Ligue 1 Predictions & Stats

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Ligue 1 match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.

Predictions updated on 2 November 2026.

Ligue 1 Predictions by Market

Season 2022/2023 · Round 38 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

54%

Both Teams To Score

56%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

67%

First Half Result

42%

Correct Score

11%

Ligue 1 2022/2023 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 54%, BTTS 56%, Over/Under 2.5 50%, Over/Under 3.5 67%, correct score 11%.

Ligue 1 stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues

How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.

How to read it

last 12 months · 292 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitions

Goals a match

2.84

22nd of 63

xG a match

2.85

28th of 62

Corners a match

Pro

Cards a match

Pro

Compare all 63 competitions →

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.

Ligue 1: the stats that stand out

The Ligue 1 teams most unusual in their last 10 games.

How to read it

the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games
Goals at both ends
Brest9/10

Brest: both teams scored in 9 of their last 10 (league 53%).

Brick wall
Lorient6/10

Lorient kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 28%).

Goal-fests
Rennes9/10

Rennes games went over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 (league 55%).

Always on the scoresheet
Paris Saint Germain0/10

Paris Saint Germain scored in all of their last 10 (league 28% fail to score).

Banker as favourites
Olympique Marseille6/7

Olympique Marseille won 6 of 7 as favourites (league 55%).

Hard to break
Paris2/10

Paris conceded first in only 2 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).

Fast starters
Lille7/10

Lille scored first in 7 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).

How we measure →

Today's Betting Tips for Ligue 1

Free predictions for today's Ligue 1 matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.

· FT
AuxerreAuxerre1
LensLens3

Winner

2 56%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

0-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

119%
X25%
256%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Auxerre48%52%81%19%
Lens21%79%53%47%

Goals Over/Under

<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT56%44%67%33%

Correct Score

0-1

14.1%

1-1

11.5%

0-2

11.0%

1-2

9.2%

0-0

8.9%

1-0

7.2%

0-3

6.3%

· FT
AjaccioAjaccio1
Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille0

Winner

2 67%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

0-2 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

· FT
LorientLorient2
StrasbourgStrasbourg1

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT
MonacoMonaco1
ToulouseToulouse2

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

· FT
NiceNice3
Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais1

Winner

12 75%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT
NantesNantes1
Angers SCOAngers SCO0

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

· FT
BrestBrest1
RennesRennes2

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

· FT
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain2
ClermontClermont3

Winner

1 73%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

2-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

· FT
TroyesTroyes1
LilleLille1

Winner

2 66%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

0-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT
ReimsReims1
MontpellierMontpellier3

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

· FT
NiceNice5
RennesRennes2

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

· FT
Le HavreLe Havre1
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain5

Winner

2 66%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT
LilleLille1
LensLens0

Winner

X2 65%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

· FT
TroyesTroyes2
Le MansLe Mans0

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

· FT
StrasbourgStrasbourg5
AuxerreAuxerre1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

· FT
Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais2
Angers SCOAngers SCO0

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

· FT
ParisParis3
MonacoMonaco1

Winner

12 75%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

· FT
Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille2
ToulouseToulouse0

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

LorientLorient–
BrestBrest–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

ToulouseToulouse–
StrasbourgStrasbourg–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

AuxerreAuxerre–
ParisParis–

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain–
TroyesTroyes–

Winner

1 73%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

RennesRennes–
LilleLille–

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Le HavreLe Havre–
LorientLorient–

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

BrestBrest–
Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais–

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Le MansLe Mans–
MonacoMonaco–

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Angers SCOAngers SCO–
NiceNice–

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

LensLens–
Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille–

Winner

1X 64%

BTTS*

Yes 66%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Ligue 1 xG: chances created and allowed

Every Ligue 1 team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

each logo is a team · tap one for detailsLigue 1 average · 1.55 xG, 1.54 xGAlast 10 games each
Tap a logo to see the team's numbers

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

Teams by box· 18
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Ligue 1 Results vs the Odds

Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days

How often each result has happened in Ligue 1 this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.

