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Ligue 1 Predictions & Stats

Ligue 1 is the top professional football league in France. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with Ligue 2. Ligue 1 is known for its technical quality and emphasis on youth development. Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) is the dominant force in French football, having won numerous league titles in recent years.

Ligue 1 Predictions by Market

Season 2025/2026 · Round 28 · Regular Season

Highest Edge

Full-Time Result

53%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

43.9% Implied Probability

+20.6% Strongly above implied probability

Low Edge

Both Teams To Score

48%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.9% Implied Probability

-10.9% Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.7% Implied Probability

+2.4% Above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

69%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

62.4% Implied Probability

+10.6% Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

43%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38.7% Implied Probability

+11% Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

10%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes Ligue 1 matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Ligue 1 currently hit at 10%.

Full-Time Result is our strongest Ligue 1 betting market this season with 53% prediction accuracy — that's 20.6% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 43.9%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Full-Time Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Ligue 1.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions currently sit 10.9% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 48%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Ligue 1 Both Teams To Score bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Ligue 1 football tips.

Today's Betting Tips for Ligue 1

Full Time


1	60%
X	22%
2	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Paris Saint Germain	15%	85%	42%	58%
Toulouse	46%	54%	77%	23%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	43%	57%	55%	45%

Correct Score

1-0	2-1	1-1	2-0	3-1	3-0
10.4%	10.1%	10.0%	9.8%	6.4%	6.3%

Full Time


1	60%
X	22%
2	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	85%	42%	58%
	46%	54%	77%	23%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	43%	57%	55%	45%

Correct Score

1-0	2-1	1-1	2-0	3-1	3-0
10.4%	10.1%	10.0%	9.8%	6.4%	6.3%

Full Time


1	55%
X	24%
2	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Strasbourg	20%	80%	51%	49%
Nice	44%	56%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1
12.6%	11.5%	10.1%	10.0%	7.4%	6.6%

Full Time


1	55%
X	24%
2	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	51%	49%
	44%	56%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1
12.6%	11.5%	10.1%	10.0%	7.4%	6.6%

Full Time


1	41%
X	25%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Brest	25%	75%	55%	45%
Rennes	30%	70%	61%	39%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	41%	59%	53%	47%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	1-0	0-1	2-2
11.1%	8.8%	7.9%	7.5%	6.8%	6.4%

Full Time


1	41%
X	25%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	55%	45%
	30%	70%	61%	39%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	41%	59%	53%	47%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	1-0	0-1	2-2
11.1%	8.8%	7.9%	7.5%	6.8%	6.4%

Full Time


1	37%
X	25%
2	38%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lille	29%	71%	61%	39%
Lens	27%	73%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	0-1	2-1	1-0	2-2
11.6%	8.5%	8.3%	8.2%	7.9%	6.0%

Full Time


1	37%
X	25%
2	38%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	61%	39%
	27%	73%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	0-1	2-1	1-0	2-2
11.6%	8.5%	8.3%	8.2%	7.9%	6.0%

Full Time


1	26%
X	25%
2	49%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Angers SCO	38%	62%	71%	29%
Olympique Lyonnais	22%	78%	53%	47%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	0-2	1-0	0-0	2-1
11.6%	10.9%	9.6%	8.3%	7.1%	6.8%	6.4%

Full Time


1	26%
X	25%
2	49%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	38%	62%	71%	29%
	22%	78%	53%	47%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	0-2	1-0	0-0	2-1
11.6%	10.9%	9.6%	8.3%	7.1%	6.8%	6.4%

Full Time


1	40%
X	26%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Metz	28%	72%	60%	40%
Nantes	32%	68%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
11.9%	9.3%	8.6%	8.6%	7.8%	7.0%	6.5%

Full Time


1	40%
X	26%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	60%	40%
	32%	68%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
11.9%	9.3%	8.6%	8.6%	7.8%	7.0%	6.5%

Full Time


1	41%
X	27%
2	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Le Havre	29%	71%	63%	37%
Auxerre	35%	65%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	66%	34%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0
12.8%	11.3%	9.7%	8.8%	8.5%	7.3%	7.3%

Full Time


1	41%
X	27%
2	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	63%	37%
	35%	65%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	66%	34%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0
12.8%	11.3%	9.7%	8.8%	8.5%	7.3%	7.3%

Full Time


1	47%
X	28%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lorient	26%	74%	60%	40%
Paris	42%	58%	76%	24%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	57%	43%	68%	32%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	1-2
13.2%	12.6%	10.0%	9.1%	8.7%	8.6%	6.1%

Full Time


1	47%
X	28%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	60%	40%
	42%	58%	76%	24%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	57%	43%	68%	32%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	1-2
13.2%	12.6%	10.0%	9.1%	8.7%	8.6%	6.1%

Full Time


1	42%
X	23%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Monaco	24%	76%	52%	48%
Olympique Marseille	29%	71%	58%	42%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	36%	64%	48%	52%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	2-2	1-0
9.8%	8.5%	7.8%	6.7%	6.3%

Full Time


1	42%
X	23%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	52%	48%
	29%	71%	58%	42%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	36%	64%	48%	52%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	2-2	1-0
9.8%	8.5%	7.8%	6.7%	6.3%

Full Time


1	60%
X	22%
2	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Paris Saint Germain	15%	85%	42%	58%
Toulouse	46%	54%	77%	23%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	43%	57%	55%	45%

Correct Score

1-0	2-1	1-1	2-0	3-1	3-0
10.4%	10.1%	10.0%	9.8%	6.4%	6.3%

Full Time


1	60%
X	22%
2	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	85%	42%	58%
	46%	54%	77%	23%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	43%	57%	55%	45%

