Liga MX Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Liga MX match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities, with accuracy tracked against bookmaker odds over the last 100 matches.
Predictions updated on 2 September 2026.
Liga MX Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 7 · Apertura
Full-Time Result
48%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
52%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
50%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
66%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
48%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
18%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Our AI model analyzes Liga MX matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 3 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Liga MX currently hit at 18%.
First Half Result is our strongest Liga MX betting market this season with 48% prediction accuracy — that's 27.3% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 37.7%. This means our AI model correctly predicts First Half Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Liga MX.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions currently sit 7.1% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 50%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Liga MX Over/Under 2.5 Goals bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.
The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 3.5 Goals — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Liga MX football tips.
Today's Betting Tips for Liga MX Mexico
Puebla–
Toluca–Winner
2 54%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Puebla–Toluca–Winner
2 54%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 44% | 56% | 77% | 23% |
 | 20% | 80% | 50% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 62% | 38% |
Correct Score
0-1
11.5%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.6%
0-0
7.5%
1-0
6.8%
Juárez–
Pachuca–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Juárez–Pachuca–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Querétaro–
Monterrey–Winner
2 51%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Querétaro–Monterrey–Winner
2 51%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Atlético San Luis–
Guadalajara–Winner
2 50%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Atlético San Luis–Guadalajara–Winner
2 50%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
América–
Tijuana–Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
América–Tijuana–Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Tigres UANL–
Necaxa–Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Tigres UANL–Necaxa–Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Atlas–
Atlante–Winner
12 74%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Atlas–Atlante–Winner
12 74%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Pumas UNAM–
León–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Pumas UNAM–León–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Cruz Azul–
Santos Laguna–Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Cruz Azul–Santos Laguna–Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Cruz Azul–América–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Cruz Azul–América–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Toluca–Atlas–Winner
1 67%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Toluca–Atlas–Winner
1 67%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Necaxa–Puebla–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Necaxa–Puebla–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Tijuana–Querétaro–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Tijuana–Querétaro–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Atlante–Pachuca–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Atlante–Pachuca–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
León–Atlético San Luis–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
León–Atlético San Luis–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Monterrey–Tigres UANL–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Monterrey–Tigres UANL–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Santos Laguna–Juárez–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Santos Laguna–Juárez–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Guadalajara–Pumas UNAM–Winner
1 57%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Guadalajara–Pumas UNAM–Winner
1 57%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Liga MX Prediction Accuracy by Team
The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Liga MX betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Toluca leads First Half Result predictions with 83% accuracy (5 correct out of 6 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like First Half Result are especially worth watching for your next Liga MX bet.
The form table at the bottom highlights Liga MX teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.
Liga MX Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Monterrey
América
Santos LagunaPrediction Form Streaks
América
JuárezTolucaLiga MX Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Necaxa
Tigres UANLMonterreyPrediction Form Streaks
Necaxa
Pachuca
AtlanteLiga MX Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
MonterreyNecaxaTolucaPrediction Form Streaks
TolucaMonterreyNecaxaLiga MX Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
América
Guadalajara
Pumas UNAMPrediction Form Streaks
América
LeónPumas UNAMLiga MX First Half Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
TolucaAméricaSantos LagunaPrediction Form Streaks
Toluca
TijuanaAméricaLiga MX Teams in Best Form
AméricaGuadalajaraTolucaLiga MX Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  América | 6 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | +10 | W W W W D |
2  Toluca | 6 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | W W D W L |
3  Tijuana | 6 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | +3 | W L W D W |
4  Atlas | 6 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | L W W L W |
5  Guadalajara | 6 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | D W W D W |
About Liga MX
Liga MX is the top professional football league in Mexico. It consists of 18 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation. Liga MX is known for its passionate fan base and intense matches. Club América and Chivas de Guadalajara are the most successful clubs in Liga MX history.