Slow starters
1/10Puebla scored first in only 1 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Liga MX Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Liga MX match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 2 November 2026.
Liga MX Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 7 · Apertura
Full-Time Result
42%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
62%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
48%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
67%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
48%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
20%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Liga MX 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 42%, BTTS 62%, Over/Under 2.5 48%, Over/Under 3.5 67%, correct score 20%.
Liga MX stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 330 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsGoals a match
2.85
19th of 63
xG a match
3.07
6th of 62
Corners a match
Cards a match
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Liga MX: the stats that stand out
The Liga MX teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games1/10Low-scoring
2/10Tigres UANL games went over 2.5 goals in only 2 of their last 10 (league 54%).
Goals at both ends
9/10América: both teams scored in 9 of their last 10 (league 60%).
Leaky
0/10Pumas UNAM kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 24%).
Always on the scoresheet
0/10Atlas scored in all of their last 10 (league 24% fail to score).
Hard to break
2/10León conceded first in only 2 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Banker as favourites
5/7Cruz Azul won 5 of 7 as favourites (league 50%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Liga MX Mexico
Free predictions for today's Liga MX matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
· FT
Juárez0
Pachuca2Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
· FT
Juárez0Pachuca2Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
132%
X26%
242%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 31% | 69% | 64% | 36% |
 | 25% | 75% | 55% | 45% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 45% | 55% | 56% | 44% |
Correct Score
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
7.3%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
· FT
Atlético San Luis0
Guadalajara3Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
· FT
Atlético San Luis0Guadalajara3Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
· FT
Tigres UANL1
Necaxa1Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
Tigres UANL1Necaxa1Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
Atlas1
Atlante1Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Atlas1Atlante1Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Cruz Azul1
Santos Laguna0Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
· FT
Cruz Azul1Santos Laguna0Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
· FT
Pumas UNAM3
León1Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
· FT
Pumas UNAM3León1Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
· FT
Puebla0
Toluca1Winner
2 55%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
Puebla0Toluca1Winner
2 55%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
Necaxa1Juárez1Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
· FT
Necaxa1Juárez1Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
· FT
Atlante0Atlético San Luis1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
· FT
Atlante0Atlético San Luis1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
· FT
León1Toluca1Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
· FT
León1Toluca1Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
· FT
Monterrey0Guadalajara1Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
Monterrey0Guadalajara1Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
Pumas UNAM1Tigres UANL1Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
· FT
Pumas UNAM1Tigres UANL1Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
· FT
Atlas4Puebla3Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
Atlas4Puebla3Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
Querétaro1Cruz Azul3Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
· FT
Querétaro1Cruz Azul3Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
· FT
América1Pachuca2Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
América1Pachuca2Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
· FT
Tijuana4Santos Laguna1Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
· FT
Tijuana4Santos Laguna1Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
· FT
América1Tijuana1Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
· FT
América1Tijuana1Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
· FT
Atlético San Luis0Atlas1Winner
12 76%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
· FT
Atlético San Luis0Atlas1Winner
12 76%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
· FT
Juárez3Querétaro1Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
· FT
Juárez3Querétaro1Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
· FT
Puebla1Pumas UNAM2Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
· FT
Puebla1Pumas UNAM2Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
· FT
Pachuca3Tigres UANL0Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
· FT
Pachuca3Tigres UANL0Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
· FT
Monterrey3Tijuana3Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Monterrey3Tijuana3Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Guadalajara4Atlante2Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
· FT
Guadalajara4Atlante2Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
· FT
América2Toluca2Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
· FT
América2Toluca2Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
· FT
Santos Laguna1Necaxa0Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
· FT
Santos Laguna1Necaxa0Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Cruz Azul–León–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Cruz Azul–León–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Atlético San Luis–Juárez–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Atlético San Luis–Juárez–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Necaxa–Tijuana–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Necaxa–Tijuana–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Atlante–Santos Laguna–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Atlante–Santos Laguna–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Atlas–Pachuca–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Atlas–Pachuca–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Tigres UANL–Cruz Azul–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Tigres UANL–Cruz Azul–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Toluca–Monterrey–Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Toluca–Monterrey–Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Pumas UNAM–América–Winner