Correct Score

1-0	2-1	1-1	2-0	3-1	3-0
10.4%	10.1%	10.0%	9.8%	6.4%	6.3%

Full Time


1	55%
X	24%
2	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Strasbourg	20%	80%	51%	49%
Nice	44%	56%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1
12.6%	11.5%	10.1%	10.0%	7.4%	6.6%

Full Time


1	55%
X	24%
2	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	51%	49%
	44%	56%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	51%	49%	63%	37%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1
12.6%	11.5%	10.1%	10.0%	7.4%	6.6%

Full Time


1	41%
X	25%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Brest	25%	75%	55%	45%
Rennes	30%	70%	61%	39%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	41%	59%	53%	47%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	1-0	0-1	2-2
11.1%	8.8%	7.9%	7.5%	6.8%	6.4%

Full Time


1	41%
X	25%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	55%	45%
	30%	70%	61%	39%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	41%	59%	53%	47%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	1-0	0-1	2-2
11.1%	8.8%	7.9%	7.5%	6.8%	6.4%

Full Time


1	37%
X	25%
2	38%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lille	29%	71%	61%	39%
Lens	27%	73%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	0-1	2-1	1-0	2-2
11.6%	8.5%	8.3%	8.2%	7.9%	6.0%

Full Time


1	37%
X	25%
2	38%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	61%	39%
	27%	73%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	0-1	2-1	1-0	2-2
11.6%	8.5%	8.3%	8.2%	7.9%	6.0%

Full Time


1	26%
X	25%
2	49%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Angers SCO	38%	62%	71%	29%
Olympique Lyonnais	22%	78%	53%	47%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	0-2	1-0	0-0	2-1
11.6%	10.9%	9.6%	8.3%	7.1%	6.8%	6.4%

Full Time


1	26%
X	25%
2	49%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	38%	62%	71%	29%
	22%	78%	53%	47%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	60%	40%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	0-2	1-0	0-0	2-1
11.6%	10.9%	9.6%	8.3%	7.1%	6.8%	6.4%

Full Time


1	40%
X	26%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Metz	28%	72%	60%	40%
Nantes	32%	68%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
11.9%	9.3%	8.6%	8.6%	7.8%	7.0%	6.5%

Full Time


1	40%
X	26%
2	34%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	60%	40%
	32%	68%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	2-1	1-2	0-0	2-0
11.9%	9.3%	8.6%	8.6%	7.8%	7.0%	6.5%

Full Time


1	41%
X	27%
2	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Le Havre	29%	71%	63%	37%
Auxerre	35%	65%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	66%	34%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0
12.8%	11.3%	9.7%	8.8%	8.5%	7.3%	7.3%

Full Time


1	41%
X	27%
2	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	63%	37%
	35%	65%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	66%	34%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0
12.8%	11.3%	9.7%	8.8%	8.5%	7.3%	7.3%

Full Time


1	47%
X	28%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Lorient	26%	74%	60%	40%
Paris	42%	58%	76%	24%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	57%	43%	68%	32%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	1-2
13.2%	12.6%	10.0%	9.1%	8.7%	8.6%	6.1%

Full Time


1	47%
X	28%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	60%	40%
	42%	58%	76%	24%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	57%	43%	68%	32%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	1-2
13.2%	12.6%	10.0%	9.1%	8.7%	8.6%	6.1%

Full Time


1	42%
X	23%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Monaco	24%	76%	52%	48%
Olympique Marseille	29%	71%	58%	42%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	36%	64%	48%	52%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	2-2	1-0
9.8%	8.5%	7.8%	6.7%	6.3%

Full Time


1	42%
X	23%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	52%	48%
	29%	71%	58%	42%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	36%	64%	48%	52%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-2	2-2	1-0
9.8%	8.5%	7.8%	6.7%	6.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Ligue 1 Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Ligue 1 betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Lens leads Full-Time Result predictions with 74% accuracy (20 correct out of 27 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Full-Time Result are especially worth watching for your next Ligue 1 bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Ligue 1 teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Ligue 1 Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Lens

74%(20/27)

Paris Saint Germain

73%(19/26)

Nantes

69%(18/26)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Brest

4 in a row

Toulouse

4 in a row

Nantes

1 in a row

Ligue 1 Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Lorient

74%(20/27)

Lens

59%(16/27)

Nice

59%(16/27)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Lorient

3 in a row

Lens

2 in a row

Lille

3 in a row

Ligue 1 Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Strasbourg

70%(19/27)

Lens

67%(18/27)

Metz

67%(18/27)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Lens

3 in a row

Nantes

2 in a row

Paris Saint Germain

2 in a row

Ligue 1 Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Angers SCO

82%(22/27)

Le Havre

82%(22/27)

Lille

78%(21/27)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Brest

5 in a row

Lille

5 in a row

Olympique Marseille

3 in a row

Ligue 1 First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Le Havre

56%(15/27)

Metz

56%(15/27)

Paris Saint Germain

54%(14/26)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Angers SCO

4 in a row

Monaco

2 in a row

Paris Saint Germain

1 in a row

Ligue 1 Teams in Best Form

Monaco

Lille

Rennes

Ligue 1 Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM	MP	PTS	W	D	L	G	GD	FORM
1 Paris Saint Germain	26	60	19	3	4	58:22	+36	W L W W L
2 Lens	27	59	19	2	6	54:24	+30	W L W D L
3 Olympique Marseille	27	49	15	4	8	54:35	+19	L W W W L
4 Olympique Lyonnais	27	47	14	5	8	41:29	+12	L D D L L
5 Lille	27	47	14	5	8	42:34	+8	W W D W W