Low-scoring
2/10Arsenal games went over 2.5 goals in only 2 of their last 10 (league 66%).
Champions League Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Champions League match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Champions League predictions and UCL betting tips, updated today (16 October 2026). Every match — from the league phase to the final — runs through our AI model: form, both teams’ stats, head-to-head records and player availability become probabilities for 1X2, both teams to score, goals and correct score, and every hit and miss stays on the public record.
Predictions updated on 16 October 2026.
Champions League Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 3 · League Stage
Full-Time Result
60%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
55%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
60%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
57%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
44%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
14%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Champions League 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 60%, BTTS 55%, Over/Under 2.5 60%, Over/Under 3.5 57%, correct score 14%.
Champions League stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 189 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsGoals galoreHome fortress
Goals a match
3.54
1st of 63
xG a match
3.18
2nd of 62
Corners a match
9.55
35th of 62
Cards a match
3.58
55th of 63
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Champions League: the stats that stand out
The Champions League teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games2/10Shot-shy
5/8Slavia Praha failed to score in 5 of their last 8 (league 24%).
Always chasing
7/8Villarreal conceded first in 7 of 8 recent matches with goal times (league 48%).
Fast starters
7/9Paris Saint Germain scored first in 7 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 48%).
Leaky
0/10FC Barcelona kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 24%).
Rarely both score
3/10Liverpool: both teams scored in only 3 of their last 10 (league 57%).
Flop as favourites
3/8Inter won only 3 of 8 as favourites (league 61%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Champions League
Free predictions for today's Champions League matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
Sabah–
Borussia Dortmund–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Sabah–Borussia Dortmund–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
131%
X23%
246%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 34% | 66% | 64% | 36% |
 | 24% | 76% | 52% | 48% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 41% | 59% | 53% | 47% |
Correct Score
1-1
10.0%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
Fenerbahçe–
Slavia Praha–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Fenerbahçe–Slavia Praha–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Paris Saint Germain–
FC Barcelona–Winner
X2 61%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 70%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 57%
Paris Saint Germain–FC Barcelona–Winner
X2 61%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 70%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 57%
Manchester City–
AEK Athens–Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Manchester City–AEK Athens–Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Liverpool–
Villarreal–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Liverpool–Villarreal–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
VfB Stuttgart–
Atlético Madrid–Winner
1X 63%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
VfB Stuttgart–Atlético Madrid–Winner
1X 63%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Napoli–
Bodø / Glimt–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Napoli–Bodø / Glimt–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Porto–
PSV–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Porto–PSV–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Roma–
Slovan Bratislava–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Roma–Slovan Bratislava–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Como–
Manchester United–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Como–Manchester United–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Lille–
Galatasaray–Winner
12 77%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Lille–Galatasaray–Winner
12 77%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
FC Bayern München–
Arsenal–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
FC Bayern München–Arsenal–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Inter–
Shakhtar Donetsk–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Inter–Shakhtar Donetsk–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Club Brugge–
Lens–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Club Brugge–Lens–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Real Madrid–
RB Leipzig–Winner
1 66%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
2-0 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Real Madrid–RB Leipzig–Winner
1 66%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
2-0 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Real Betis–
Feyenoord–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Real Betis–Feyenoord–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Aston Villa–
Viking–Winner
X2 62%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Aston Villa–Viking–Winner
X2 62%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Sporting CP–
LASK Linz–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Sporting CP–LASK Linz–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Champions League xG: chances created and allowed
Every Champions League team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsChampions League average · 1.68 xG, 1.57 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 18
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
18 teams have fewer than 5 Champions League games yet.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Champions League Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Champions League this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −30◀ fewer than expected · −30 pts odds expected+30 more ▶+30 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
126 matches
51.6%
Season (126) · 51.6% vs 48.5%
Season
+3.1
±7.9
30 days (18) · 55.6% vs 39.3%
30 days
+16.3
±20.1
Draws
126 matches
21.4%
Season (126) · 21.4% vs 22.2%
Season
−0.7
±7.2
30 days (18) · 5.6% vs 20.8%
30 days
−15.3
±18.6
Away wins
126 matches
27.0%
Season (126) · 27.0% vs 29.4%
Season
−2.4
±7.3
30 days (18) · 38.9% vs 39.9%
30 days
−1.0
±20.0
Over 2.5 goals
126 matches
57.1%
Season (126) · 57.1% vs 57.9%
Season
−0.8
±8.4
30 days (18) · 72.2% vs 65.9%
30 days
+6.3
±21.5
Both teams scored
126 matches
54.8%
Season (126) · 54.8% vs 53.5%
Season
+1.2
±8.6
30 days (18) · 55.6% vs 61.2%
30 days
−5.6
±22.3
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
126 matches
38.9%
Season (126) · 38.9% vs 36.8%
Season
+2.1
±8.2
30 days (18) · 61.1% vs 45.0%
30 days
+16.1
±22.4
Home side ahead at half-time
126 matches
32.5%
Season (126) · 32.5% vs 37.9%
Season
−5.4
±8.0
30 days (18) · 22.2% vs 32.1%
30 days
−9.9
±20.4
Level at half-time
126 matches
48.4%
Season (126) · 48.4% vs 37.7%More than expected
Season
+10.7
±8.4More than expected
30 days (18) · 55.6% vs 35.0%
30 days
+20.6
±21.9
Away side ahead at half-time
126 matches
19.0%
Season (126) · 19.0% vs 24.4%
Season
−5.3
±7.1
30 days (18) · 22.2% vs 32.9%
30 days
−10.7
±20.3
Home team scored 2+
126 matches
55.6%
Season (126) · 55.6% vs 50.5%
Season
+5.1
±8.1
30 days (18) · 72.2% vs 48.2%More than expected
30 days
+24.0
±21.7More than expected
Away team scored 2+
126 matches
34.9%
Season (126) · 34.9% vs 34.9%
Season
+0.1
±7.8
30 days (18) · 55.6% vs 49.1%
30 days
+6.5
±21.1
Outside the normal range this season: Level at half-time 48.4% vs 37.7% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 80).