X2 75%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Pumas UNAM–América–Winner
X2 75%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Querétaro–Puebla–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Querétaro–Puebla–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
León–Guadalajara–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
León–Guadalajara–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Liga MX xG: chances created and allowed
Every Liga MX team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsLiga MX average · 1.65 xG, 1.64 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 18
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Liga MX Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Liga MX this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −20◀ fewer than expected · −20 pts odds expected+20 more ▶+20 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
132 matches
37.1%
Season (132) · 37.1% vs 44.3%
Season
−7.1
±8.0
30 days (44) · 29.5% vs 45.3%Fewer than expected
30 days
−15.8
±14.0Fewer than expected
Draws
132 matches
27.3%
Season (132) · 27.3% vs 24.7%
Season
+2.6
±7.3
30 days (44) · 36.4% vs 24.4%
30 days
+12.0
±12.6
Away wins
132 matches
35.6%
Season (132) · 35.6% vs 31.1%
Season
+4.5
±7.5
30 days (44) · 34.1% vs 30.3%
30 days
+3.8
±13.0
Over 2.5 goals
132 matches
53.8%
Season (132) · 53.8% vs 56.2%
Season
−2.4
±8.4
30 days (44) · 54.5% vs 57.4%
30 days
−2.9
±14.5
Both teams scored
132 matches
62.1%
Season (132) · 62.1% vs 56.6%
Season
+5.5
±8.4
30 days (44) · 70.5% vs 58.0%
30 days
+12.4
±14.6
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
132 matches
34.1%
Season (132) · 34.1% vs 34.5%
Season
−0.4
±8.1
30 days (44) · 36.4% vs 35.9%
30 days
+0.5
±14.1
Home side ahead at half-time
132 matches
28.0%
Season (132) · 28.0% vs 34.7%
Season
−6.6
±7.9
30 days (44) · 27.3% vs 34.9%
30 days
−7.7
±13.8
Level at half-time
132 matches
45.5%
Season (132) · 45.5% vs 39.6%
Season
+5.9
±8.3
30 days (44) · 40.9% vs 39.2%
30 days
+1.7
±14.4
Away side ahead at half-time
132 matches
26.5%
Season (132) · 26.5% vs 25.7%
Season
+0.8
±7.3
30 days (44) · 31.8% vs 25.9%
30 days
+5.9
±12.7
Home team scored 2+
132 matches
45.5%
Season (132) · 45.5% vs 47.6%
Season
−2.2
±8.2
30 days (44) · 43.2% vs 48.5%
30 days
−5.3
±14.3
Away team scored 2+
132 matches
41.7%
Season (132) · 41.7% vs 36.8%
Season
+4.8
±8.0
30 days (44) · 43.2% vs 37.6%
30 days
+5.6
±14.0
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 132 | 37.1% | 44.3% | −7.1 | ±8.0 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 44 | 29.5% | 45.3% | −15.8 | ±14.0 | Fewer than expected |
| Draws | Season | 132 | 27.3% | 24.7% | +2.6 | ±7.3 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 44 | 36.4% | 24.4% | +12.0 | ±12.6 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 132 | 35.6% | 31.1% | +4.5 | ±7.5 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 44 | 34.1% | 30.3% | +3.8 | ±13.0 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 132 | 53.8% | 56.2% | −2.4 | ±8.4 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 44 | 54.5% | 57.4% | −2.9 | ±14.5 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 132 | 62.1% | 56.6% | +5.5 | ±8.4 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 44 | 70.5% | 58.0% | +12.4 | ±14.6 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 132 | 34.1% | 34.5% | −0.4 | ±8.1 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 44 | 36.4% | 35.9% | +0.5 | ±14.1 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 132 | 28.0% | 34.7% | −6.6 | ±7.9 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 44 | 27.3% | 34.9% | −7.7 | ±13.8 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 132 | 45.5% | 39.6% | +5.9 | ±8.3 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 44 | 40.9% | 39.2% | +1.7 | ±14.4 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 132 | 26.5% | 25.7% | +0.8 | ±7.3 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 44 | 31.8% | 25.9% | +5.9 | ±12.7 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 132 | 45.5% | 47.6% | −2.2 | ±8.2 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 44 | 43.2% | 48.5% | −5.3 | ±14.3 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 132 | 41.7% | 36.8% | +4.8 | ±8.0 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 44 | 43.2% | 37.6% | +5.6 | ±14.0 | Normal range |
Liga MX luck check: the last 10 games
Liga MX teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+5.5 = 6 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck2
Santos Laguna+5.5
Atlético San Luis+5.1
Unlucky3
NecaxaWasteful · −5 goals−7.0
Atlante9 of 10 gamesWasteful · −5 goals−5.4
Toluca−4.4
Points in line, but wasteful: Tigres UANL (−7 goals). Clinical: Cruz Azul (+4), Pumas UNAM (+4), América (+4), Atlas (+4).
In line with their chances: Querétaro, León, Guadalajara, Pachuca, Juárez, Tijuana, Puebla and Monterrey.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Liga MX last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 25–Nov 1 · 11 matches · odds: closing, margin removed- América1-2Pachuca
Smash-and-grabPachuca beat América 2-1 despite fewer chances (xG 1.3 vs 2.3).
UpsetBookmakers gave Pachuca 17.1% to win at kick-off.
- Atlético San Luis0-1Atlas
Smash-and-grabAtlas beat Atlético San Luis 1-0 despite fewer chances (xG 0.7 vs 1.7).
- Juárez3-1
QuerétaroSmash-and-grabJuárez beat Querétaro 3-1 despite fewer chances (xG 1.6 vs 2.4).
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →Liga MX Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  América | 15 | 29 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36:21 | +15 | D D L W W |
2  Guadalajara | 15 | 29 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25:14 | +11 | W W W D D |
3  Atlas | 15 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26:26 | 0 | W W L W D |
4  Cruz Azul | 14 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32:23 | +9 | W W W D D |
5  Toluca | 15 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31:21 | +10 | D D D D L |
Final Series Play-offs
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
The league profile compares Liga MX with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
About Liga MX
Liga MX is the top professional football league in Mexico. It consists of 18 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation. Liga MX is known for its passionate fan base and intense matches. Club América and Chivas de Guadalajara are the most successful clubs in Liga MX history.