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Ligue 1 Predictions & Stats

Ligue 1 is the top professional football league in France. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with Ligue 2. Ligue 1 is known for its technical quality and emphasis on youth development. Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) is the dominant force in French football, having won numerous league titles in recent years.

Ligue 1 Predictions by Market

Season 2025/2026 · Round 33 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

45%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

43.4% Implied Probability

+3.7% Above implied probability

Low Edge

Both Teams To Score

49%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

54.1% Implied Probability

-9.4% Near implied probability

Highest Edge

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.7% Implied Probability

+13.6% Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

65%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

61.1% Implied Probability

+6.4% Above implied probability

First Half Result

40%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38% Implied Probability

+5.3% Above implied probability

Correct Score

11%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes Ligue 1 matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Ligue 1 currently hit at 11%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals is our strongest Ligue 1 betting market this season with 61% prediction accuracy — that's 13.6% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 53.7%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Over/Under 2.5 Goals outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Ligue 1.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions currently sit 9.4% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 49%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Ligue 1 Both Teams To Score bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Ligue 1 football tips.

Full Time
174%
X17%
29%
Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693035817/mygameodds/teams/fpqdddc6tduedpqacd8a.png logo10%90%33%67%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693035815/mygameodds/teams/qf296waq4pzyut9jxhuw.png logo60%40%87%13%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT41%59%51%49%
Correct Score
2-01-03-02-11-13-1
12.3%11.1%8.9%8.8%7.8%6.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Ligue 1 Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Ligue 1 betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Strasbourg leads Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions with 74% accuracy (23 correct out of 31 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Over/Under 2.5 Goals are especially worth watching for your next Ligue 1 bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Ligue 1 teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Ligue 1 Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
71%(22/31)
2LensLens
68%(21/31)
3MetzMetz
66%(21/32)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
ParisParis
3 in a row
Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais
2 in a row
RennesRennes
2 in a row

Ligue 1 Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1LorientLorient
69%(22/32)
2Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
65%(20/31)
3NiceNice
63%(20/32)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
5 in a row
LensLens
3 in a row
ToulouseToulouse
3 in a row

Ligue 1 Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1StrasbourgStrasbourg
74%(23/31)
2LensLens
68%(21/31)
3MonacoMonaco
66%(21/32)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
ToulouseToulouse
5 in a row
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
5 in a row
RennesRennes
5 in a row

Ligue 1 Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Angers SCOAngers SCO
81%(26/32)
2Le HavreLe Havre
81%(26/32)
3NantesNantes
78%(25/32)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
NantesNantes
5 in a row
NiceNice
4 in a row
Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
3 in a row

Ligue 1 First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1MetzMetz
63%(20/32)
2Le HavreLe Havre
56%(18/32)
3Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
55%(17/31)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
MetzMetz
5 in a row
Angers SCOAngers SCO
0 in a row
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
0 in a row

Ligue 1 Teams in Best Form

Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais
W
W
W
W
D
RennesRennes
L
W
W
W
W
LilleLille
D
W
D
W
W

Ligue 1 Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
3170224570:27+43
D
W
W
L
W
2
LensLens
3164204761:33+28
D
D
W
L
W
3
Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais
3260186852:34+18
W
W
W
W
D
4
LilleLille
3258177851:35+16
D
W
D
W
W
5
RennesRennes
3256168856:46+10
L
W
W
W
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

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