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Liga MX Predictions & Stats

Liga MX is the top professional football league in Mexico. It consists of 18 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation. Liga MX is known for its passionate fan base and intense matches. Club América and Chivas de Guadalajara are the most successful clubs in Liga MX history.

Liga MX Predictions by Market

Season 2025/2026 · Clausura - Quarter-finals

Full-Time Result

46%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

43.3% Implied Probability

+6.2% Above implied probability

Low Edge

Both Teams To Score

56%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

54.1% Implied Probability

+3.5% Above implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

60%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.7% Implied Probability

+11.7% Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

69%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

61.1% Implied Probability

+12.9% Strongly above implied probability

Highest Edge

First Half Result

44%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38% Implied Probability

+15.8% Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

14%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes Liga MX matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 5 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Liga MX currently hit at 14%.

First Half Result is our strongest Liga MX betting market this season with 44% prediction accuracy — that's 15.8% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 38%. This means our AI model correctly predicts First Half Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Liga MX.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Liga MX football tips.

Today's Betting Tips for Liga MX Mexico

Full Time


1	50%
X	25%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Guadalajara	21%	79%	53%	47%
Tigres UANL	39%	61%	73%	27%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
11.8%	10.7%	10.0%	8.6%	7.0%	6.8%	6.3%

Full Time


1	50%
X	25%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	53%	47%
	39%	61%	73%	27%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
11.8%	10.7%	10.0%	8.6%	7.0%	6.8%	6.3%

Full Time


1	67%
X	20%
2	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Cruz Azul	13%	87%	40%	61%
Atlas	54%	46%	84%	16%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	2-1	1-1	3-0	3-1	0-0
12.5%	12.0%	9.9%	9.4%	7.9%	6.5%	6.2%

Full Time


1	67%
X	20%
2	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	13%	87%	40%	61%
	54%	46%	84%	16%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	2-1	1-1	3-0	3-1	0-0
12.5%	12.0%	9.9%	9.4%	7.9%	6.5%	6.2%

Full Time


1	35%
X	25%
2	40%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Pachuca	30%	70%	63%	37%
Toluca	26%	74%	58%	42%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	58%	42%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	2-1	0-1	1-0
11.6%	9.4%	8.4%	8.4%	7.9%

Full Time


1	35%
X	25%
2	40%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	30%	70%	63%	37%
	26%	74%	58%	42%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	58%	42%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	2-1	0-1	1-0
11.6%	9.4%	8.4%	8.4%	7.9%

Full Time


1	34%
X	26%
2	40%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Pumas UNAM	31%	69%	65%	35%
América	27%	73%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-2
12.7%	9.3%	8.9%	8.6%	7.9%	6.8%	6.7%

Full Time


1	34%
X	26%
2	40%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	31%	69%	65%	35%
	27%	73%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-2
12.7%	9.3%	8.9%	8.6%	7.9%	6.8%	6.7%

Full Time


1	50%
X	25%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Guadalajara	21%	79%	53%	47%
Tigres UANL	39%	61%	73%	27%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
11.8%	10.7%	10.0%	8.6%	7.0%	6.8%	6.3%

Full Time


1	50%
X	25%
2	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	53%	47%
	39%	61%	73%	27%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1	1-2
11.8%	10.7%	10.0%	8.6%	7.0%	6.8%	6.3%

Full Time


1	67%
X	20%
2	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Cruz Azul	13%	87%	40%	61%
Atlas	54%	46%	84%	16%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	2-1	1-1	3-0	3-1	0-0
12.5%	12.0%	9.9%	9.4%	7.9%	6.5%	6.2%

Full Time


1	67%
X	20%
2	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	13%	87%	40%	61%
	54%	46%	84%	16%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	46%	54%	57%	43%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	2-1	1-1	3-0	3-1	0-0
12.5%	12.0%	9.9%	9.4%	7.9%	6.5%	6.2%

Full Time


1	35%
X	25%
2	40%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Pachuca	30%	70%	63%	37%
Toluca	26%	74%	58%	42%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	58%	42%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	2-1	0-1	1-0
11.6%	9.4%	8.4%	8.4%	7.9%

Full Time


1	35%
X	25%
2	40%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	30%	70%	63%	37%
	26%	74%	58%	42%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	45%	55%	58%	42%

Correct Score

1-1	1-2	2-1	0-1	1-0
11.6%	9.4%	8.4%	8.4%	7.9%

Full Time


1	34%
X	26%
2	40%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Pumas UNAM	31%	69%	65%	35%
América	27%	73%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-2
12.7%	9.3%	8.9%	8.6%	7.9%	6.8%	6.7%

Full Time


1	34%
X	26%
2	40%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	31%	69%	65%	35%
	27%	73%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	50%	50%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-2	1-0	2-1	0-0	0-2
12.7%	9.3%	8.9%	8.6%	7.9%	6.8%	6.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Liga MX Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Liga MX betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Tigres UANL leads First Half Result predictions with 61% accuracy (25 correct out of 41 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like First Half Result are especially worth watching for your next Liga MX bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Liga MX teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Liga MX Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Guadalajara

65%(24/37)

Monterrey

63%(24/38)

Atlético San Luis

62%(21/34)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

León

3 in a row

Juárez

3 in a row

Atlético San Luis

3 in a row

Liga MX Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Tigres UANL

66%(27/41)

Atlético San Luis

65%(22/34)

Pumas UNAM

64%(23/36)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Juárez

5 in a row

América

3 in a row

León

3 in a row

Liga MX Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Mazatlán

68%(23/34)

Necaxa

62%(21/34)

Querétaro

59%(20/34)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Juárez

5 in a row

León

5 in a row

Tigres UANL

3 in a row

Liga MX Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Pachuca

76%(28/37)

América

73%(27/37)

Cruz Azul

72%(28/39)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Atlético San Luis

5 in a row

Querétaro

3 in a row

Santos Laguna

3 in a row

Liga MX First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Tigres UANL

61%(25/41)

Santos Laguna

50%(17/34)

Mazatlán

50%(17/34)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Mazatlán

5 in a row

Tigres UANL

3 in a row

Puebla

0 in a row

Liga MX Teams in Best Form

Pumas UNAM

Tigres UANL

Guadalajara

Liga MX Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM	MP	PTS	W	D	L	G	GD	FORM
1 Pumas UNAM	17	36	10	6	1	34:17	+17	W W W W D
2 Guadalajara	17	36	11	3	3	33:17	+16	D D W L D
3 Cruz Azul	17	33	9	6	2	31:18	+13	W D D D L
4 Pachuca	17	31	9	4	4	25:19	+6	L L W W W
5 Toluca	17	30	8	6	3	28:16	+12	W L L D L

Final Series

Final Series Play-offs

MP=Matches Played

PTS=Points

W=Wins

D=Draws

L=Losses

G=Goals (For:Against)

GD=Goal Difference

FORM=Last 5 Matches

View Full Standings