	7.5%	7.0%

Full Time


1	44%
X	26%
2	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	57%	43%
	35%	65%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	1-2	0-1	2-0	0-0
12.1%	10.2%	9.4%	7.7%	7.5%	7.5%	7.0%

Full Time


1	8%
X	15%
2	77%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Gorica	64%	36%	90%	10%
Dinamo Zagreb	10%	90%	31%	69%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	41%	59%	54%	47%

Correct Score

0-2	0-1	0-3	1-2	1-1	1-3
13.6%	11.2%	10.5%	9.1%	7.0%	6.7%

Full Time


1	8%
X	15%
2	77%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	64%	36%	90%	10%
	10%	90%	31%	69%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	41%	59%	54%	47%

Correct Score

0-2	0-1	0-3	1-2	1-1	1-3
13.6%	11.2%	10.5%	9.1%	7.0%	6.7%

Full Time


1	34%
X	27%
2	38%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Vukovar	31%	69%	65%	35%
Osijek	29%	71%	61%	39%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	1-2	0-1	2-1	0-0	0-2
12.2%	9.2%	9.0%	8.6%	7.9%	7.8%	6.5%

Full Time


1	34%
X	27%
2	38%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	31%	69%	65%	35%
	29%	71%	61%	39%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	1-2	0-1	2-1	0-0	0-2
12.2%	9.2%	9.0%	8.6%	7.9%	7.8%	6.5%

Full Time


1	39%
X	27%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lokomotiva Zagreb	30%	70%	65%	35%
Rijeka	34%	66%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0
12.8%	11.3%	9.8%	9.1%	8.6%	7.9%	7.0%

Full Time


1	39%
X	27%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	30%	70%	65%	35%
	34%	66%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	56%	44%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0
12.8%	11.3%	9.8%	9.1%	8.6%	7.9%	7.0%

Full Time


1	68%
X	19%
2	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Hajduk Split	14%	86%	41%	59%
Varaždin	53%	47%	85%	15%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	2-1	1-1	3-0	3-1	0-0
13.2%	12.4%	11.1%	9.5%	8.1%	6.5%	6.1%

Full Time


1	68%
X	19%
2	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	14%	86%	41%	59%
	53%	47%	85%	15%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	2-1	1-1	3-0	3-1	0-0
13.2%	12.4%	11.1%	9.5%	8.1%	6.5%	6.1%

Full Time


1	35%
X	28%
2	37%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Istra 1961	31%	69%	65%	35%
Slaven Koprivnica	29%	71%	63%	37%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	1-2	2-1	0-0	0-2
12.5%	9.5%	9.4%	8.6%	8.3%	8.3%	6.1%

Full Time


1	35%
X	28%
2	37%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	31%	69%	65%	35%
	29%	71%	63%	37%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	64%	36%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	1-2	2-1	0-0	0-2
12.5%	9.5%	9.4%	8.6%	8.3%	8.3%	6.1%

Full Time


1	41%
X	28%
2	31%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Varaždin	28%	72%	62%	38%
Lokomotiva Zagreb	35%	65%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	54%	46%	66%	34%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-1	1-2	2-0
13.0%	11.1%	9.0%	8.9%	8.7%	7.7%	7.1%

Full Time


1	41%
X	28%
2	31%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	62%	38%
	35%	65%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	54%	46%	66%	34%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-1	1-2	2-0
13.0%	11.1%	9.0%	8.9%	8.7%	7.7%	7.1%

Full Time


1	50%
X	25%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Dinamo Zagreb	19%	81%	48%	52%
Hajduk Split	37%	63%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	42%	58%	55%	45%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-0	2-0	1-2	2-2
10.9%	10.1%	8.9%	7.7%	6.7%	6.1%

Full Time


1	50%
X	25%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	19%	81%	48%	52%
	37%	63%	69%	31%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	42%	58%	55%	45%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-0	2-0	1-2	2-2
10.9%	10.1%	8.9%	7.7%	6.7%	6.1%

Full Time


1	66%
X	21%
2	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Rijeka	14%	86%	42%	58%
Vukovar	53%	47%	84%	16%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	2-1	1-1	3-0	0-0	3-1
12.9%	12.3%	10.6%	9.9%	7.8%	6.5%	6.1%

Full Time


1	66%
X	21%
2	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	14%	86%	42%	58%
	53%	47%	84%	16%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	2-1	1-1	3-0	0-0	3-1
12.9%	12.3%	10.6%	9.9%	7.8%	6.5%	6.1%

Full Time


1	48%
X	26%
2	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Osijek	24%	76%	57%	43%
Istra 1961	40%	60%	75%	25%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	66%	34%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
12.4%	12.2%	9.7%	8.9%	8.6%	8.4%	6.3%

Full Time


1	48%
X	26%
2	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	57%	43%
	40%	60%	75%	25%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	66%	34%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
12.4%	12.2%	9.7%	8.9%	8.6%	8.4%	6.3%

Full Time


1	44%
X	26%
2	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Slaven Koprivnica	24%	76%	57%	43%
Gorica	35%	65%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	1-2	0-1	2-0	0-0
12.1%	10.2%	9.4%	7.7%	7.5%	7.5%	7.0%

Full Time


1	44%
X	26%
2	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	57%	43%
	35%	65%	68%	32%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	1-2	0-1	2-0	0-0
12.1%	10.2%	9.4%	7.7%	7.5%	7.5%	7.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

1. HNL Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every 1. HNL betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Dinamo Zagreb leads First Half Result predictions with 59% accuracy (19 correct out of 32 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like First Half Result are especially worth watching for your next 1. HNL bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights 1. HNL teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

1. HNL Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Dinamo Zagreb

72%(23/32)

Hajduk Split

59%(19/32)

Slaven Koprivnica

50%(16/32)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Gorica

4 in a row

Dinamo Zagreb

2 in a row

Istra 1961

2 in a row

1. HNL Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Lokomotiva Zagreb

66%(21/32)

Hajduk Split

59%(19/32)

Slaven Koprivnica

59%(19/32)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Slaven Koprivnica

5 in a row

Vukovar

2 in a row

Lokomotiva Zagreb

0 in a row

1. HNL Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Dinamo Zagreb

59%(19/32)

Hajduk Split

59%(19/32)

Osijek

59%(19/32)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Varaždin

5 in a row

Dinamo Zagreb

1 in a row

Osijek

1 in a row

1. HNL Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Istra 1961

81%(26/32)

Osijek

81%(26/32)

Lokomotiva Zagreb

78%(25/32)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Lokomotiva Zagreb

5 in a row

Varaždin

5 in a row

Gorica

5 in a row

1. HNL First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Dinamo Zagreb

59%(19/32)

Istra 1961

50%(16/32)

Vukovar

50%(16/32)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Vukovar

5 in a row

Slaven Koprivnica

4 in a row

Rijeka

3 in a row

1. HNL Teams in Best Form

Dinamo Zagreb

Lokomotiva Zagreb

Varaždin

HNL Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM	MP	PTS	W	D	L	G	GD	FORM
1 Dinamo Zagreb	32	76	24	4	4	85:26	+59	W W D W W
2 Hajduk Split	32	61	18	7	7	51:29	+22	D L D W W
3 Varaždin	32	47	13	8	11	41:42	-1	L W W W D
4 Rijeka	32	43	11	10	11	41:36	+5	D L D L W
5 Lokomotiva Zagreb	32	41	10	11	11	38:47	-9	D W W W D