How to read it

what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
◀ fewer −20 odds expected+20 more ▶

Home wins

48.8%

Season (80) · 48.8% vs 42.5%Normal range
30 days (35) · 60.0% vs 44.5%More than expected

Draws

23.8%

Season (80) · 23.8% vs 24.1%Normal range
30 days (35) · 17.1% vs 23.7%Normal range

Away wins

27.5%

Season (80) · 27.5% vs 33.3%Normal range
30 days (35) · 22.9% vs 31.8%Normal range

Over 2.5 goals

60.0%

Season (80) · 60.0% vs 57.7%Normal range
30 days (35) · 60.0% vs 59.2%Normal range

Both teams scored

61.3%

Season (80) · 61.3% vs 57.5%Normal range
30 days (35) · 62.9% vs 58.3%Normal range
Show more markets (6)

Over 3.5 goals

36.3%

Season (80) · 36.3% vs 36.0%Normal range
30 days (35) · 40.0% vs 37.4%Normal range

Home side ahead at half-time

42.5%

Season (80) · 42.5% vs 33.6%Normal range
30 days (35) · 48.6% vs 35.3%Normal range

Level at half-time

36.3%

Season (80) · 36.3% vs 38.9%Normal range
30 days (35) · 31.4% vs 38.3%Normal range

Away side ahead at half-time

21.3%

Season (80) · 21.3% vs 27.4%Normal range
30 days (35) · 20.0% vs 26.4%Normal range

Home team scored 2+

53.8%

Season (80) · 53.8% vs 46.8%Normal range
30 days (35) · 54.3% vs 49.3%Normal range

Away team scored 2+

38.8%

Season (80) · 38.8% vs 39.7%Normal range
30 days (35) · 34.3% vs 39.0%Normal range

Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.

Show as a table
Ligue 1, season 2026/2027: results vs the closing odds
ResultPeriodMatchesHappenedOdds expectedGap (pts)Normal range (± pts)Verdict
Home winsSeason8048.8%42.5%+6.2±10.2Normal range
Home wins30 days3560.0%44.5%+15.5±15.5More than expected
DrawsSeason8023.8%24.1%−0.4±9.3Normal range
Draws30 days3517.1%23.7%−6.6±14.0Normal range
Away winsSeason8027.5%33.3%−5.8±9.7Normal range
Away wins30 days3522.9%31.8%−8.9±14.5Normal range
Over 2.5 goalsSeason8060.0%57.7%+2.3±10.7Normal range
Over 2.5 goals30 days3560.0%59.2%+0.8±16.1Normal range
Both teams scoredSeason8061.3%57.5%+3.8±10.8Normal range
Both teams scored30 days3562.9%58.3%+4.6±16.3Normal range
Over 3.5 goalsSeason8036.3%36.0%+0.3±10.4Normal range
Over 3.5 goals30 days3540.0%37.4%+2.6±15.9Normal range
Home side ahead at half-timeSeason8042.5%33.6%+8.9±10.0Normal range
Home side ahead at half-time30 days3548.6%35.3%+13.3±15.3Normal range
Level at half-timeSeason8036.3%38.9%−2.7±10.7Normal range
Level at half-time30 days3531.4%38.3%−6.9±16.1Normal range
Away side ahead at half-timeSeason8021.3%27.4%−6.2±9.5Normal range
Away side ahead at half-time30 days3520.0%26.4%−6.4±14.2Normal range
Home team scored 2+Season8053.8%46.8%+7.0±10.5Normal range
Home team scored 2+30 days3554.3%49.3%+5.0±15.9Normal range
Away team scored 2+Season8038.8%39.7%−0.9±10.3Normal range
Away team scored 2+30 days3534.3%39.0%−4.7±15.6Normal range

Ligue 1 luck check: the last 10 games

Ligue 1 teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+4.8 = 5 points more than their chances usually bring

Riding their luck1

  • Olympique Marseille
    Olympique MarseilleClinical · +5 goals
    +4.8

Unlucky2

  • Brest
    BrestWasteful · −4 goals
    −8.3
  • Le Havre
    Le HavreWasteful · −4 goals
    −7.6

Points in line, but wasteful: Troyes (−4 goals, 9 games), Paris Saint Germain (−3). Clinical: Strasbourg (+7), Auxerre (+3).

In line with their chances: Lille, Paris, Lorient, Olympique Lyonnais, Nice, Monaco, Rennes, Angers SCO, Lens, Le Mans and Toulouse.

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

How we measure →

Ligue 1 last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets

Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.

How to read it

Oct 26–Nov 2 · 9 matches · odds: closing, margin removed

No smash-and-grab wins or upsets in these 9 matches.

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.

How we measure →

Ligue 1 Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
92062121:10+11
W
W
W
W
W
2
LilleLille
91853112:6+6
W
D
D
W
L
3
Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais
91752215:7+8
W
L
W
L
W
4
ParisParis
91752216:10+6
W
L
W
L
W
5
RennesRennes
91651320:19+1
L
W
L
W
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

The league profile compares Ligue 1 with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.

These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.

About Ligue 1

Ligue 1 is the top professional football league in France. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with Ligue 2. Ligue 1 is known for its technical quality and emphasis on youth development. Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) is the dominant force in French football, having won numerous league titles in recent years.

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