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 126 | 51.6% | 48.5% | +3.1 | ±7.9 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 18 | 55.6% | 39.3% | +16.3 | ±20.1 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 126 | 21.4% | 22.2% | −0.7 | ±7.2 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 18 | 5.6% | 20.8% | −15.3 | ±18.6 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 126 | 27.0% | 29.4% | −2.4 | ±7.3 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 18 | 38.9% | 39.9% | −1.0 | ±20.0 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 126 | 57.1% | 57.9% | −0.8 | ±8.4 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 18 | 72.2% | 65.9% | +6.3 | ±21.5 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 126 | 54.8% | 53.5% | +1.2 | ±8.6 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 18 | 55.6% | 61.2% | −5.6 | ±22.3 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 126 | 38.9% | 36.8% | +2.1 | ±8.2 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 18 | 61.1% | 45.0% | +16.1 | ±22.4 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 126 | 32.5% | 37.9% | −5.4 | ±8.0 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 18 | 22.2% | 32.1% | −9.9 | ±20.4 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 126 | 48.4% | 37.7% | +10.7 | ±8.4 | More than expected |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 18 | 55.6% | 35.0% | +20.6 | ±21.9 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 126 | 19.0% | 24.4% | −5.3 | ±7.1 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 18 | 22.2% | 32.9% | −10.7 | ±20.3 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 126 | 55.6% | 50.5% | +5.1 | ±8.1 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 18 | 72.2% | 48.2% | +24.0 | ±21.7 | More than expected |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 126 | 34.9% | 34.9% | +0.1 | ±7.8 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 18 | 55.6% | 49.1% | +6.5 | ±21.1 | Normal range |
Champions League last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 9–Oct 16 · 18 matches · odds: closing, margin removed- Sabah2-0Slavia Praha
Smash-and-grabSabah beat Slavia Praha 2-0 despite fewer chances (xG 1.3 vs 2.3).
Manchester City2-4Paris Saint GermainSmash-and-grabParis Saint Germain beat Manchester City 4-2 despite fewer chances (xG 2.1 vs 3.1).
- Inter3-4
Club BruggeUpsetBookmakers gave Club Brugge 6.8% to win at kick-off.
Viking3-3
FC Bayern MünchenUpsetBookmakers gave the draw 8.3% at kick-off.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →Champions League Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | +7 | W W |
2  FC Barcelona | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | +7 | W W |
3  Aston Villa | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | +7 | W W |
4  VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | +5 | W W |
5  Liverpool | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | W W |
8th Finals
Play-off
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
The league profile compares Champions League with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
How we calculate these predictions
These predictions aren’t anyone’s opinion — they’re AI predictions: probabilities from machine-learning models trained on years of historical football data. For every match on this page they weigh team form, both teams’ stats, head-to-head records and player availability, and work out a probability for each market: match result (1X2), both teams to score, over/under goals and correct score. When our probability is higher than the one implied by the bookmaker’s odds, the pick carries a value label. Unlike tipster sites, the whole record is public: check it in our league accuracy and prediction results.
How to use these predictions for betting
Every pick shows the model’s probability and the odds — compare them with your bookmaker before you bet, because there is only value when the odds pay more than the probability justifies. Singles are the easiest way to track results; an accumulator multiplies the odds but also the risk — one losing leg and the whole slip is gone. The basic rule: bet only when the odds carry value, with a fixed stake per round, and never chase losses. Ready-made picks for the whole day are in our football tips for today, and the single strongest pick is our bet of the day. Gamble responsibly — 18+ only.
Champions League betting tips: what’s worth knowing
Our Champions League betting tips come from the same engine as every market on the site — 1X2 tips, BTTS tips, over 2.5 goals tips and correct score predictions. Champions League odds are among the sharpest in Europe, so a pick only goes out when the model’s probability clears that market’s public bar, at odds locked when we publish. How those picks have done in this competition is in our league accuracy table.
Live model numbers for Champions League over the last 100 matches: 60% correct on the match result (1X2), 55% on both teams to score and 60% on over/under 2.5 goals. Every pick stays on the public record with its odds and result.
Frequently asked questions
What are the best Champions League predictions today?
On matchweeks every fixture of the current round is listed above, each with the model’s probability and the odds. The strongest picks of the day — from the Champions League and every other competition — are always in our football tips for today.
Do you predict the correct score for Champions League matches?
Yes. Each Champions League match includes correct score probabilities alongside the match result (1X2), both teams to score and over/under goals, and the strongest correct score picks across all competitions are on our correct score predictions page.
How accurate are your UCL predictions?
Measurable, not advertised: every pick is published at locked odds and settled in public, and the Champions League accuracy by market is in our league accuracy table.
About Champions League
The UEFA Champions League is an annual club football competition organized by UEFA and contested by top-division European clubs. It is one of the most prestigious tournaments globally. The Champions League anthem, composed by Tony Britten, is iconic. Real Madrid holds the record with 15 titles. The Champions League final is one of the most-watched annual sporting events worldwide.